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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

2.5”/0.22” here

Just broomed the driveway. Up to 12.8” on the season. 28.0° with a -SHSN right now. It’s been snowing off and on for a few hours.

I was about 10 miles to far south to remain all snow here, Needed a bit of elevation for this one, Still have a very nice wintry appeal and ended with a net gain.

IMG_8228.PNG

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7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This is a 3- 5 deal. Pretty easy and has been 

 

7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

It’s definitely better, but still pretty weak. Probably hours of very light snow amount to an inch or two SOP

These are not the same. 

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Just now, WinterWolf said:

Are we feeling the NAM has any sort of a clue? 

Maybe…hard to really put any stock in the NAM at this range but it’s been kind of close to the Euro. Would be nice to get the GFS trending NW

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Maybe…hard to really put any stock in the NAM at this range but it’s been kind of close to the Euro. Would be nice to get the GFS trending NW

I guess looking at it like that…understandable.  I guess the take away here is, this isn’t done moving/changing yet by any stretch.  I’d be happy with 2” at this point. 

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Just now, WinterWolf said:

I guess looking at it like that…understandable.  I guess the take away here is, this isn’t done moving/changing yet by any stretch.  I’d be happy with 2” at this point. 

I think it’s def going to be a struggle to amplify this. There’s enough room to get us with a decent event but not by much. You really want to see those TPV heights relax a little north of us which allows the shortwave/vort energy to swing around the base a little easier…but it’s not an easy task. 

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1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

It won’t be amped…it had its amped runs yesterday at 18z and 0z.  Flat is where it will be imo. But it isn’t in its useful window yet(using that term very lightly). 

It's a good hit, but it's the nam after 6 hours so we take with a grain of salt, but just feel good that it wasn't gfs like .. 

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12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Are we feeling the NAM has any sort of a clue? 

All I was looking for was for it to not be flat.. 

 

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

It was a big hit?
 

So what’s the flag you were mentioning?

Big hit for recent times here would be 6"+ for many in CT verbatim.. The red flag was if it was not amped , so we are good, that's all we can use the NAM for.  If the AMP happy NAM can't show a hit then we were in trouble IMO.. 

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Just now, DavisStraight said:

Just rain here but it's gonna be a frozen mess soon.

Started out as snow, It was 30°F  but it was spotty for a bit then we had a good burst and the temp dropped to 28°F and remained there, It flipped to freezing rain around 4pm but it was light thereafter with some glaze.

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