WxUSAF Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 It’s a Thanksgiving miracle! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 temps are 32-33 the whole event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: 12z GFS shows -4C 850 temps at 6z Tuesday for DCA. 0z had +2C during the same timeframe. Sunday's storm has trended a few mb stronger which seems to help confluence linger around for a bit longer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 a tiny bit of this is from Sunday 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 micro folks 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Upper 20s northern areas with the heavy snow frame is beauty. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 GooFuS has restored my faith! LFG!! Happy TGiving everyone! Enjoy until Dr No shows up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 it's actually a very cool storm imo. 4-8 inches of snow with a layer of ice on top sounds like fun 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: a tiny bit of this is from Sunday Paging @Ralph Wiggum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: It’s a Thanksgiving miracle! lock that up and call it a winter.... till Dec 6-7! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Not buying. Yet. Go eat some Turkey yall. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 9 minutes ago, Cobalt said: 12z GFS shows -4C 850 temps at 6z Tuesday for DCA. 0z had +2C during the same timeframe. Which means it will probably change again lol, but still a nice shift (not trend). We're due for an early December snow day that doesn't include scattered snow showers that take 12 hrs to accumulate a half inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 1 minute ago, bncho said: it's actually a very cool storm imo. 4-8 inches of snow with a layer of ice on top sounds like fun Ice wise for the southwestern areas it would be freezing rain in the upper 20s so may be legit enough to cause issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Wonder if the 5th has any potential as the GFS has another shortwave take a similar path but looks to get shredded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 hasnt things trended colder on the whole? or is that weenie wishcasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 1 minute ago, Ji said: hasnt things trended colder on the whole? or is that weenie wishcasting Well, if anybody would know... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 8 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Paging @Ralph Wiggum Still feel fall line s and e will have to wait for theirs. One gfs run doesn't change my thoughts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Don't have the pretty maps but don't see how Canadian doesn't start us wintry, whether snow or ice. Pretty darn cold right before the precip rolls in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Don't have the pretty maps but don't see how Canadian doesn't start us wintry, whether snow or ice. Pretty darn cold right before the precip rolls in We lost the 850s before the storm started so will be icy instead of snowy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: We lost the 850s before the storm started so will be icy instead of snowy. yep, think it's gonna be icy. CMC and it's para were icy last night so it's at least consistent. Canadian models love ice and I swear they are always too cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: yep, think it's gonna be icy. CMC and it's para were icy last night so it's at least consistent. Canadian models love ice and I swear they are always too cold Definitely a different look on the cmc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 12 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Not buying. Yet. Go eat some Turkey yall. This is like being told grandma made the stuffing so you know its banger but then in reality aunt gertrude made it with oysters. Don't trust it yet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Definitely a different look on the cmc. The cmc has upper level energy swing through Tuesday night that changes some areas back to snow. For areas NW of DC it would be a snow to ice to rain then back to snow. Similar to last night's run minus the snow on the backend. Definitely different than the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 The GFS looks like one of those AI ensemble members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: The cmc has upper level energy swing through Tuesday night that changes some areas back to snow. For areas NW of DC it would be a snow to ice to rain then back to snow. Similar to last night's run minus the snow on the backend. Definitely different than the gfs. 6z Euro had the change back to snow too fwiw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 On 11/25/2025 at 5:27 PM, 2015Wrx said: Can you or someone explain/show what we should look for in the Pacific as opposed to what we do not want? I enjoy reading and learning from you all in here. . At this time of the year cold air is the most important variable. -EPO is the best pattern for this. This is what the ideal pattern looks like at 500mb: The 12z GFS kind of has the -EPO pattern, although it's a little SW, which may ultimately create a little more of a SE ridge and a little more mixing or rain where the model currently has snow. Pretty close though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 GEFS is very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I like how its a more traditional coastal look than just moisture flow from the gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 27, 2025 Share Posted November 27, 2025 5 minutes ago, bncho said: GEFS is very good. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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