Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[Yardstickgozinya]

4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

WGAL got it right…

Nobody wants to remember that one Blizz . That one was a lot of fun for Echo and I. Quite the overperformer. 

[Yardstickgozinya]

4 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

https://x.com/AccuRayno/status/2014316199165775891?s=20

Feel the Burn

[Jns2183]

Look to bottom right at initial phase then look at skew-t. I'm utterly confused how initial phase is not snow

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[Yardstickgozinya]

2 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Feel the Burn

I guess it Bern but whatever you get the point. 

[mahantango#1]

The American Storm

 

@BigJoeBastardi

·

3h

 

 

Euro operational sees that blizzard threat I am talking about for next weekend, hence the 15 day snow totals jacked up all the way into the Carolinas, and a Fla freeze after No changes on the first storm. Everyone is on top of it now anyway

[mahantango#1]

19 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

This is not right if you include 2 day totals. I know for a fact that Feb 1st 2021 started the evening of Jan 31st and we had a few inches, then the clocked turned midnight & the rest was on Feb 1st.

How can they forget or not want to remember?

[Jns2183]

I was looking at the 700/850 frontogensis from 6z GFS and they have little islands of life piping at random it appears at time except for concentration just off show. I'm used to seeing them more crazy underrated. Would love to hac what's going on explained.

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[pasnownut]

28 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

   I hear you buddy.  I feel like I'm sitting pretty in Fairview, township with the PA  turnpike and i83 intersection in my backyard . What's your thoughts on me @Jns2183 or @SnowPlowGuy88 seeing a death band and or some taint ? 

   I sure hope you're wrong about me not getting what I wish / want because if I don't I'm definitely holding thst red tag hating sob@Ruin accountable. 

 

Mind you, i'm just a weenie like you, but based on trajectory and synoptics, I think taint is minimal/mitigated as a result.  IF trough axis was more neg tilted, I'd think many easters would taint/rain, but as it is coming at us and not up, thats why I'm guessing we'll do ok (yeah, likely some taint, but not until we get a substantial thumpin).  As antecedent cold is stoudt, and I'm hoping CAD saves us east of the Apps.  There is notable wraparound qpf being depicted on some models, but my gut says deform/deathbands would likely be further NE when coastal/secondary really gets crankin.  My gut says were just standard run of the mill wraparound lite snow to finish.  

These are merely my thoughts, and remember, you asked for them. hehe

Gonna b a fun one no matter.  Just glad the entire state is in the game for a good event.

[Yardstickgozinya]

6 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Mind you, i'm just a weenie like you, but based on trajectory and synoptics, I think taint is minimal/mitigated as a result.  IF trough axis was more neg tilted, I'd think many easters would taint/rain, but as it is coming at us and not up, thats why I'm guessing we'll do ok (yeah, likely some taint, but not until we get a substantial thumpin).  As antecedent cold is stoudt, and I'm hoping CAD saves us east of the Apps.  There is notable wraparound qpf being depicted on some models, but my gut says deform/deathbands would likely be further NE when coastal/secondary really gets crankin.  My gut says were just standard run of the mill wraparound lite snow to finish.  

These are merely my thoughts, and remember, you asked for them. hehe

Gonna b a fun one no matter.  Just glad the entire state is in the game for a good event.

Yeah, yeah, man, it's cool. I'm not real hip on the evolution so thanks. I looked over some of the stuff that blizzard posted last night and it looks like it might have been throwing back some snow at us,so I guess that kind of image and wish is stuck in my head. And yeah, I realize if it's not tucked i'm not quite in the right spot for death banding..  

[paweather]

The only frustrating part of this storm will be onset watching Virga until it moistens up.

[Superstorm]

1 minute ago, paweather said:

The only frustrating part of this storm will be onset watching Virga until it moistens up.

To combat that, just watch the mPING maps or traffic camera maps.

[pasnownut]

2 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Yeah, yeah, man, it's cool. I'm not real hip on the evolution so thanks. I looked over some of the stuff that blizzard posted last night and it looks like it might have been throwing back some snow at us,so I guess that kind of image and wish is stuck in my head. And yeah, I realize if it's not tucked i'm not quite in the right spot for death banding..  

In truth it is tucked, but the progressive/non stalled evolution is why we miss def bands here, but further NE, it could be game on.  And speaking of, If patriots were playin in foxborough and not denver, man o man that'd be a fun one to watch.  sadly no so. 

[pasnownut]

3 minutes ago, paweather said:

The only frustrating part of this storm will be onset watching Virga until it moistens up.

I'll not be up at 2am waiting for it to start.  I'll get up around 4-5 and hope that we've saturated and turn the snow machine on for the entire day.  

[pasnownut]

headed out.  Keep this bad boy squarely in our sights today gang.  Dont let go of the rudder.  Have fun model watchin.

[ChescoWx]

A significant winter storm begins toward midnight on Saturday night. Today should be our last relatively mild day for the rest of the month of January and into the start of February. Tomorrow we return to near normal temperatures with highs in the middle 30’s. An arctic cold front will cross the area later tomorrow afternoon temperatures will fall quickly to single digits above zero by midnight. Saturday will be very cold and breezy with highs only in the mid-teens. The snow arrives overnight and continues through at least 1pm on Sunday. By that point, most areas of Chester County could see between 6” to 8” of snow. At some point after that we should begin to see the snow mix with and change to sleet and freezing rain from SE to NW across the area  This will cut into any additional potential snow accumulations. The final snow/sleet accumulation totals will depend on how fast this changeover occurs. Either way there will be plenty of snow and sleet accumulation. Unseasonably cold weather follows the storm with temperatures likely not rising above freezing for possibly at least the next 10 days.

[Yardstickgozinya]

4 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

I'll not be up at 2am waiting for it to start.  I'll get up around 4-5 and hope that we've saturated and turn the snow machine on for the entire day.  

F*** waiting. Temu's hot air balloon includes a handmade basket and torch, for only $49.99. 

[Yardstickgozinya]

[Yardstickgozinya]

Well if I ever decide to end it all, I know exactly how i'm going to do it. Yeah, f****** hot air balloon ride right into a Kocin-Uccellin . That's how f****** legends are made fellas.