Kevin Reilly Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago High 53f Total rain: 0.08” currently 37f humidity 60% dew point 25f winds WNW gusting past 40 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Happy Hour GFS run is giggity big time. Right where we want it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago The big ones get sniffed out 8-10 days ahead of time. I remember tracking 2016 for what seemed like ages. The emotional rollercoaster ride when everything shifted south, only for the NAM to score a coup on bringing it further north within the last 2-3 days. Obviously the pattern coming up Jan 6-10th or so looks unreal with the retrograding NAO block and split flow, but details are TBD if there's good timing with short waves in the flow. If we can get a solidly timed PNA spike WITHOUT a shortwave kicker screwing things up, I truly think the ceiling is some of the big uns in history. Just go back and look at the preloading patterns of the biggest storms for PHL, DCA, BWI, NYC, etc Edit just to add: In no way am I guaranteeing a KU, but it's gotta be encouraging seeing some semblance of a pattern that can support said larger storms vs. Pac puke and zonal flow. Or cold and dry Northwest flow 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Man it's windy out here! In the last half hour it really picked up. Power flickered a couple of times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago You know it’s windy when you’re driving and the leaves are passing you. 32F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago As an added bonus the trash people never picked up late after the sleet storm therefore neighbours trash is now spread through the county 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 12 hours ago Author Share Posted 12 hours ago Some parts of Allentown and Bethlehem just picked up a coating from a lake effect streamer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 12 hours ago Author Share Posted 12 hours ago 7 hours ago, Newman said: The big ones get sniffed out 8-10 days ahead of time. I remember tracking 2016 for what seemed like ages. The emotional rollercoaster ride when everything shifted south, only for the NAM to score a coup on bringing it further north within the last 2-3 days. Obviously the pattern coming up Jan 6-10th or so looks unreal with the retrograding NAO block and split flow, but details are TBD if there's good timing with short waves in the flow. If we can get a solidly timed PNA spike WITHOUT a shortwave kicker screwing things up, I truly think the ceiling is some of the big uns in history. Just go back and look at the preloading patterns of the biggest storms for PHL, DCA, BWI, NYC, etc Edit just to add: In no way am I guaranteeing a KU, but it's gotta be encouraging seeing some semblance of a pattern that can support said larger storms vs. Pac puke and zonal flow. Or cold and dry Northwest flow I’ve never seen a storm as consistently modeled as January 2016. Aside from the 2 days of runs which suppressed the best snow south of Philly, the models were completely locked in on a huge snowstorm for a week and a half. I remember looking at a Euro ensemble run 10 days out with a big storm - which is wild to see on an ensemble mean that far out - and just knowing we’d have lots of long days and nights of tracking ahead. And then by day 7 every model run showed this monster storm crawling up the coast. I can’t remember any other storms that showed up day after day for so long like that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Scattered snow showers and maybe even a heftier squall or 2 over the next 3 days. Deep winter indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Picked up 2 tenths of an inch of snow overnight via a lake effect streamer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Picked up 2 tenths of an inch of snow overnight via a lake effect streamer. Does that officially count as an event? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Winds have been howling much of the night and will continue this morning before slowly subsiding later today. The sun returns today but we stay with well below normal temperatures for at least the next week with temperatures remaining below freezing till at least Saturday. We only warm slightly to just above freezing this weekend into early next week. There is a chance of a little snow later New Years Eve into New Years Day. If we do see some snow amounts should be light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Philadelphia should leap ahead of Chicago as the Windy City. My hair is wigging in all sorts of directions which I didn't even know were possible... 29F/Overcast,Windy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Almost 24 hours of winds gusting over 30 mph. Peak gust was 42 mph last night. Currently 31F and... Windy. Chill is 21F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Wind continues west 25-35 mph occasionally gusting to 40 mph. Temperature: 34f humidity: 42% dewpoint: 13f Well the big Great Lakes storm now resides blocked just north and northeast of the Great Lakes. I believe this feature is basically as I said the other day realigning our pattern in the eastern portion of the United States This Great Lakes southern Canadian storm will unravel in time and when that happens my thinking is a west to west southwesterly flow should resume and over time boot out the coldest air opening the door for wet events from the west and southwest overall rather than snow events. I also think we see the SE ridge back for a time. I am not saying no more snow this year, but I am also not buying all the hype that’s on social media about giant snowstorms January 4th to 12th timeframe. (Maybe I’m doing reverse psychology, but I don’t think so. I’ve seen this before) Next to track in the immediate future light snow / flurries New Years Eve to New Year’s Day dusting to 0.5” totals a lucky soul sees 1 inch, with embedded disturbance off the Great Lakes pinwheeling around the big low in southern Canada north of the Great Lakes. See if that disturbance can try to turn the corner but I don’t see that right now probably just passes through heads eastward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Wind continues west 25-35 mph occasionally gusting to 40 mph. Temperature: 34f humidity: 42% dewpoint: 13f Well the big Great Lakes storm now resides blocked just north and northeast of the Great Lakes. I believe this feature is basically as I said the other day realigning our pattern in the eastern portion of the United States This Great Lakes southern Canadian storm will unravel in time and when that happens my thinking is a west to west southwesterly flow should resume and over time boot out the coldest air opening the door for wet events from the west and southwest overall rather than snow events. I also think we see the SE ridge back for a time. I am not saying no more snow this year, but I am also not buying all the hype that’s on social media about giant snowstorms January 4th to 12th timeframe. (Maybe I’m doing reverse psychology, but I don’t think so. I’ve seen this before) Next to track in the immediate future light snow / flurries New Years Eve to New Year’s Day dusting to 0.5” totals a lucky soul sees 1 inch, with embedded disturbance off the Great Lakes pinwheeling around the big low in southern Canada north of the Great Lakes. See if that disturbance can try to turn the corner but I don’t see that right now probably just passes through heads eastward. We're in our usual 2 weeks away from being 10 days away pattern. Back to today... Looks like some Christmas stuff is missing from the front yard, off to wander the neighborhood looking for it. 31F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The 24 hours of high wind blew the greatest impending January pattern well out to sea 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 19 minutes ago, RedSky said: The 24 hours of high wind blew the greatest impending January pattern well out to sea No doubt. After last nights run, we got and monster ice storm for the south which takes it to a Cleveland Steamer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Great news wind advisory extended to 4pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago With deep troughing on the west coast in ten days I don't know how that was ever going to be a great pattern here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Tomorrow night looks pretty interesting. Snow showers and squalls as everyone is heading to/leaving parties. Hopefully it’s not too chaotic. I will be out doing DoorDash and being extra vigilant of idiots on the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 13 minutes ago, RedSky said: With deep troughing on the west coast in ten days I don't know how that was ever going to be a great pattern here Assuming it even verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Yeah, winds still rippin' here. Was just out and saw a huge tree down in my neighbors yard. Damn lucky it missed their house! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Tomorrow night looks pretty interesting. Snow showers and squalls as everyone is heading to/leaving parties. Hopefully it’s not too chaotic. I will be out doing DoorDash and being extra vigilant of idiots on the road. If true. Snow, New Year's Eve, drinks? Cops will have with their hands full... should be fun. 31F/Windy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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