steve392 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Line of storms is starting to look impressive. Hopefully it holds together and hits after i get home lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I try to remember to post these on the first but anyway here we go ... <<<< SEPTEMBER daily records, NYC >>>> Date ___ Hi max __ Hi min ___ Low max _ Low min ___ 1d rain __ 2d rain __ notes Sep 01 __ 97 1953 __ 76 1898^_____ 59 1869 __ 51 1869 _______ 7.13 2021 _ 7.13 2021 Sep 02 _102 1953 __ 79 1898 _____ 62 1869 __ 51 1886 _______ 2.12 1899 _ 7.23 2021 Sep 03 __ 99 1929 __ 78 1898 _____ 62 1935 __ 50 1885, 93 ___ 3.32 1969 _ 3.44 1974 (0.18+3.26) Sep 04 __ 97 1929 __ 78 1898 _____ 66 1984 __ 47 1872, 83 ___ 3.48 1913 _ 6.28 1969 Sep 05 __ 94 1985 __ 77 1898 _____ 62 1926 __ 51 1963 ________2.45 1878 _ 4.14 1913 Sep 06 __ 97 1881 __ 78 1985 ______ 56 1963 __ 48 1924 _______3.26 2008 _ 3.54 2008 __ 3.22 2011 (1d) Sep 07 __101 1881 __ 79 1881 _______ 63 1877,88 _46 1888 _____ 2.07 1998 _ 4.43 2011 (3.22 + 1.21) Sep 08 __ 97 2015 __ 76 2015 _______ 63 1918 __ 52 1871 ______ 4.86 1934 _ 5.48 1934 __ 3.77 2004 (1d) Sep 09 __ 94 1915 __ 77 1884 _______ 61 1880,83 _48 1883 _____0.86 1902 _ 4.86 1934** Sep 10 __ 97 1931,83 _77 1884 ______ 62 1883 __ 43 1883 ______ 1.80 2023 _ 1.82 2023 Sep 11 __ 99 1931,83 _ 78 1983 ______61 1876,1914 _43 1917 (62)__ 2.90 1954 _ 3.46 2023 _ (3.30 1954) Sep 12 __ 94 1961 __ 77 1895 _______ 62 1883 __ 46 1917 ________2.35 1960 _ 3.23 1882 Sep 13 __ 94 1952 __ 75 1890 _______ 59 1965 __ 46 1963 _______3.94 1944 _ 5.58 1944 __ 3.37 1889 2d Sep 14 __ 93 1931 __ 74 1947 _______ 60 1873 _____46 1911, 75 ___3.82 1944 _ 7.76 1944 _ 3.10 1945 (1d) Sep 15 __ 92 1927 __ 75 1931,2005 _ 57 1954 _____44 1873 ______4.16 1933 _ 7.00 1933 Sep 16 __ 93 1915 __ 73 1903,2005 _ 60 1872 _____47 1966 ______5.02 1999 _ 5.44 1999 __ 4.38 1933 (2d) Sep 17 __ 93 1991 __ 77 1991 ________ 57 1945 _____45 1986 ______3.37 1876 _ 4.14 1874 __ 3.28 1874 (1d) Sep 18 __ 91 1891 __ 72 1905, 72 ____ 60 1875 _____44 1990 ______3.92 1936 _ 6.23 1874 Sep 19 __ 94 1983 __ 74 1906 _______ 51 1875^____ 44 1929 ______4.30 1894 _ 5.16 1894 __ 3.95 1936 (2d) Sep 20 __ 93 1895, 1983_77 1906 _____59 1901 _____44 1993 ______2.32 1989 _ 4.21 1989 Sep 21 __ 95 1895 __ 77 1895 ________56 1871 _____40 1871 _______5.54 1966 _ 5.74 1938 __ 4.05 1938 (1d) Sep 22 __ 95 1895,1914_75 1895 ______55 1875,1904__41 1904 ______2.34 1882 _ 5.64 1966 __ 3.55 1882 (2d) Sep 23 __ 97 1895 __ 77 1970 _______57 1963 _____ 41 1947 ______ 8.28 1882__10.62 1882 __ 2.72 1919 (1d) Sep 24 __ 91 2017 __ 74 1970 _______ 52 1887 _____40 1963 ______ 2.26 1975 _ 8.30 1882 __ 4.56 1975 (2d) Sep 25 __ 90 1970 __ 71 1881,1970 __ 53 1879 _____40 1887 _______2.36 1940 _ 3.31 1975 __ 7.43" 4d total 23-26 1975 Sep 26 __ 91 1881, 1970_74 1895 _____ 54 2000 _____42 1940 ______ 2.34 2008 _ 2.87 1975 __ 2.35" 1991 (1.97+0.38) Sep 27 __ 90 1933 __ 75 1881 ______ 56 1893 _____41 1947, 57 ____ 3.13 1985 _ 3.58 1985 Sep 28 __ 88 1881 __ 72 1891 ______ 53 1984 _____41 1947 ________ 3.84 2004 _ 3.84 2004 Sep 29 __ 88 1945 __ 72 1959,2015 _ 53 1888 ____ 42 1888,1914,42 __5.48 2023 _ 5.84 2023^ _ Sep 30 __ 89 1986 __ 70 1959 ______ 52 1888 ____ 39 1912 (hi 60)__ 2.64 1983 _ 2.64 1983 __ 2.21 1920 (1d) -- - - - - - - - - - - - - -- For 2d rainfalls, which are always total of previous date and current date in table, ^symbol means all rain fell on that day only, and ** symbol means all rain fell the previous day with zero added on date in table. some other notes 1st high min shared 1898, 1980, 2010, 2015 2nd, 3rd 1953 min 77, 77. also 75 on 3rd, 1973. 2nd __ note also 3.00 2-3 for 1899 3rd 2d rain 1969 3.45" (0.11 + 3.32) .01" less than 1974 2d. 1st-7th hot in 1898: 93, 93, 93, 92, 90, 88, 88 (no records though, set or shared high min 1st-5th) 5th high min shared 1898, 1907, 1985, 2018 9th 0.82" is lowest daily precip record of the calendar year. 14th 2d rain 1971 4.34 (0.58 + 3.76) ... 3d 12th-14th 6.10" 19th min with record low max was 45 (one higher than daily low min) 20-21 1938 the 2d rainfall total occurred with stalled fronts associated with the "Long Island Express" hurricane, with rain on 19th added the three day total was 7.50" and a further 0.63" fell on 17th-18th. The heavier rainfall on 21st 1966 pushed the daily max of 4.05" out of the record column. The 1966 rainfall was not of tropical storm origins. The 2d total for 20-21 was 5.56" (only 0.02" added from 20th) which did not quite exceed the 2d total for 1938. 28-29 4.68 2004 (3.84+0.82) and 28-29 another heavy 2d rainfall was 3.04" in 1907 (0.91+2.13). 29 record rainfall before 2023 was 2.18" 1963 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj08822 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Almost 0.8 inches of rain out here in the Lehigh Valley (PA) in last 90 minutes with the slow-moving front. Great for the grass and garden. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Line looking very robust. About to move through my area. Will let ya know how it goes in about 90 minutes. I'm giddy with anticipation! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Some showers are possible this evening into early tomorrow as a warm front moves across the region. Afterward, tomorrow and Saturday will be warmer days. Temperatures will top out in the lower and middle 80s before another cooler air mass moves into the region. A few of the warmer spots could top out in the upper 80s. Another round of showers or periods of rain is possible late Saturday into Sunday as a cold front crosses the region. Rainfall from the latter system will be more substantial than that which will occur overnight. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around August 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.32°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into early autumn. The SOI was +11.00 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.207 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Coming down in torrents. Some good rumbles and flashes. Winds gusting to about 25 mph. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Darkening skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Finally raining in chester! Also detoured into Peapack as 206 is closed for a brush fire. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yay raining with thunder 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Finally raining in chester! Also detoured into Peapack as 206 is closed for a brush fire. Feels like I haven't tracked some good convection in ages. Hope today and Saturday pan out! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago These NJ climate site #'s are correct... and match Radar Acopte Digital 1 hr and STP accums... .48 at my house in Wantage. Click image for clarity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Definitely starting to weaken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 hours ago, Dark Star said: There are many factors that go into Hurricane Season predictions, but the easiest is to assume that the ultra warm Gulf would enhance any system? Looks like the Hurricane season predictions will be wrong 2 years in a row? Question, and because I don’t have a clue: why do we say warm waters = increased hurricane activity? Don’t we need a temp delta to generate storms, regardless of a ‘warm’ state? Meaning - warm, normal, or cold, isn’t a big air/water temp delta the driver? Is that true? Hurricane seasonal forecasts have not been great over the last 25 years IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, nj08822 said: Almost 0.8 inches of rain out here in the Lehigh Valley (PA) in last 90 minutes with the slow-moving front. Great for the grass and garden. 0.7 “ south of you in Bethlehem Twp. Definitely much needed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 22 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Same story most years-most forecasts are too bullish...it's more than just warm water to fuel the storms I think climate change has been taken into account as a factor, without the climate dynamics at play really being understood. A bias has emerged in hurricane seasonal forecasts, which maybe works for winter forecasts 7 times in 10 and that makes sense, but hurricane seasonals have not verified 7 in 10 this century so far. Go back to the drawing board and work out a new method is my suggestion. This isn’t the first bust of a dramatic hurricane season prognostication. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Mother of God this is impressive! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, steve392 said: Mother of God this is impressive! That looks way overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mgerb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Looks like we'll pick up a hundredth or two here in Somerset. Not helpful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Thunder has reached Newark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 23 minutes ago, mgerb said: Looks like we'll pick up a hundredth or two here in Somerset. Not helpful. .71 in Branchburg. Held just long enough for the western part of the county. Some decent lightning and thunder too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Trash line for the city. Dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted 57 minutes ago Share Posted 57 minutes ago 0.32" in Sparta. Lots of rumbles of thunder. It looked more impressive on radar than in person. But I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 57 minutes ago Share Posted 57 minutes ago Well that was total let down LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 42 minutes ago Share Posted 42 minutes ago 19 minutes ago, FPizz said: .71 in Branchburg. Held just long enough for the western part of the county. Some decent lightning and thunder too Nice, but I'm jealous. I would've loved to get that much for the garden. Here I had a moderate shower that dropped only 0.06". I see on radar that there is more scattered activity coming in from PA so hopefully we'll get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago 26 minutes ago, Sundog said: Trash line for the city. Dud. More yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted 32 minutes ago Share Posted 32 minutes ago Some dust control woudl be nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 31 minutes ago Share Posted 31 minutes ago Rainfall amounts have fizzled as the front moved toward New York City. Some amounts through 8:15 pm include: Newark: 0.02" (light rain) Sussex: 0.33" Trenton: 0.07" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 29 minutes ago Share Posted 29 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Some dust control woudl be nice. At least it's not that dry. Phoenix is currently seeing blowing dust courtesy of an outflow boundary that is moving through: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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