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12/19 Wind/Warmth DISCO/OBS


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Just now, CoastalWx said:

Also, watch for a nasty squall of rain changing to snow, especially higher el with second fropa this evening. Wouldn’t shock me if that had thunder too. Higher elevations best shot of snow. Might be @Damage In Tolland

I was just going to come with this. Been interested in this for a few days. HRRR has remained consistent with this signal. 

HRRR also remains impressive EOR today 

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Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

We know you’re watching obs hoping some isolated hilltop gusts to 60.  Losing all the snow will totally be worth that.

I also do get that it's viable weather and folks take an interest in it.....so it should have a thread allocated for that DISCO, so we don't have to split conjecture about whether it will ever snow again.

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Soundings had good shear. Turning wise.

yeah soundings are solid looking. I suppose there could be potential for a brief spinup along the leading edge today. I know there had a few warnings around STL yesterday and in fact, the line looks pretty similar to what went across that area yesterday. 

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2 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

This storm just kept steadily intensifying on all guidance over time. Now seeing 969 mb, on the euro, about 200 miles north of Quebec City.

Of course it did, because it's cutting....but if it were a coastal, all we would here about is Tip lecturing everyone on how the fast flow from CC would yield in a shearing of the wave in the lead up to verification.

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