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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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2 minutes ago, Hazey said:

Euro being east should be a caution flag for amped solutions. So far this upcoming system has been behaving quite well. Models are jockeying for position so fade the big swings.

I'm interested to see the 12z Euro.. starts in a few minutes :snowing:

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Gonna be tough for coastal and SE peeps. This isn’t their storm unless it threads the needle.  
 

I think interior SNE could do well though. 

IMO - ANY significant snow before January 1 is always a pleasant surprise down here in the coastal plain, next to the bay.  Too many things working against us early in the Winter.  A couple of inches of slop will be a positive... 

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15 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

IMO - ANY significant snow before January 1 is always a pleasant surprise down here in the coastal plain, next to the bay.  Too many things working against us early in the Winter.  A couple of inches of slop will be a positive... 

Id take the ground whitening or even flakes in the air. 

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15 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I think we get it good but having the AI so far south is worrying 

It’s a bit of a red flag but I’ve seen the AI totally out to lunch before and it has been slowly but surely ticking NW the last few runs. 

Watch the vort track…that usually tells you. It’s currently tracking from like central PA into LI/RI. That’s not really a big suppressed look to me. It can become suppressed if the vort/energy gets ground up too much but it’s still pretty defined in PA. 

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