First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Don’t know if Dylan posted earlier. Here’s our first call. Looking like we have to wait for our first accumulation until the weekend south of 84. 

Just had to split Tolland in 2 . Though half of town is south of 84 and other half is NW of 84 (me)

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Just had to split Tolland in 2 . Though half of town is south of 84 and other half is NW of 84 (me)

Hoping for an inch for you ! 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Hoping for an inch for you ! 

Great 

[Torch Tiger]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

My only hope is the EMA Wx/ Dick Tolleris map  . I am pretty depressed 

yeah, you have to wonder how many more chances we'll have this winter.  missed opportunity for some

[Cyclone-68]

Meh..If it’s not plowable snow, I’d prefer it to miss entirely..I’ve seen enough 1 to 3 in my lifetime 

[ineedsnow]

38 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

You should cash in, looks like you're in the sweet spot.

ya I think so.. but the Euro does make me nervous

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

ya I think so.. but the Euro does make me nervous

I expect EURO to move a good bit NW this run and warm up south of 84.. although it does seem the 18z runs do the opposite of what you think so we shall see soon.

[ineedsnow]

not sure what the AI-GFS is but its ugly 

[dendrite]

11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just had to split Tolland in 2 . Though half of town is south of 84 and other half is NW of 84 (me)

there you go

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

not sure what the AI-GFS is but its ugly 

Steffi graphcast

[champy]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just had to split Tolland in 2 . Though half of town is south of 84 and other half is NW of 84 (me)

Your wife is used to 2-4" so it should be a perfect storm for you 

[moneypitmike]

12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

not sure what the AI-GFS is but its ugly 

If I'm reading the key correctly, it looks like 10- 12 for here, 12-15 for Jeff......that's workable.

[dendrite]

Biggest euro run of the afternoon is running

[CoastalWx]

A machine learning model that’s GFS based. That’s like teaching Kevin to understand soundings. 

[ineedsnow]

18z Euro says not this run 

[ineedsnow]

[moneypitmike]

Battle of the titans.

 

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

 

Nothing says likely quite like seeing Old Saybrook in the jp zone.

[dendrite]

Pretty wild battle. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z Euro says not this run 

It bumped warmer south of 84 as I assumed 

[Snowcrazed71]

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

This is definitely not the outcome. There's no way that Southeastern areas are getting the most snow with this storm. Bring that more Northwest and the GFS The maybe 50 miles Southeast and most of Southern New England's in the game. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

It bumped warmer south of 84 as I assumed 

I think the dynamics are influencing this. Better lift and it’s cooler etc. 

 

I don’t like seeing a low pressure cluster F like it shows. Screws up moisture transport. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

This is definitely not the outcome. There's no way that Southeastern areas are getting the most snow with this storm. Bring that more Northwest and the GFS The maybe 50 miles Southeast and most of Southern New England's in the game. 

I’ll say this again for the 115th time. Please  ignore those maps.

[CoastalWx]

Euro at 925 was a little warmer maybe a tad north with 925 low. Shoot those maps to the sun. 

[FXWX]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’ll say this again for the 115th time. Please  ignore those maps.

No one is listening!

[DavisStraight]

18 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

If I'm reading the key correctly, it looks like 10- 12 for here, 12-15 for Jeff......that's workable.

You at Pit 2 for this one?

[dendrite]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think the dynamics are influencing this. Better lift and it’s cooler etc. 

 

I don’t like seeing a low pressure cluster F like it shows. Screws up moisture transport. 

At 48hr it is way behind the other models with the moisture advection at 925. 

[Ginx snewx]

Nice 18 Z Euro run so isothermic and then convective someone at the CF pulls some 2/3 per hour ORH KEV Ray and NW lollies with fluff, cement IJD NWRI Foxboro 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro at 925 was a little warmer maybe a tad north with 925 low. Shoot those maps to the sun. 

Ya it’s def warmer from the surface to 850 along the rain snow line.. which was expected.. 

[Damage In Tolland]

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

A machine learning model that’s GFS based. That’s like teaching Kevin to understand soundings. 

Soundings tell me rain