January 2026 OBS and Discussion

[SACRUS]

 

Made it to 56 today likely wont see that or beat that again until Feb.

 

[Wannabehippie]

After having a storm come east on the 12z GFS for the tri-state area, the 18z has it further east. Not as far east, south as the Euro or Icon.

[Krs4Lfe]

For Sunday:

CMC has light snow 

UKMET has light snow 

AI models (GFS and Euro) have light-moderate snow

 ICON has light snow 

GFS has a snowstorm 

Euro has almost nothing 

For Saturday: all models have up to an inch for almost all of us. But since temps will be in low-mid 30s, there will be no accumulation 

[rclab]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

Made it to 56 today likely wont see that or beat that again until Feb.

 

The Accu Weather long range forecast (which will undoubtedly change daily) must have bought into a colder scenario for the city. The first above 56 temperature is forecasted for the day after St Patrick’s on March 18th. Stay well, as always …

 

[RU848789]

2 hours ago, eduggs said:

ICON and RDPS are 1-4" for Saturday. We take.

Yes, but temps are AOA 32F for 95 and the coast while it's snowing and this is during daylight hours with light to moderate rates, so accumulation will be tough.  

[Wannabehippie]

32 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

For Sunday:

CMC has light snow 

UKMET has light snow 

AI models (GFS and Euro) have light-moderate snow

 ICON has light snow 

GFS has a snowstorm 

Euro has almost nothing 

For Saturday: all models have up to an inch for almost all of us. But since temps will be in low-mid 30s, there will be no accumulation 

The 18z GFS has some snow, but not nearly the amount it did on the 12z. Will the next run go further east or west? It has been all over the place. 

[Krs4Lfe]

48 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said:

The 18z GFS has some snow, but not nearly the amount it did on the 12z. Will the next run go further east or west? It has been all over the place. 

I say further east. I think that’s the only way this storm can trend. And I think Saturday’s snow negatively interferes with Sunday and pushes the boundary level further offshore. I could see it being moderate snow for east New England and Maine though 

[Krs4Lfe]

5 hours ago, bluewave said:

The record breaking Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet continues to be a big story.

 

Until the record breaking northern stream of the pacific jet subsides; like in 2021 and Jan 2022, we will not reach average snowfall because there are no KU tracks. The more that the western pacific warms during the summer (record breaking marine heatwaves every year now), the lower chance we have of a KU. Might become the new normal, if it isn’t already 

[dseagull]

48 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Until the record breaking northern stream of the pacific jet subsides; like in 2021 and Jan 2022, we will not reach average snowfall because there are no KU tracks. The more that the western pacific warms during the summer (record breaking marine heatwaves every year now), the lower chance we have of a KU. Might become the new normal, if it isn’t already 

Screenshot this, and look again next week.  Helps keep things in perspective.