December 2025 OBS and Discussion

[SnoSki14]

6 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Big troll 

It does look very mild

[Yanksfan]

Starting to get that bad vibe that we’re going snowless for December. What a waste of cold.

[snowman19]

Sunday is quickly trending to a disjointed, sheared mess on the operationals and the ensembles. Raging fast flow, the +PNA is very progressive (as usual) and there is no traffic/blocking in the Atlantic to slow the flow down, it just races right off the coast as FROPA

[PhiEaglesfan712]

16 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Our yards might be muddy, but rivers and streams are at or near record low flowrates for the date.

The yards being muddy is a good sign. That usually means the drought is coming to an end soon.

[MJO812]

23 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Sunday is quickly trending to a disjointed, sheared mess on the operationals and the ensembles. Raging fast flow, the +PNA is very progressive (as usual) and there is no traffic/blocking in the Atlantic to slow the flow down, it just races right off the coast as FROPA

Quiet possible it misses but not sure

AI models still show a nice hit

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Quiet possible it misses but not sure

AI models still show a nice hit

Euro is back to a little snow event 

[bluewave]

46 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Sunday is quickly trending to a disjointed, sheared mess on the operationals and the ensembles. Raging fast flow, the +PNA is very progressive (as usual) and there is no traffic/blocking in the Atlantic to slow the flow down, it just races right off the coast as FROPA

With how hostile the Pacific has been, even a T to 2 would be a big win to avoid a shutout.

[North and West]

Historic torch is gearing up for second half of December, rubber band going to snap back hard

Is that real? The apps just keep pushing cold and dry. TIA.


.

[North and West]

Will it know about the damaging effects of the sun angle on snow accumulations?

I would worry about sun angle this weekend.



.

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, bluewave said:

With how hostile the Pacific has been, even a T to 2 would be a big win to avoid a shutout.

Definitely 

This is why the models are having a tough time. Flow is too fast .

Hopefully the milder pattern isnt long and we go into an amplified pattern.

 

[bluewave]

19 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Definitely 

This is why the models are having a tough time. Flow is too fast .

Hopefully the milder pattern isnt long and we go into an amplified pattern.

 

We haven’t had a December shoutout since 1895 when the first 15 days of the month were as cold as this year is going to be. Would be a new record for wasted December cold in the modern era. But nothing really surprises me anymore due to how extreme the Pacific Jet has become since 2018-2019.

[NYER72]

hard to believe how cold its been and, yet we get rain later today here