August 2025 Discussion-OBS - cooler than normal first week but a big comeback to warmer than normal for the last 2-3 weeks

[steve392]

24 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

has anyone else noticed a lot of yellow leaves? i cant tell if im tripping but i feel like im seeing a decent amount of yellow leaves for august. mainly between white plains and armonk, but can someone at least talk me off the ledge... summer can't be over yet

Seen them on my drive to work this week on Franklin Lakes, NJ. 

 

Tonight's storm that skimmed the nj/ny line

[WestBabylonWeather]

Forecast keeps changing for tonight 

 

partly cloudy or mostly cloudy? 

[winterwarlock]

52 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

has anyone else noticed a lot of yellow leaves? i cant tell if im tripping but i feel like im seeing a decent amount of yellow leaves for august. mainly between white plains and armonk, but can someone at least talk me off the ledge... summer can't be over yet

Seems to happen every August that goes dry

[BlizzLuv]

1 hour ago, vegan_edible said:

has anyone else noticed a lot of yellow leaves? i cant tell if im tripping but i feel like im seeing a decent amount of yellow leaves for august. mainly between white plains and armonk, but can someone at least talk me off the ledge... summer can't be over yet

By us, we usually get leaf drop this time of year. My weeping cherry is usually the first and there is some type of tree leading into our development that always has significant leaf drop. I think the typical dry spells and heat cause it. It is not leaves changing...it the trees shedding to conserve energy and water, as I understand it.

[SACRUS]

 

Highs:

 

PHL: 90
TTN: 89
TEB: 87
New Brnswck: 87
EWR: 84
LGA: 84
NYC: 84
ACY: 83
ISP: 82
BLM: 82
JFK: 81

[SRRTA22]

2 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Forecast keeps changing for tonight 

 

partly cloudy or mostly cloudy? 

Really? It's just clouds 

[bluewave]

Looks like we get a break for a while on the mid 90s after today. This week should be very close to seasonable for the temperarures. But unfortunately it still looks drier than normal.


 

August 18-25 forecast 

 

[winterwarlock]

Hot tamale today

[SACRUS]

 

 

76 / 70, Partly cloudy, although some paerts of the area have clouds into N/NW NJ.  Hottest day out of the next week to 10 days, at least.  Low to mid 90s in the hottest areas, ahead of any clouds and scattered showers with the boundary later.  Cooler, cloudy Monday and stuck in the 70s unless there is some overnight maxes (midnight/1AM).     Onshore barrage this week as Eric passes by out to sea,  perhaps some scattered showers/ rain / storms Tue - THu , otherwise mainly dry and near to slightly below normal.   Flow comes around to warm up Fridy and next weekend, and with continued drying, the next chance at 90 in the hotter areas.  Trough into the east by the 26  with ridge building east by the close of the month and warm overall beyond there.

 

8/17 : Hottest day for a while 
8/18 - 8/21 :  Cooler , mainly dry
8/22 - 8/24 :  Brief warmup  with chance for 90 (Fri/Sat in the hottest areas
8/25 - 8/29:   Cooler
8/30 - Beyond :   Overall warmer - Wet ridge building back eat

 

[SACRUS]

 

 

Records:


Highs:

EWR: 97 (2015)
NYC: 95 (2015)
LGA: 94 (1944)
JFK: 94 (1978)


Lows:

EWR: 55 (1979)
NYC: 56 (1979)
LGA: 58 (1979)
JFK: 56 (1979)

HIstorical:

 

 

1784: Two tornadoes in Southington, CT. "It seems to have been occasioned by the meeting of two heavy clouds, one from the south and the other from the north. The whole storm therefore collected with amazing blackness and centered at the place above mentioned; producing such a scene of desolation, as perhaps the memory of the oldest man cannot recollect to have been produced by a similar cause in New England. (Ref. Connecticut Courant (Hartford), August 24, 1784.)

1885: 130 °F on this date in Amos, CA. It's never been hotter in the U.S. in August. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1899: Hurricane San Ciriaco set many records on its path. Killing nearly 3,500 people in Puerto Rico, it was the deadliest hurricane to hit the island and the strongest at the time, until 30 years later when the island was affected by the Hurricane San Felipe Segundo, a Category 5 hurricane, in 1928. It was also the tenth deadliest Atlantic hurricane ever recorded. San Ciriaco is also the longest lasting Atlantic hurricane in recorded history, continuing for 28 days. On August 17, the hurricane turned back to the northwest and made landfall near Hatteras, North Carolina on the following day. San Ciriaco remains the strongest hurricane to make landfall on the Outer Banks since 1899.

1915 - A hurricane hit Galveston, TX, with wind gusts to 120 mph and a twelve foot storm surge. The storm claimed 275 lives, including forty-two on Galveston Island, with most deaths due to drowning. Of 250 homes built outside the seawall (which was constructed after the catastrophic hurricane of 1900), just ten percent were left standing. (The Weather Channel)

1917: Death Valley, California: The day's high temperature registers the 43rd consecutive day with a temperature exceeding 120 °F and the last in the run. The streak began on July 17. (Ref. WxDoctor)

1944: Boston, Massachusetts had its longest heat wave of 8 days from August 10th to the 17th. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

1946 - An estimated F-4 tornado killed 11 people and injured 100 others in the Mankato, Minnesota area around 6:52 PM. The deaths and most of the injuries occurred in the complete destruction of the 26 cabins at the Green Gables tourist camp, 3 miles southwest of Mankato. A 27-ton road grader was reportedly hurled about 100 feet. Another tornado an hour later destroys downtown Wells, Minnesota.

 

1969: The music festival, known as Woodstock, should have ended on this day. Jimi Hendrix, the last act to perform, was delayed due to rain on Sunday evening. Jimi Hendrix took the stage at 8:30 am Monday morning.

1967: The "Sundance Fire" in northern Idaho was started by lightning. Winds of 50 mph carried firebrands as much as 10 miles in advance to ignite new fires, and as a result, the forest fire spread 20 miles across the Selkirk Mountains in just 12 hours, burning 56,000 acres. The heat of the fire produced whirlwinds of flame with winds up to 300 mph which flung giant trees about like matchsticks. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1969 - Camille, the second worst hurricane in U.S. history, smashed into the Mississippi coast. Winds gusted to 172 mph at Main Pass Block LA, and to 190 mph near Bay Saint Louis MS. The hurricane claimed 256 lives, and caused 1.3 billion dollars damage. Several ocean going ships were carried over seven miles inland by the hurricane. The hurricane produced winds to 200 mph, and a storm surge of 24.6 feet. Complete destruction occurred in some coastal areas near the eye of the hurricane. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1979: Record cold occurred from the Deep South to New England. Frost was observed in the mountains of West Virginia. Albany, NY: 40°, Concord, NH: 40°-Tied, Elkins, WV: 41°, Burlington, VT: 42°-Tied, Avoca, PA: 43°, Sterling (Dulles Airport), VA: 44°, Syracuse, NY: 44°, Williamsport, PA: 45°, Hartford, CT: 45°, Atlantic City, NJ: 46°, Allentown, PA: 46°, Rochester, NY: 46°, Roanoke, VA: 48°, Charleston, WV: 48°, Harrisburg, VA: 48°, Philadelphia, PA: 50°, Baltimore, MD: 53°, Charlotte, NC: 55°, Richmond, VA: 56°, NYC (Central Park), NY: 56 °F. (Ref. Many Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link)

1979:5 to 7 inches of rain fell across the North Concho River north of San Angelo, TX causing the River to rise 15 feet. Rising waters nearly swept away several campers. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1981: 6.89 inches of rain fell at Caribou, Maine for its greatest 24 hour rainfall on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Northern and Central Plains Region. One thunderstorm spawned a tornado near Fairbury NE, along with baseball size hail and wind gusts to 100 mph, causing severe crop damage west of town. Ten cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Syracuse NY hit 97 degrees for the first time in twenty-two years. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Fifty-five cities, from the Middle Mississippi Valley to the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, reported record high temperatures for the date. Beckley WV reported an all-time record high of 96 degrees, and Baltimore MD hit 104 degrees, marking their thirteenth day of the year with 100 degree heat. Chicago IL equalled a record with 46 days of 90 degree weather for the year. Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Wisconsin to New Jersey. Thunderstorms in New Jersey produced high winds which gusted to 92 mph at Wrightstown, and blew down a circus tent at Lavallette injuring fourteen persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Morning thunderstorms produced three to six inch rains in Oklahoma, and the Arkalatex area of Arkansas, Texas and Louisiana. Tom OK was soaked with 5.98 inches of rain, and Foreman AR received 5.55 inches. Evening thunderstorms produced high winds in the Wasatch Front of northern Utah. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 66 mph at Salt Lake City, and flash flooding caused up to two million dollars damage to a marina on Lake Powell. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1992: The famous Andrew weakened to becomes only a tropical storm. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1994: One of the most memorable severe thunderstorms in recent history struck north-central and central Oklahoma. Central Oklahoma is pounded by severe thunderstorms. Wind gusts to 113 mph were recorded at Meno. At Mangum, the winds gusted to 104 mph and 97 mph at Hobart. 30 mobile homes were destroyed by hail and wind at Okarche. Hailstones measured 4.5 inches in diameter. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)
(Ref. More Information on This Storm)


1994: Today marked the 41st consecutive day with temperatures 90 degrees or hotter in Boise, ID, which is a record for that city up to this date. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1995: Hurricane Felix stalled off the Mid-Atlantic Coast after upper atmosphere winds that had been steering it faded away. An area of high pressure to the west blocked movement farther inland. Another area of high pressure to the east blocked movement back over the Atlantic. Both areas of high pressure were weak and didn't generate strong steering currents. The west-to-east winds that could push Felix away from the U.S. were far to the north. As a result, Felix milled around in the same general area on the 17th and 18th before it began drifting slowly eastward, away from the U.S. on the 19th. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1997: Loudoun County, VA lightning struck a concourse at Washington-Dulles International Airport and injured three airline food service personnel. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)

2002: Drought conditions helped big temperature swings: Yesterdays daily record high of 101 degrees was followed by this mornings daily record low of 39 degrees in Rapid City, SD. Similar, NE records of 105 degrees in Alliance and Chadron were followed by today's records of 43 and 41 degrees. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

2003: Chadron, ME recorded the last of 26 consecutive days with a high temperature of at least 90 degrees, their longest such streak on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

[SACRUS]

 

 

Next wave behind Erin with a 20% chance to develop.  GFS had been tracking this towards FL or the Gulf on much of the last 6 or 7 runs.  Can also see the low spinning on the vis sat loop off of SC

 

[steve392]

12 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

 

Next wave behind Erin with a 20% chance to develop.  GFS had been tracking this towards FL or the Gulf on much of the last 6 or 7 runs.  Can also see the low spinning on the vis sat loop off of SC

 

The low off the carolina coast, is that supposed to develop at all?  

[SACRUS]

7 minutes ago, steve392 said:

The low off the carolina coast, is that supposed to develop at all?  

Not likely and it heads out ahead of Erin.  

[SACRUS]

 

82 / 72 signifying a high in the 91 - 93 range here.  What a stretch of weather and 3 or 4 weekends in a row after the other stretch.

[Stormlover74]

48 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

82 / 72 signifying a high in the 91 - 93 range here.  What a stretch of weather and 3 or 4 weekends in a row after the other stretch.

First hot day in a while

[SACRUS]

 

So far very north for later, early still and would expect some islaoted - scattered into the area

 

[winterwx21]

With the pattern moving forward looking very dry, I really hope we see something today. It appears that the activity is gonna be widely scattered though. So little rain the last month. I hope the same thing that happened last year isn't going to happen again with our area going into a drought at the end of the summer. 

[winterwx21]

With temps going into the low-mid 90s today, jt would have been an 8 day heat wave here had we not broken it yesterday. Still 6 days in a row of 90+ was pretty impressive. 

[Stormlover74]

6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

With the pattern moving forward looking very dry, I really hope we see something today. It appears that the activity is gonna be widely scattered though. So little rain the last month. I hope the same thing that happened last year isn't going to happen again with our area going into a drought at the end of the summer. 

Yeah I don't think we see much tonight or for the next week 

[the_other_guy]

I think we get hit later. It is brutal out. Conditions ripe

[MANDA]

57 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

With the pattern moving forward looking very dry, I really hope we see something today. It appears that the activity is gonna be widely scattered though. So little rain the last month. I hope the same thing that happened last year isn't going to happen again with our area going into a drought at the end of the summer. 

I think we are underway with a significant dry pattern, much like last year.  We'll see how long it persists but sure looks like the rest of this month is going to be dry.  Expect upgrades (D1 or even D2) to the Drought Monitor in the coming weeks.

Not expecting much today in terms of widespread coverage.  If you get something consider yourself lucky.

[WestBabylonWeather]

Down at the nautical mile for the first time in many years. Almost a perfect day just a bit cloudy 

[winterwarlock]

Long duration heatwave

 

8 days

 

90/77/99

[wxallannj]

90 /74     32nd day of 90+ here in southeast Passaic County, will it be our last this year?

[winterwarlock]

92/77/102

 

[steve392]

8 straight 90 or above for my town.  Pretty incredible.