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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend

overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now

ezgif-79c6122544e67254.thumb.gif.e32593ca5d072bf48c3612d2c0e99b26.gif

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4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

the main differences between the GFS and the ECMWF are that the kicker on the ECMWF is more defined, hurting amplification, and the TPV is also closer to the trough. we'll see how those features trend

overall, though, they are actually pretty similar from a synoptic standpoint now

ezgif-79c6122544e67254.thumb.gif.e32593ca5d072bf48c3612d2c0e99b26.gif

Ya, That kicker on the Euro doesn’t let the trough deepen as much, as it does on the GFS. The GFS really deepens and amplifies that trough wow. 

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