winterwarlock Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Chamber of Commerce Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 2 hours ago, Sundog said: Let's hope that map is wrong. I despise warm Septembers. It's a major mood kill for those who like fall. We’ll probably see some degree of 500mb height rebound by the 2nd week of September since it’s so tough to sustain a trough in the East this time of year beyond a few weeks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: Chamber of Commerce Day Top 5'er 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago is summer effectively over in the northeast? 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 5 minutes ago, nycwinter said: is summer effectively over in the northeast? No 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago meteorological summer ends by sept 01.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 41 minutes ago, nycwinter said: is summer effectively over in the northeast? No chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Unless you think 80s aren't summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 12 minutes ago, Sundog said: Unless you think 80s aren't summer Worst of the heat is surely over but we'll certainly get a warm or hot period-heck last year we had low to mid 80's in the first week of Nov-granted that was aided by dry conditions... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago fwiw on Erin along he NJ coast per PHI PNS yesterday... I added this in, cause I didnt see it posted. If I erred, I apologize. Public Information Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 703 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025 ...HIGHEST WIND REPORTS... Location Speed Time/Date Provider ...Delaware... ...Sussex County... Dewey Beach 46 MPH 1136 AM 08/21 WXFLOW Lewes NOS 43 MPH 1136 AM 08/21 NOS-NWLON Lewes 43 MPH 1142 AM 08/21 WXFLOW Rehoboth Beach 42 MPH 1134 AM 08/21 AWS Rehoboth Beach 42 MPH 1205 PM 08/21 DAVIS Indian River Bay Dewey Beach 41 MPH 1145 AM 08/21 DEOS2 Georgetown 40 MPH 1105 AM 08/21 ASOS ...New Jersey... ...Atlantic County... Atlantic City 46 MPH 0230 PM 08/21 NJWXNET BRIGANTINE 41 MPH 0444 PM 08/21 CWOP 1 NE Brigantine 41 MPH 0449 PM 08/21 Public ...Cape May County... Cape May 44 MPH 1235 PM 08/21 DAVIS 1 NW Wildwood 42 MPH 1239 PM 08/21 Public Ocean City 41 MPH 1115 AM 08/21 CWOP Ocean City 41 MPH 1157 AM 08/21 WXFLOW ...Monmouth County... Keyport 48 MPH 0524 AM 08/21 CWOP ...Ocean County... Surf City 49 MPH 0245 PM 08/21 Public 2 S Island Beach State Park 48 MPH 1014 AM 08/21 Public Rutgers 45 MPH 0323 PM 08/21 WXFLOW Tuckerton 44 MPH 0149 PM 08/21 WXFLOW Seaside Heights 43 MPH 0817 AM 08/21 WXFLOW Harvey Cedars 43 MPH 0235 PM 08/21 NJWXNET South Seaside Park 40 MPH 0817 AM 08/21 CWOP Holgate 40 MPH 1019 AM 08/21 Public Beach Haven 40 MPH 1021 AM 08/21 CWOP Trixies 40 MPH 1137 AM 08/21 WXFLOW ...Delaware... ...Maritime Stations... 19 E Fenwick Island 45 MPH 0229 PM 08/21 Buoy 1 ENE Lewes 42 MPH 1136 AM 08/21 Buoy ...New Jersey... 9 WNW Cape May Point 45 MPH 1048 AM 08/21 Buoy 1 NNE Brigantine 44 MPH 0259 PM 08/21 Public Sea Bright 43 MPH 0409 AM 08/21 Public && 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 84 with a 53 dew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Some crazy beach erosion along the NJ coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 hours ago, nycwinter said: meteorological summer ends by sept 01.. Bring on fall, hopefully no more swamp ass wx till next summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 84 today. Nice weekend on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 81.7 in Muttontown & 81.1 in Syosset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 84/56 temp split. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 82 and crystal clear skies at Perona Farms in Sussex County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The temperature dipped to 58° in Central Park this morning, making today the third consecutive day with a low of 59° or below. The last time there were three consecutive such days in August occurred exactly 18 years ago during August 20-22, 2007. Meanwhile, in contrast to the deep trough responsible for the cool weather in the Northeast, there is a powerful heat dome that will bring near record and record heat to parts of the Pacific Northwest. High temperatures will top out mainly in the lower 80s tomorrow and Sunday. The extended range guidance continues to suggest that the closing week of August could feature below normal temperatures. Precipitation could be near normal. There will be higher-than-climatological risk of at least one period in September with highs in the upper 80s or perhaps 90s. Summers similar to the current one have had September highs of 90 or above about 10 percentage points above that for all other years. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around August 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.53°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into early autumn. The SOI was +5.52 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.582 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 88% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 74.4° (1.7° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.8° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 26 minutes ago Share Posted 26 minutes ago 10 hours ago, bluewave said: It’s possible for JFK since they have had several last 90° days in August during recent years. But the usual warm spots like Newark can always sneak in more 90° days. Looks like our next warm up in the long range forecasts is for mid-September. First/Last Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYEach section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Minimum 05-19 (2017) 07-20 (2013) 25 Mean 06-16 09-01 76 Maximum 07-12 (2023) 10-02 (2019) 127 2024 06-21 (2024) 91 08-28 (2024) 95 67 2023 07-12 (2023) 90 09-07 (2023) 92 56 2022 05-31 (2022) 94 08-27 (2022) 91 87 2021 05-22 (2021) 94 08-27 (2021) 93 96 2020 07-02 (2020) 90 08-27 (2020) 92 55 2019 06-27 (2019) 91 10-02 (2019) 95 96 2018 06-29 (2018) 91 09-04 (2018) 93 66 2017 05-19 (2017) 92 09-24 (2017) 92 127 2016 06-22 (2016) 92 09-09 (2016) 91 78 2015 06-21 (2015) 90 09-08 (2015) 91 78 2014 06-18 (2014) 91 09-02 (2014) 92 75 2013 06-24 (2013) 90 07-20 (2013) 96 25 2012 06-20 (2012) 94 09-01 (2012) 92 72 2011 06-09 (2011) 93 08-08 (2011) 92 59 2010 05-26 (2010) 91 09-08 (2010) 92 104 wow from 2014 to 2019 every year had the last 90 degree day in September or even later (October in 2019). In 2013 we didn't have any after 7/20 which is interesting since that was such a hot summer with a long heatwave in July to boot! That was our last 100 degree day before this June. If JFK does not see any more 90 degree days would this be a match for 2013 since there have been no 90 degree days this year in August at the airport either? The last 90 degree day is going to be in July-- which has to be rare? When is the average last 90 degree day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 23 minutes ago Share Posted 23 minutes ago 49 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The temperature dipped to 58° in Central Park this morning, making today the third consecutive day with a low of 59° or below. The last time there were three consecutive such days in August occurred exactly 18 years ago during August 20-22, 2007. Meanwhile, in contrast to the deep trough responsible for the cool weather in the Northeast, there is a powerful heat dome that will bring near record and record heat to parts of the Pacific Northwest. High temperatures will top out mainly in the lower 80s tomorrow and Sunday. The extended range guidance continues to suggest that the closing week of August could feature below normal temperatures. Precipitation could be near normal. There will be higher-than-climatological risk of at least one period in September with highs in the upper 80s or perhaps 90s. Summers similar to the current one have had September highs of 90 or above about 10 percentage points above that for all other years. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around August 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.53°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into early autumn. The SOI was +5.52 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.582 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 88% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 74.4° (1.7° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.8° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. How come the Pacific Northwest has been seeing most of the extreme heat the last few summers, Don? I feel like they are having what we had between 2010-2013? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 23 minutes ago Share Posted 23 minutes ago 55 minutes ago, steve392 said: 82 and crystal clear skies at Perona Farms in Sussex County. These are the bluest skies I have seen in a long time. I would love to see this kind of sky more often instead of the hazy crap we usually get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 22 minutes ago Share Posted 22 minutes ago 4 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Worst of the heat is surely over but we'll certainly get a warm or hot period-heck last year we had low to mid 80's in the first week of Nov-granted that was aided by dry conditions... That was my favorite October-Mid November period of all time. Saved a ton on heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 20 minutes ago Share Posted 20 minutes ago 9 hours ago, Sundog said: Let's hope that map is wrong. I despise warm Septembers. It's a major mood kill for those who like fall. as long as I don't have to turn on my heat, it's fine. If it's not cold enough to snow, cold falls are absolutely useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 16 minutes ago Share Posted 16 minutes ago 12 hours ago, bluewave said: Enjoying the cooler weather here as my area made it to #2 on the all-time 90° day list this year at 15 days. Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - Jan through Dec Top 5 years for 90° daysClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2022 17 0 2 2025 15 132 3 2010 14 0 4 1977 13 100 5 2021 12 0 - 2020 12 2 - 2012 12 3 you were so close to number 1 though your area really does not get many 90 degree days, I consider 15 to be about average for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 15 minutes ago Share Posted 15 minutes ago 22 hours ago, jm1220 said: Flooding on Fire Island and the Hamptons, and water up to the dunes elsewhere. Jones Beach looks pretty rough. High tide looks to be coinciding with the worst of the waves. We’re lucky this turned out to sea. it's also close to a new moon which is adding to the high tides Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 14 minutes ago Share Posted 14 minutes ago 22 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: There are some conflicting signals. Years with early extreme heat June-early July often have a bout of heat in September. However, years with the kind of cool shots as is occurring at present during August 20-31 typically have lower monthly maximum temperatures in September. August 20-31 had one or more lows in the 50s: Mean September maximum temperature: 86.9 All other years: Mean September maximum temperature: 89.9. Don I was thinking this is a lot like a summer leading into an el nino, recall 1994 when we had extreme heat in June too, July was also quite hot, and it got cooler by August. 2002, another el nino lead up, had quite a different summer.... Don, was 2013-14 also an el nino winter? That was the last time JFK had their final 90 degree day in July (ironic because that was such a hot summer up until then with a long heatwave and our last 100 degree high prior to this June.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 12 minutes ago Share Posted 12 minutes ago 23 hours ago, anthonymm said: I'm not so sure. Usually when we've gotten these cool stretches in August, September reminds us it's still summer. CPC's also going above for our area in September. I think we probably do get a mini heatwave, maybe 1-2 days of 90 with a bunch of upper 80 days. it's possible, although the tendency seems to be for the heat to dump in the West. With our bad luck, this means we'll get a mild winter when the pattern reverses lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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