40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Man, EURO AI ens are enfuego. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Man, EURO AI ens are enfuego. Do we value them? Is AI doing better than the regular Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Man, EURO AI ens are enfuego. Euro AI itself is a massive hit for us in the moderate interior. But trusting any OP right now is asking for trouble. I think we’d take a model blend right now and run. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 How does the EPS look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: How does the EPS look? They look a bit juicier than the OP in terms of amplification but not by much. But that’s prob a good sign we’re gonna see model convergence. Betting OP is still a bit too flat 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 I’m no MET, but that’s not a bad look at this juncture imo. Thank you for posting Will. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Man, NAM is out to lunch but I would take my chances riding those dynamics in Greenfield, despite my low elevation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 NAM is still very amped. Nice model battle. Back to bed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Tuesday Snow, mainly after 9am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 GFS came in a little colder too. Maybe we’ll get a GFS/Euro convergence today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 41 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Tuesday Snow, mainly after 9am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible C'mon, that's a ridiculous forecast lol. The forward speed of this won't allow for accumulations that high imo. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 3 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: C'mon, that's a ridiculous forecast lol. The forward speed of this won't allow for accumulations that high imo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 28 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: 32 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: C'mon, that's a ridiculous forecast lol. The forward speed of this won't allow for accumulations that high imo. Rates could be wild for a bit if things break right.. 6z GEFS mean bumped up to 7 for here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 GFS cooled off pretty good and lost the double barrel thing. Looks decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: T-3” here? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: T-3” here? Lol Aren't they always the most cautious. They are the same with their temp outlooks too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: T-3” here? Lol Looks like a GFS/NAM leaning forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Just now, Kitz Craver said: Looks like a GFS/NAM leaning forecast Looks like a very bad forecast 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 GYX is aggressive here with 5-9 in zones plus more in the early evening. Going with blend on qpf of .7-1.0 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Anecdotally my phone forecast went from 1-3” with .5 rain before I went to bed back up to 7-9” this morning. Doesn’t mean much, but happy it didn’t go the other way for what it’s worth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like a very bad forecast I truly wouldn't put much stock into their forecast. It's going to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 This is how much the euro AI changed in 36hrs to the current 6z run 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 30, 2025 Author Share Posted November 30, 2025 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS came in a little colder too. Maybe we’ll get a GFS/Euro convergence today. It’s really coming down to intensity and how mid-levels act. Euro is just a bit more organized, mitigating any warm air intrusion beyond the south coast, while the GFS brings that further inland about 30 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 30, 2025 Author Share Posted November 30, 2025 34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: T-3” here? Lol 26 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Aren't they always the most cautious. They are the same with their temp outlooks too. It’s a confidence level they have this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 30, 2025 Author Share Posted November 30, 2025 And you’re welcome everyone. Juju. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It’s a confidence level they have this far out. 0.5”-10” for IZG lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: This is how much the euro AI changed in 36hrs to the current 6z run Obviously GYX was aggressive for a reason. I wasn’t paying close enough attention. Looks like we have a decent 1st storm with cold to keep it and squalls in Thursday to freshen it and then more at the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 6z euro still fighting the dual low but very similar to 00z. Getting stability there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2025 Share Posted November 30, 2025 Those maps are ridiculous. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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