Wannabehippie Posted yesterday at 02:08 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:08 PM 7 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: Next update at 10 am from nhc any mintue 3 minutes ago, cptcatz said: 892, 185 mph. Landfall at this intensity would tie 1935 as strongest ever. 10:00 AM EDT Tue Oct 28 Location: 17.7°N 78.1°W Moving: NNE at 7 mph Min pressure: 892 mb Max sustained: 185 mph Hopefully Melissa will start to speed up, pull away faster than it is moving in, but so far still crawling along at 7mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted yesterday at 02:08 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:08 PM Before Melissa, the lowest SLP on record in Jamaica was 958 mb (1951’s Charlie) followed by 960 mb (Gilbert 1988). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted yesterday at 02:08 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:08 PM I can see bridges under water already, https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/jamaica.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted yesterday at 02:10 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:10 PM Josh is pretty much locked in. Structure he's in looks to be sound and thick concrete reinforced. Crazy to still be able to communicate with him.... 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted yesterday at 02:10 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:10 PM Just caught up. There are no words to describe the extraordinary meteorological event underway. Melissa has taken advantage of a unique environment for intensification, and like many of our landfalling systems in the last decade, is intensifying on final approach. My God. 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted yesterday at 02:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:12 PM 1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said: I can see bridges under water already, https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/jamaica.html Thing is the water will come up very rapidly as the eye comes ashore, like a slowed down tsunami. And gigantic waves on top. I guess it’s a positive in this case that the elevation rises quickly away from the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted yesterday at 02:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:13 PM Last dropsondes suggests Melissa has peaked/leveled off with the 895 mb 7 kt. Not going to matter much at this point though as far as Jamaica goes. This is basically going to be landfall intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted yesterday at 02:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:13 PM Just stunning that we keep breaking records for SLP/winds, and storm after storm strengthening on landfall. Over and over again in the past few years. You begin to run out of superlatives. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted yesterday at 02:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:13 PM The south eyewall Product: NOAA Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KWBC)Transmitted: 28th day of the month at 14:06ZAgency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF)Storm Name: MelissaStorm Number: 13 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)Mission Number: 23Observation Number: 06 ( See all messages of this type for this mission. )Part A... Date: Near the closest hour of 14Z on the 28th day of the monthHighest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 850mbCoordinates: 17.6N 78.0WLocation: 84 statute miles (134 km) to the WSW (250°) from Kingston, Jamaica.Marsden Square: 044 ( About ) Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed 1000mb This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level. 927mb (27.38 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 24.4°C (75.9°F) 24.4°C (76°F) 185° (from the S) 172 knots (198 mph) 925mb 20m (66 ft) 24.2°C (75.6°F) 24.2°C (76°F) 185° (from the S) 174 knots (200 mph) 850mb 755m (2,477 ft) 20.0°C (68.0°F) 20.0°C (68°F) 240° (from the WSW) 187 knots (215 mph) Information About Radiosonde:- Launch Time: 13:50Z- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.Remarks Section... Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eyewall 180° (S) from the eye center.Highest altitude where wind was reported:- Location: 17.58N 78.03W- Time: 13:50:52ZLowest altitude where wind was reported:- Location: 17.66N 77.91W- Time: 13:54:00ZMean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):- Wind Direction: 210° (from the SSW)- Wind Speed: 192 knots (221 mph)Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):- Wind Direction: 240° (from the WSW)- Wind Speed: 147 knots (169 mph)- Depth of Sounding: From 713mb to 926mbAverage Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:- Lowest 150m: 157 gpm - 7 gpm (515 geo. feet - 23 geo. feet)- Wind Direction: 195° (from the SSW)- Wind Speed: 188 knots (216 mph)Sounding Software Version: AEV 40001 Part B: Data for Significant Levels... Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels Level Air Temperature Dew Point 927mb (Surface) 24.4°C (75.9°F) 24.4°C (76°F) 924mb 24.2°C (75.6°F) About 15°C (59°F) 887mb 21.4°C (70.5°F) 21.4°C (71°F) 850mb 20.0°C (68.0°F) 20.0°C (68°F) 825mb 21.2°C (70.2°F) 21.2°C (70°F) 801mb 21.4°C (70.5°F) 21.4°C (71°F) 709mb 15.8°C (60.4°F) 15.8°C (60°F) Significant Wind Levels Level Wind Direction Wind Speed 927mb (Surface) 185° (from the S) 172 knots (198 mph) 924mb 190° (from the S) 171 knots (197 mph) 922mb 185° (from the S) 179 knots (206 mph) 921mb 185° (from the S) 185 knots (213 mph) 919mb 190° (from the S) 187 knots (215 mph) 918mb 190° (from the S) 195 knots (224 mph) 917mb 190° (from the S) 189 knots (217 mph) 916mb 195° (from the SSW) 203 knots (234 mph) 915mb 195° (from the SSW) 189 knots (217 mph) 914mb 195° (from the SSW) 189 knots (217 mph) 912mb 205° (from the SSW) 206 knots (237 mph) 911mb 205° (from the SSW) 215 knots (247 mph) 907mb 205° (from the SSW) 214 knots (246 mph) 906mb 205° (from the SSW) 219 knots (252 mph) 901mb 215° (from the SW) 207 knots (238 mph) 890mb 215° (from the SW) 201 knots (231 mph) 884mb 220° (from the SW) 184 knots (212 mph) 879mb 220° (from the SW) 176 knots (203 mph) 867mb 225° (from the SW) 182 knots (209 mph) 864mb 225° (from the SW) 190 knots (219 mph) 862mb 225° (from the SW) 192 knots (221 mph) 860mb 230° (from the SW) 211 knots (243 mph) 858mb 230° (from the SW) 198 knots (228 mph) 856mb 230° (from the SW) 196 knots (226 mph) 853mb 235° (from the SW) 185 knots (213 mph) 850mb 240° (from the WSW) 187 knots (215 mph) 846mb 245° (from the WSW) 197 knots (227 mph) 831mb 265° (from the W) 171 knots (197 mph) 830mb 255° (from the WSW) 189 knots (217 mph) 827mb 260° (from the W) 181 knots (208 mph) 826mb 265° (from the W) 166 knots (191 mph) 825mb 265° (from the W) 170 knots (196 mph) 820mb 270° (from the W) 141 knots (162 mph) 808mb 265° (from the W) 160 knots (184 mph) 801mb 260° (from the W) 144 knots (166 mph) 789mb 260° (from the W) 163 knots (188 mph) 773mb 265° (from the W) 115 knots (132 mph) 750mb 270° (from the W) 140 knots (161 mph) 741mb 255° (from the WSW) 110 knots (127 mph) 730mb 250° (from the WSW) 106 knots (122 mph) 713mb 255° (from the WSW) 133 knots (153 mph) 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted yesterday at 02:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:14 PM What’s the best live site to stream? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted yesterday at 02:14 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:14 PM 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted yesterday at 02:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:14 PM 1 minute ago, dan11295 said: Last dropsondes suggests Melissa has peaked/leveled off with the 895 mb 7 kt. Not going to matter much at this point though as far as Jamaica though. "Leveling off" at 895 mb goodness gracious.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted yesterday at 02:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:15 PM 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: The south eyewall Product: NOAA Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KWBC)Transmitted: 28th day of the month at 14:06ZAgency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF)Storm Name: MelissaStorm Number: 13 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)Mission Number: 23Observation Number: 06 ( See all messages of this type for this mission. )Part A... Date: Near the closest hour of 14Z on the 28th day of the monthHighest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 850mbCoordinates: 17.6N 78.0WLocation: 84 statute miles (134 km) to the WSW (250°) from Kingston, Jamaica.Marsden Square: 044 ( About ) Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed 1000mb This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level. 927mb (27.38 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 24.4°C (75.9°F) 24.4°C (76°F) 185° (from the S) 172 knots (198 mph) 925mb 20m (66 ft) 24.2°C (75.6°F) 24.2°C (76°F) 185° (from the S) 174 knots (200 mph) 850mb 755m (2,477 ft) 20.0°C (68.0°F) 20.0°C (68°F) 240° (from the WSW) 187 knots (215 mph) Information About Radiosonde:- Launch Time: 13:50Z- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.Remarks Section... Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eyewall 180° (S) from the eye center.Highest altitude where wind was reported:- Location: 17.58N 78.03W- Time: 13:50:52ZLowest altitude where wind was reported:- Location: 17.66N 77.91W- Time: 13:54:00ZMean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):- Wind Direction: 210° (from the SSW)- Wind Speed: 192 knots (221 mph)Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):- Wind Direction: 240° (from the WSW)- Wind Speed: 147 knots (169 mph)- Depth of Sounding: From 713mb to 926mbAverage Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:- Lowest 150m: 157 gpm - 7 gpm (515 geo. feet - 23 geo. feet)- Wind Direction: 195° (from the SSW)- Wind Speed: 188 knots (216 mph)Sounding Software Version: AEV 40001 Part B: Data for Significant Levels... Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels Level Air Temperature Dew Point 927mb (Surface) 24.4°C (75.9°F) 24.4°C (76°F) 924mb 24.2°C (75.6°F) About 15°C (59°F) 887mb 21.4°C (70.5°F) 21.4°C (71°F) 850mb 20.0°C (68.0°F) 20.0°C (68°F) 825mb 21.2°C (70.2°F) 21.2°C (70°F) 801mb 21.4°C (70.5°F) 21.4°C (71°F) 709mb 15.8°C (60.4°F) 15.8°C (60°F) Significant Wind Levels Level Wind Direction Wind Speed 927mb (Surface) 185° (from the S) 172 knots (198 mph) 924mb 190° (from the S) 171 knots (197 mph) 922mb 185° (from the S) 179 knots (206 mph) 921mb 185° (from the S) 185 knots (213 mph) 919mb 190° (from the S) 187 knots (215 mph) 918mb 190° (from the S) 195 knots (224 mph) 917mb 190° (from the S) 189 knots (217 mph) 916mb 195° (from the SSW) 203 knots (234 mph) 915mb 195° (from the SSW) 189 knots (217 mph) 914mb 195° (from the SSW) 189 knots (217 mph) 912mb 205° (from the SSW) 206 knots (237 mph) 911mb 205° (from the SSW) 215 knots (247 mph) 907mb 205° (from the SSW) 214 knots (246 mph) 906mb 205° (from the SSW) 219 knots (252 mph) 901mb 215° (from the SW) 207 knots (238 mph) 890mb 215° (from the SW) 201 knots (231 mph) 884mb 220° (from the SW) 184 knots (212 mph) 879mb 220° (from the SW) 176 knots (203 mph) 867mb 225° (from the SW) 182 knots (209 mph) 864mb 225° (from the SW) 190 knots (219 mph) 862mb 225° (from the SW) 192 knots (221 mph) 860mb 230° (from the SW) 211 knots (243 mph) 858mb 230° (from the SW) 198 knots (228 mph) 856mb 230° (from the SW) 196 knots (226 mph) 853mb 235° (from the SW) 185 knots (213 mph) 850mb 240° (from the WSW) 187 knots (215 mph) 846mb 245° (from the WSW) 197 knots (227 mph) 831mb 265° (from the W) 171 knots (197 mph) 830mb 255° (from the WSW) 189 knots (217 mph) 827mb 260° (from the W) 181 knots (208 mph) 826mb 265° (from the W) 166 knots (191 mph) 825mb 265° (from the W) 170 knots (196 mph) 820mb 270° (from the W) 141 knots (162 mph) 808mb 265° (from the W) 160 knots (184 mph) 801mb 260° (from the W) 144 knots (166 mph) 789mb 260° (from the W) 163 knots (188 mph) 773mb 265° (from the W) 115 knots (132 mph) 750mb 270° (from the W) 140 knots (161 mph) 741mb 255° (from the WSW) 110 knots (127 mph) 730mb 250° (from the WSW) 106 knots (122 mph) 713mb 255° (from the WSW) 133 knots (153 mph) Basically EF-5+++ tornado winds at 252mph 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted yesterday at 02:16 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:16 PM 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: "Leveling off" at 895 mb goodness gracious.... Seriously…. lol if only this was 902 - they’d be spared!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted yesterday at 02:16 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:16 PM Those readings from the southern eyewall are mind blowing. Horrifying for those in the path of the eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted yesterday at 02:16 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:16 PM https://web.weatherwise.app/?fbclid=IwY2xjawNtr2pleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHrZRMzPoePN58LN2fIgsBD5ByjfU_HxzDsHvXrgsWbp9NFp2KsDjVIGmU12S_aem_gG4ATJc-hpqY5SvXVUu46A#map=7/17.781/-77.309 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted yesterday at 02:17 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:17 PM 5 minutes ago, Jefflaw77 said: What’s the best live site to stream? Jeff Piotrowski: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted yesterday at 02:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:18 PM Here is a fantastic loop of the radar showing this morning's eyewall merger. You can see the two bands merge, followed by the new single eyewall blow up with red. This is also the point in which the satellite blew up with intense lightning. https://x.com/WxTca/status/1983146321751024008 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted yesterday at 02:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:18 PM 3 minutes ago, Jefflaw77 said: What’s the best live site to stream? The one I posted first that seems to be easier to view and ask the other sites basically show the same cams. Anyway. https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/jamaica.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted yesterday at 02:21 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:21 PM Cleanest and consistently round looking eye I've ever seen on the satellite loops that i can recall jeez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted yesterday at 02:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:22 PM Josh Morgerman is going to hit the center perfectly in Crawford. I hope he gets a sub-900 measurement. That would be quite a trophy. 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John18 Posted yesterday at 02:24 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:24 PM Josh Morgerman is going to hit the center perfectly in Crawford. I hope he gets a sub-900 measurement. That would be quite a trophy.Does he have a live feed? I keep searching but nothing comes upSent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted yesterday at 02:24 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:24 PM Hope Josh can stay safe. This is likely to be one of his more violent chases. Is this going to maintain 5 status crossing Jamaica? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted yesterday at 02:24 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:24 PM 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Those readings from the southern eyewall are mind blowing. Horrifying for those in the path of the eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted yesterday at 02:25 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:25 PM 2 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: Cleanest and consistently round looking eye I've ever seen on the satellite loops that i can recall jeez I hope someone (Josh) can get some photos in that eye. I can’t even imagine what it must be like going from the most violent weather on Earth to sunny calm then back to Armageddon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted yesterday at 02:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:26 PM 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: I hope someone (Josh) can get some photos in that eye. I can’t even imagine what it must be like going from the most violent weather on Earth to sunny calm then back to Armageddon. Was just thinking he might be in that eye for a bit, should be close to fully clear in it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted yesterday at 02:27 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:27 PM I can't convince myself to sign up for TikTok, even to watch streams of the strongest Hurricane landfall in history. 23 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted yesterday at 02:28 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:28 PM 5 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Josh Morgerman is going to hit the center perfectly in Crawford. I hope he gets a sub-900 measurement. That would be quite a trophy. He really has a nose for hitting the center of hurricanes. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted yesterday at 02:28 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:28 PM 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: That is legit just off the surface. The noise alone from the winds off the deck have to be deafening. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted yesterday at 02:28 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:28 PM Yeah the jog north here right before landfall will get Josh head on in the eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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