October Nor’easter: 2025 Edition

[Modfan2]

Evidently going to be a pretty meh storm given the lack of posts in here; .48” so far here in E CT

[kdxken]

Wind starting to pick up a little and it's getting warmer.

[kdxken]

Rhode Island getting a s*** ton of rain. You can set your clock by it.

[WinterWolf]

6 hours ago, bristolri_wx said:

AFD’s are issued regardless of the weather. Have you read one? They used to be issued every 6 hours or so and more often when weather warranted it. That no longer seems to be the case.

The storm isn’t severe, but it’s still nice to get the latest thoughts about it from professionals. Changes in winds, qpf, etc…

AFD’s also contain latest marine and aviation discussions, which matter to those who need them, even if it’s not me. There could be 50-75 mph gusts out over open waters…

But this is why you come here…there are plenty of pros here…and great discussion.  
 

If this was mid December onwards, with cold in place…the AFD’s would be out there as you stated.  This will not affect any travel on land here in SNE, so that’s why there isn’t a whole lot more on it.  It’s not that big of a deal period. 

[CoastalWx]

Logan gusting to near 40MPH and steady rains. Could be some high totals in cstl SE MA.

[CoastalWx]

Even here at Winni it’s breezy with gusts maybe 25mph or so. 

[bristolri_wx]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

But this is why you come here…there are plenty of pros here…and great discussion.  
 

If this was mid December onwards, with cold in place…the AFD’s would be out there as you stated.  This will not affect any travel on land here in SNE, so that’s why there isn’t a whole lot more on it.  It’s not that big of a deal period. 

We can agree to disagree. It has less to do with this storm and more to do with receiving a service we used to get regardless of the weather. I enjoy reading the AFD, maybe I’m the only one.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

We can agree to disagree. It has less to do with this storm and more to do with receiving a service we used to get regardless of the weather. I enjoy reading the AFD, maybe I’m the only one.

Back in the day AFDs for me were one of the main conduits of learning for me. The Walt Drag AFDs and others really helped my understanding of atmospheric processes. I think times have out changed now and the days of weenie AFDs are virtually gone. Expect maybe for more extreme events. 

[WinterWolf]

7 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

We can agree to disagree. It has less to do with this storm and more to do with receiving a service we used to get regardless of the weather. I enjoy reading the AFD, maybe I’m the only one.

Ya, it’s fun I agree. But I wouldn’t read it for a mundane deal like this, but that’s just me. Now if we were on tap for 6-12, or  12-18, with wind…,we’d all be reading, and they, the the NWS, world have the AFD out when it needed to be.  Don’t you worry…it’ll be there when it’s something of genuine consequence. 
 

But I get the joy of reading it when it’s something siggy. 

[wdstck]

38 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Evidently going to be a pretty meh storm given the lack of posts in here; .48” so far here in E CT

Could keep coming. Maybe not near us, but RI, Cape, Islands could get soggy.  Looking at radar could get soggy near us.

[kdxken]

29 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

But this is why you come here…there are plenty of pros here…and great discussion.  
 

If this was mid December onwards, with cold in place…the AFD’s would be out there as you stated.  This will not affect any travel on land here in SNE, so that’s why there isn’t a whole lot more on it.  It’s not that big of a deal period. 

I'd rather hear from the national weather service. Many talented posters on here . Although some buffoon said it wasn't even going to rain. "gonna stay south, can't come north because of the high, we see it all the time, toss the models..."

[HIPPYVALLEY]

37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Even here at Winni it’s breezy with gusts maybe 25mph or so. 

The wind is dead in the valley right now, very light breeze and some light rain showers.    I bet there will be some pretty good gusts inside of I-495 tonight.  Assuming it picks up a little here later on tonight. 

[metagraphica]

Too bad this isn't a January or February radar:

[WinterWolf]

16 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I'd rather hear from the national weather service. Many talented posters on here . Although some buffoon said it wasn't even going to rain. "gonna stay south, can't come north because of the high, we see it all the time, toss the models..."   

Well, you will hear from NWS when it’s something significant…this isn’t a big deal though. And Gotta know how to wade through the nonsense, and gleam the real truth here, you know that. You know the posts that are legit, and the ones that aren’t. 

[CT Valley Snowman]

.42 at a nearby PWS.  Light to moderate rain and breezy at times but not consistent.  

[Hoth]

Strongest wind of the day now. Couple solid house shakers.

[powderfreak]

30 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Well, you will hear from NWS when it’s something significant…this isn’t a big deal though. 

What?  They issue AFDs like 4 times a day or used to?

You hear from the NWS when it’s partly cloudy or when it’s a big deal.  That is/was the value of it.

I read the man updates almost daily and I bet many on here do too.

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Even here at Winni it’s breezy with gusts maybe 25mph or so. 

Back in your hood: 

 

 

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, bristolri_wx said:

We can agree to disagree. It has less to do with this storm and more to do with receiving a service we used to get regardless of the weather. I enjoy reading the AFD, maybe I’m the only one.

 

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Back in the day AFDs for me were one of the main conduits of learning for me. The Walt Drag AFDs and others really helped my understanding of atmospheric processes. I think times have out changed now and the days of weenie AFDs are virtually gone. Expect maybe for more extreme events. 

Yeah sad to see the changes.

Descriptive and knowledgeable AFDs are the best part of the NWS (or were).

[kdxken]

724 p.m. 

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Back in your hood: 

 

 

Who knows how his station is mounted. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Who knows how his station is mounted. 

Giggidy. 

[Vinny Findley]

Steady light to moderate since about noon. More breast than windy.

[WinterWolf]

32 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

What?  They issue AFDs like 4 times a day or used to?

You hear from the NWS when it’s partly cloudy or when it’s a big deal.  That is/was the value of it.

I read the man updates almost daily and I bet many on here do too.

Ya, just responding to the guy who said they didn’t update the AFD…so who knows. 

[WxWatcher007]

.67” so far at WXW1.

[Hoth]

Absolutely hammering out there. Trees whipping back and forth. Constant roar and pounding rain. Great storm. 

[Snowcrazed71]

7 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Absolutely hammering out there. Trees whipping back and forth. Constant roar and pounding rain. Great storm. 

Wait.. as re you at the CT Shore?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

53 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

.67” so far at WXW1.

Seeing our first burst of moderate rain in Greenfield. .20" so far.    Hartford to Springfield definitely getting the good banding tonight.   

[bristolri_wx]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya, just responding to the guy who said they didn’t update the AFD…so who knows. 

I've been reading the AFD's for 25 years... even for a pedestrian storm like this one (pedestrian as in not record breaking), you would get a descriptive update every 4-6 hours in the past.  Even the 7:24 PM update that @kdxken pointed out earlier, if you select the "highlight changed discussion feature" the only part that changed was the aviation forecast.  That means that's mostly the same forecast from 2:30, and before that, the other significant update was 3:30 am.  That's essentially only 2 major updates in 24 hours.

I guess my overall point is that the lack of updates is noticeable, and disappointing, for whatever the reason is that's causing the reduction.....

[Childude645]

1.1". so far