November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, crownweather said:

For what it's worth, our dog's winter coat is already coming in & it's very thick.  Probably the thicket winter coat I've seen on our dogs since moving to Mass in 2017.  Am used to seeing this type of winter coat when we were living in the northernmost reaches of Maine.  Wonder if this is precursor of how bad this winter could be.  Hmmm.....

[metagraphica]

Not looking forward to this. 

Veterans Day

Mostly sunny, with a high near 43.

[vortex95]

The late Wed/early Thu event looks very impressive.  Low pressure 998 mb over Lake Huron  noon EST Wed, and rapidly deepens to 979 mb just E of EPM by 6am EST Thu.  

Interesting and unexpected things can happen in such a case.  W/ most low pressures that RI, there is often a "sweet spot" location that takes full advantage of this RI, meaning you can get absolutely crushed above expectations.  The way the pattern is currently, New England is in this sweet spot.  So wild precip and wind is possible.  Perhaps the most impressive example of this was the Bliz of '78.

The mean trough position has been very good for the E Coast events for over a month now.  Best lead into winter for a pattern I have seen in some time.

One thing about these kind of situations, the "surprise factor" is higher than typical.  Given the mean trough position is excellent for the NEUS (we saw what happened last night -- overperfomed), why not?  When its "good," it can be *really* "good."  meaning sometimes you can get in to patterns that are relentless, everything goes right, and so nuts that even CoastalWx will forget his pain from the lack of snow he dealt w/ in the 80s (no 4-8" backlash, instead sunny when he got up in the morning), and the pitiful winters in the 2020s so far!  Jan-Feb 2015 was such one period.  Entire winters like 1992-93 and 1995-96 were like this.

CoastalWx also needs to keep in mind Dec 9, 2005 in mind when it comes to wind w/ these type of storms.  Sting jet!  He'll be looking for the PVU anomaly and tropospheric fold I bet.  LOL.
 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

The late Wed/early Thu event looks very impressive.  Low pressure 998 mb over Lake Huron  noon EST Wed, and rapidly deepens to 979 mb just E of EPM by 6am EST Thu.  

Interesting and unexpected things can happen in such a case.  W/ most low pressures that RI, there is often a "sweet spot" location that takes full advantage of this RI, meaning you can get absolutely crushed above expectations.  The way the pattern is currently, New England is in this sweet spot.  So wild precip and wind is possible.  Perhaps the most impressive example of this was the Bliz of '78.

The mean trough position has been very good for the E Coast events for over a month now.  Best lead into winter for a pattern I have seen in some time.

One thing about these kind of situations, the "surprise factor" is higher than typical.  Given the mean trough position is excellent for the NEUS (we saw what happening last night -- overperfomed), why not?  When its "good," it can be *really* "good."  meaning sometimes you can get in to patterns that are relentless, everything goes right, and so nuts that even CoastalWx will forget his pain from the lack of snow he dealt w/ in the 80s (no 4-8" backlash, instead sunny when he got up in the morning), and the pitiful winters in the 2020s so far!  Jan-Feb 2015 was such one period.  Entire winters like 1992-93 and 1995-96 were like this.

CoastalWx also needs to keep in mind Dec 9, 2005 in mind when it comes to wind w/ these type of storms.  Sting jet!  He'll be looking for the PVU anomaly and tropospheric fold I bet.  LOL.
 

Hopefully this over performs and see hundreds of thousands outages and trees down. You should post this in the thread for it 

[vortex95]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hopefully this over performs and see hundreds of thousands outages and trees down. You should post this in the thread for it 

I'm not advocating the bad impacts, just pointing out the meteorology of the event and its potential.  Pattern recognition plays a big role in this case.

[moneypitmike]

Just glanced out to see this—thought it was kind of neat.  Shadows from Bath being cast across the Kennebec onto Woolwich while the full moon rises.

 

And now the sun has set   Sigh.

 

 

 

[kdxken]

49 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

Not looking forward to this. 

Veterans Day

Mostly sunny, with a high near 43.

Better than rainy with a high near 43.

[kdxken]

5 hours ago, alex said:

Saw this guy yesterday on my deck. Didn’t seem very fat but on so cute 

Nasty little things. Always yelling.

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, Bryan63 said:

Definitely breezy today! Watching our 20 month old get caught in a leaf tornado this afternoon is going to be a great memory. Her reaction from scared, to amazed, to laughing was great.

Wonderful - wish you had caught that on the cellphone.
I've only encountered that once, on the south slopes of Bigelow Mt when heading up to audit some forest inventory plots in late October.  It was windy but the leafnado came on doubled force with dozens of leaves bouncing off all sides of me.  Further up was even windier and the tall spruces were leaning alarmingly with each gust.  When I heard a gust coming, I would find a large sugar maple or yellow birch and lean on its lee side, in case one of the nearby spruces decided to give up.  I gave up in moderate SN with 1"+ OG.  Went down from about 2200' to 1200 and there it was only sprinkling with modest wind.  Co-worker was on the north slope and had nothing notable for wind or snow.

[kdxken]

5 hours ago, Layman said:

We're heading up to your neck of the woods tomorrow for a few days to stay at the Omni.  Looks like we'll get our first taste of some snow!  And wind...lots of wind.  

The red squirrels were out in force during the spring and early summer here.  Bold and trying to get into everything! 

Ever hike the Grand canyon? They're all over you looking for food. There are signs everywhere not to feed them .

[CoastalWx]

On 11/2/2025 at 6:55 PM, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

I know that with cc it's expected that winters will keep getting milder with less snow but it's surprising to me how we also get less tropical and severe than we used to. With a warming climate I would've thought that the opposite would be the case. We rarely get those intense summer time derechos like we used to get in the 90s and same with hurricanes. I wonder what happened? It's like SNE has become a slightly more continental version of Seattle with very little interesting weather year round.

You probably have had 6 tornadoes within a 8 mile radius since mehing weather from 2024 on. Including last night.