E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[Ralph Wiggum]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Its 306 hours away. Of course its wrong. 

I know, just thought it was comical to see after hearing all day how epic the pattern is going to be at that same time.

Gefs completely different probably.

[MJO812]

59 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I know, just thought it was comical to see after hearing all day how epic the pattern is going to be at that same time.

Gefs completely different probably.

Hope we all cash in big time soon. Nice Miller A.

[Mikeymac5306]

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Hopefully the gfs op is out to lunch because this would ruin the unicorn hunters' party:

 

What could possibly go wrong? 

[Kevin Reilly]

1 hour ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

What could possibly go wrong? 

Doesn’t that look familiar.

[Kevin Reilly]

Drizzle / fog here comes the warm air!

 

34f humidity 94% dewpoint 33f

I expect a 10+ degree rise by 12 am

[RedSky]

31F

[RedSky]

Dense freezing fog 

32F

[Albedoman]

5 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I know, just thought it was comical to see after hearing all day how epic the pattern is going to be at that same time.

Gefs completely different probably.

ralph, For the first time in probably 3-5 years, we have an ARKLATEX low forming on the CMC model at the end of the run. For those youngsters who do not know how real weathermen used to forecast without relying on these crappy models, this type of LP forming forming in this location is harbinger of a major 6-12+ incher  snowstorm for our region for a  good 75% of the time.  Its nice to see one even show up and my forecast of not until the 15th-19th period for a major winter storm could tumble. This is the first track able storm that may realize some good accumulating snow if the Quebec high and blocking are in place.