Baroclinic Zone Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs trying for the 12th. Nice little storm there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Gfs went from flaccid to powder keg look on one run. Lol 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kazimirkai Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Personally I'd rather it be cold with no snow than warm with no snow. At least the ponds are frozen and I can visit the mountains to get a dose of winter when I need. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, CoastalWx said: Gfs went from flaccid to powder keg look on one run. Lol Well being 6 days out, thats expected. 18z it’ll show it in the lakes, or not at all. Wish it was a little closer in with regard to time…6 days is a long ways off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Hoping it materializes for the 12th (vs the 13th) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Well being 6 days out, thats expected. 18z it’ll show it in the lakes, or not at all. Wish it was a little closer in with regard to time…6 days is a long ways off. Oh I just meant the overall look, not that particular storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 22 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Right. This is the kind of stuff that’s a little crazy. Snowcover data is a very factual, as is data point. It’s not subjective. You can’t not believe it. You can make the argument our ceiling might be higher on a smaller scale, but, yeah, the snow cover decline is real, and we feel it The 80’s had very little snowcover bro..it just didn’t snow. So you believe what you want. You’ve had quite a few years there, that when a tick farted..you’d pull 10” to cover the mulch beds. So whatever. The 12th delivering some snow would be nice for all of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Oh I just meant the overall look, not that particular storm. Oh ok…well that sounds good. I think that’s the theme here..lots of energy bouncing around, with cold in place and nearby, we gotta just see if we get one or two to play ball. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 20 minutes ago, weathafella said: I guess we should be patient. This is kind of similar to how December played out in 2010 before Boxing Day delivered for many of us. funny you proffer this sentiment as conciliatory ... I've recently been thinking this exact same "patience" idea, but had 2014-2015 in mind, actually... What happened that late Dec ( after Xmas was wrapped up and tidily ruined with panache ...), is we started getting this torpedo flow with big cold situated just N of our latitude. Systems were riding along the ambient b-c axis, and we did go through about a 10 day to two-week period where we bit cold, followed by quick warm ups to rain...cold, rinse and repeat. I remember posting a sentiment that it was like "playing with fire" - interesting metaphor considering the 'fire' in the context of the times meant that should any of those wave get under our latitude, would make for a sudden change to a whole new world. Well .... oops. Things started going under our latitude - fine idea, then, but ... knowing when that's going to happen, if at all? yeah - patience perhaps... The problem with patience is that nature does not reward for good virtue. That's a human construct. I combat that by just tuning out - glancing at charts here and there for quick diagnosis', and also just to stay in sequence of events. That way I have a sense of knowing when things may finally break right, while at the same time I didn't give the prurient "real" god any satisfaction of having stolen life LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Pretty nice flurries here in Appalachia 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago About 1/4" temp jumped from 26F to 29F in the last hour...festive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 20 minutes ago, weathafella said: I guess we should be patient. This is kind of similar to how December played out in 2010 before Boxing Day delivered for many of us. Yes, sometimes these patterns take some time to come into their own so to speak, for our area at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago For now, the GFS is on an island.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: For now, the GFS is on an island.. Well, the Euro really isnt any better so at least we have one model. It’s gonna bounce around. It’s a ways off anyway. We know the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: For now, the GFS is on an island.. of misfit toys. Nobody wants a GFS snowstorm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: How many posts of Mjo, JB, and Steve D will it take for you to realize it’s still bare there? The voodoo of MJO plots can be lumped into the likes of tarriffs and corporate tax breaks.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Canadian has something too. Probably timing differences, but the EPS was just a day or less later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Spanks45 said: The voodoo of MJO plots can be lumped into the likes of tarriffs and corporate tax breaks.... MJO is real, but it’s a lot more complicated then just showing those charts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: The 80’s had very little snowcover bro..it just didn’t snow. So you believe what you want. Snow was sparse, but those winters were on average much colder than than the below average snowfall winters of recent. A colder/dryer look versus the warmer that we've become accustomed to. The warmest winter in all of the 80s for the Northeast would've been the 4th coldest of the past 10 years. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Chestnuts blighted, and catching fire Jack shit amounts of snow Yore-like snow maps, being sent by a weenie And folks dressed up like Key Largo Everybody knows, some toucans and forsythia Helps to make the season right Weenie cops, obsessed with MJO Will find it hard to sleep tonight They know the Grinch storm, is on its way It’s melting lots of ice and snowmen in just a day And every mother plays, John Mayer on a drive As the temp and dewpoint, both hit fifty-five This is funny, and depressingly accurate. I don’t know whether to laugh or cry. Where’s Sarah McLachlan when I need her? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: MJO is real, but it’s a lot more complicated then just showing those charts. Oh I know, just some jest on this morning as I frolick in my 0.4" of fresh snow before it disappears within the hour. Those plot look great, but seem to never pan out over the past few years. Definitely raise more questions than answers it seems... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Canadian has something too. Probably timing differences, but the EPS was just a day or less later. Colder version of what we just had a few days ago....most would take that look at this point, we all want the biggie, but at this point give me 3-6, with some cold to follow. Reminds me a bit of the systems from the early 2000s, just weaker. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 49 minutes ago Share Posted 49 minutes ago 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: Colder version of what we just had a few days ago....most would take that look at this point, we all want the biggie, but at this point give me 3-6, with some cold to follow. Reminds me a bit of the systems from the early 2000s, just weaker. It’s early still I know, but personally I could use an advisory to help with things. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s early still I know, but personally I could use an advisory to help with things. For sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 44 minutes ago Share Posted 44 minutes ago 6 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Colder version of what we just had a few days ago....most would take that look at this point, we all want the biggie, but at this point give me 3-6, with some cold to follow. Reminds me a bit of the systems from the early 2000s, just weaker. A colder version of Tuesday’s deal would be fine with me. Had alot of freezing rain Tuesday..turn a lot of that to snow, and I’d be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 42 minutes ago Share Posted 42 minutes ago 15 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Snow was sparse, but those winters were on average much colder than than the below average snowfall winters of recent. A colder/dryer look versus the warmer that we've become accustomed to. The warmest winter in all of the 80s for the Northeast would've been the 4th coldest of the past 10 years. I’ll gladly take what we’ve had the last 30 years or so(milder or whatever)…than that BS from the 80’s. It’s gonna snow…And will continue to snow. Let’s see what happens in the present over the next few weeks…that’s all that matters to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted 36 minutes ago Share Posted 36 minutes ago Quick coating from the snow showers coming through. Very pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 34 minutes ago Share Posted 34 minutes ago 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Right. This is the kind of stuff that’s a little crazy. Snowcover data is a very factual, as is data point. It’s not subjective. You can’t not believe it. You can make the argument our ceiling might be higher on a smaller scale, but, yeah, the snow cover decline is real, and we feel it Never underestimate americans… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago 31 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: For now, the GFS is on an island.. I guess the Canadian joined the island…I know CMC lol…but at least it’s another piece of guidance joining in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted 24 minutes ago Share Posted 24 minutes ago Lt sn. 18F. Looks and feels like January Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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