Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[sbnwx85]

9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

stop paying attention to run-to-run op guidance.

struggling hard in this pattern, so it’s useless.

To your point, lots of moving parts. Pretty active pattern, and as you've been saying, potential is there. Just need things to line up. 

[A-L-E-K]

On 2/19/2026 at 5:52 AM, A-L-E-K said:

brutal miss east for them if the ride the euro strat works out like it usually does

euro taking the L?

[DocATL]

Textbook East Coast pattern. It’s undeniable.


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[Chicago Storm]

Textbook East Coast pattern. It’s undeniable.


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tth.

[DocATL]

stop paying attention to run-to-run op guidance.

struggling hard in this pattern, so it’s useless.

When the majority of runs don’t give you much, doesn’t that mean something? Why has the GFS been rather consistent on a major coastal but struggling hard for us? Are there more variables to factor for the Midwest? Genuinely curious.


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[cyclone77]

Hopefully the last half of March brings something meaningful.  Until then looking zzzzz.

[A-L-E-K]

East coast winter

[Baum]

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

East coast winter

Boston Winter easy. On board for second 20” storm in a month. NYC to Philly DCA this storm will have a big say. All that said when the dust settles I’d still bet ORD tops them. 

[Chicago916]

While the NE gets lucky again (they do deserve it after some shit years in the snow department) next week still looks somewhat interesting for us. Gotta wait until the Northeast storm bombs out before we get a clue though. 

[A-L-E-K]

23 minutes ago, Chicago916 said:

While the NE gets lucky again (they do deserve it after some shit years in the snow department) next week still looks somewhat interesting for us. Gotta wait until the Northeast storm bombs out before we get a clue though. 

2.1 final call on the midweek nuisance event

[Chicago Storm]

beggars can’t be choosers.

[sbnwx85]

14 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

2.1 final call on the midweek nuisance event

Whoa, optimistic!

[DocATL]

While the NE gets lucky again (they do deserve it after some shit years in the snow department) next week still looks somewhat interesting for us. Gotta wait until the Northeast storm bombs out before we get a clue though. 

They northeast can have things we can’t have given their coastal location. I was in DC and NYC for two +20 inch monsters during med school and residency in the first decade of 2000. Also saw some epic fails and nearly snowless winters there.


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[Chicago916]

57 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

2.1 final call on the midweek nuisance event

Feel like that one gives off 0 or 6" of heavy wet snow vibes.

[Chicago Storm]

Feel like that one gives off 0 or 6" of heavy wet snow vibes.

that’s what this pattern is.

[AWMT30]

GFS doing some wobbles back and forth with the Thursday Event. At least it still has it at this point. 

[RogueWaves]

On 2/17/2026 at 2:29 PM, dmc76 said:

0.7” to 1.3”  dusters are back !!!

I scored my 0.7" yesterday and another dust-up this morning. Actual grass had JUST made its appearance since before Thanksgiving, then we cover it all up and start over again. Clipper pattern I thought was dead making a resurgence this week. Large totals run N or S of here these last two winters - ready to move on to spring tbh. 

[A-L-E-K]

Zzzzzz

 

EPS warm in fantasy range, so hopefully the cad is short lived

[DocATL]

Euro weeklies warm to normal…do we make our 6.6” snowfall average for March?


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[A-L-E-K]

no but we'll get fucked in april

[DocATL]

no but we'll get fucked in april

Noooo that will suck. Wish we could just go beast mode and then be done with it. Oh well.


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