Minor snow possible sunday 12/14/25

[brooklynwx99]

just a classic post-2016 NYC metro subforum exchange about the RGEM lmao

[eduggs]

For the center of this forum's region, as depicted, the 12z NAM would bring warnings snows, the 12z RGEM would bring an advisory, and everything else that's out (ICON, RRFS) would bring sub-advisory light snow/flurries.

[Krs4Lfe]

5 minutes ago, eduggs said:

For the center of this forum's region, as depicted, the 12z NAM would bring warnings snows, the 12z RGEM would bring an advisory, and everything else that's out (ICON, RRFS) would bring sub-advisory light snow/flurries.

So basically the models that actually matter are light snow at best

[Stormlover74]

Ukie looks great

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, eduggs said:

For the center of this forum's region, as depicted, the 12z NAM would bring warnings snows, the 12z RGEM would bring an advisory, and everything else that's out (ICON, RRFS) would bring sub-advisory light snow/flurries.

Ukie way more amped 

[Brian5671]

Just now, Krs4Lfe said:

So basically the models that actually matter are light snow at best

RGEM is pretty decent as a model-wouldn't discount that.  The NAM is mostly garbage especially at this range.

[Jersey_Snowhole]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Ukie way more amped 

LOL Jersey shore rain gotta love it. 

[MJO812]

Just now, Jersey_Snowhole said:

LOL Jersey shore rain gotta love it. 

 

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

RGEM is pretty decent as a model-wouldn't discount that.  The NAM is mostly garbage especially at this range.

Ukie is similiar to Nam 

[binbisso]

[jm1220]

Just now, Jersey_Snowhole said:

LOL Jersey shore rain gotta love it. 

If you have NE winds off waters in the upper 40s still, that’s a problem for SE NJ. Most coastal storms this time of year have that problem and warm up SE of 95. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

anybody saw the CMC?

[snowman19]

I will say this….for a storm less than 2.5 days away, there is ridiculous disagreement with the models. You have the NAM/UKMET in one corner showing a full blown snowstorm. The RGEM I guess in the “middle”, the CMC hasn’t run yet for some reason, but assuming it will look like the RGEM. And you have the GFS/RRFS/GFS-AI/ICON with a minor event. Let’s see what the EURO/EURO-AI does…..

[eduggs]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Ukie is similiar to Nam 

Good trends at 12z so far. UK kind of splits the difference between the RGEM and NAM.

[allgame830]

6 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

I will say this….for a storm less than 2.5 days away, there is ridiculous disagreement with the models. You have the NAM/UKMET in one corner showing a full blown snowstorm. The RGEM I guess in the “middle”, the CMC hasn’t run yet for some reason, but assuming it will look like the RGEM. And you have the GFS/RRFS/GFS-AI/ICON with a minor event. Let’s see what the EURO/EURO-AI does…..

honestly don't take this the wrong way but why do you have to nitpick everything everyone says.....someone said 3-5 but looking 10:1 it was like 2-4... come on dude give it rest. its a wonder why your a limited poster!!!!!!!!!

[eduggs]

GEFS mean keeps ticking a little "wetter." NYC just shy of 0.2 liquid now.

[MJO812]

9 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Good trends at 12z so far. UK kind of splits the difference between the RGEM and NAM.

Cmc more amped