August 2025 Discussion-OBS - cooler than normal first week but a big comeback to warmer than normal for the last 2-3 weeks

[bluewave]

All the models have hurricane potential off the SE Coast in around 10 days. Unusually favorable pattern to get something strong into that region. Warmest SSTs on record for this time of year and strong high pressure to the north.

 

[SnoSki14]

24 minutes ago, bluewave said:

All the models have hurricane potential off the SE Coast in around 10 days. Unusually favorable pattern to get something strong into that region. Warmest SSTs on record for this time of year and strong high pressure to the north.

 

Very concerning. Obviously way too far out to figure track out but given tendency for ridges to overperform it's a bit scary. 

[bluewave]

8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Very concerning. Obviously way too far out to figure track out but given tendency for ridges to overperform it's a bit scary. 

Especially when the models have 100° record heat potential into Maine this week. That is telling you how strong the WAR is. Mid-August heatwaves along the East Coast have often been disrupted by tropical activity in the past.

 

 

[doncat]

Another 50's August morning. 

[uofmiami]

53 in Muttontown & 54 in Syosset this morning. 

[SACRUS]

 

74 / 57 and another sensational summer day for bbq, beach, pool, outsoors.   Low - mid 80s sunny and dry.   Warmer Sunday, for some to 90 / low 90s and the start of the heatwave.   Strong heat focusses more inland and west but most to low 90s through Friday.  Peak heat (95+) Tue-Wed, in the hottest spots, perhaps upper 90s. Nest shot at any rain Wed Pm storms.  Overall warm - hot / humid and wet with tropical activity. Ridging into the northeast with Atlantic ridge flexing nearby.

 

8/9 : Warm/dry amazing
8/10 - 8/15 :   Hot / Humid - Strongest heat Tue/Wed.   Hotter inland and west.  Some storms possible Wed PM
8/15 - Beyond :  Overall warm - hot / humid , Wet.  Tropical activity in the 8/20 ish 

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:
 

Highs:

EWR: 105 (2001)
NYC: 103 (2001)
LGA: 104 (2001)
JFK: 98 (2001)

 

 

Lows:

EWR: 58 (1944)
NYC: 57 (1989)
LGA: 61 (1962)
JFK: 57 (1989)


 

Historical:
 

1878 - The second most deadly tornado in New England history struck Wallingford CT killing 34 persons, injuring 100 others, and completely destroying thirty homes. The tornado started as a waterspout over a dam on the Quinnipiac River. It was 400 to 600 feet wide, and had a short path length of two miles. (The Weather Channel)

 

1918: One of the worst hot spells on record occurred in Washington, DC with an average high 99.6°F from 5th to 9th, 106° on 6th. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1930: The temperature at Perryville, TN reached 113 °F to establish a state maximum temperature record for Tennessee. (Ref. Lowest and Highest Temperatures for the 50 States)

1959: The Richmond International Airport wasn't affected by this storm. It was the west end of Henrico County, VA that received the heavy rain causing flash flooding. The following reference has several pages of information about this storm. (Ref. Daily News Record Newspaper - Harrisonburg, Virginia)

1963: A severe thunderstorm with extremely strong winds struck Stillwater, OK during the night. At Stillwater Municipal Airport, wind speeds were measured between 92 and 115 mph for eight consecutive minutes, with a peak gust reaching 138 mph. The storm did an incredible amount of damage, especially to the Oklahoma State University campus. Winds caused widespread roof and tree damage, and broke windows out of about 130 automobiles. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)


1969 - A tornado hit Cincinnati OH killing four persons and causing fifteen million dollars property damage. The tornado moved in a southeasterly direction at 40 to 50 mph. (The Weather Channel)

1974: New Jersey--One person was killed when struck by lightning at a rock concert at Atlantic City Race Course. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf)

1976: Hurricane Belle formed just to the northwest of the Bahamas on the 6th, rapidly intensified to a Category 3 southeast of North Carolina. Hurricane Belle then began to weaken, moving into western Long Island near Jones Beach as a minimal hurricane during the evening on this date. Hurricane warnings were extended to the coastal sections of New Jersey, New York, Connecticut and Rhode Island where tides as high as 12 to 15 feet were expected. New York City measured a gust to 56 mph. Philadelphia, PA reported 0.51 inches of rain on the 8th, with an additional 1.17 inches on this date. The tide reached 8.8 feet above mean lower low water at Atlantic City, NJ, tying the level reached during the great coastal storm of 3/6/1962, and again reached during the "Perfect Storm" of 10/31/1991. Severe coastal flooding begins at 8.7 feet. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1979: Major flooding occurred on the Lost Creek in West Virginia. Water up to 7 feet deep flooded the town of Clarksburg. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1980: Severe lightning occurred across West Virginia. Two people were struck on a golf course near Vienna, WV. A person standing between the two victims was uninjured. 12 people were injured when lightning struck during a prayer service near Bluefield, WV. Hurricane Allen threatened the Texas coast. Air Force reconnaissance measured a very low central pressure of 909 millibars or 26.84 inches of mercury just in the very early morning hours with maximum sustained winds near 180 mph. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1981: The current all-time record maximum temperature for Portland, OR is now 107 °F set on this date (Extreme Weather p. 276, by Christopher C. Burt)

1987 - Florida baked in the summer heat. Nine cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Jacksonville with a reading of 101 degrees. Miami FL reported a record high of 98 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Tropical Storm Beryl deluged Biloxi with 6.32 inches of rain in 24 hours, and in three days drenched Pascagoula MS with 15.85 inches of rain. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern Plains Region and over the Central High Plains Region. Thunderstorms in Oklahoma producedwind gusts to 92 mph at Harrah. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Evening thunderstorms in Arizona deluged Yuma with record torrential rains for the second time in two weeks. The rainfall total of 5.25 inches at the Yuma Quartermaster Depot established a state 24 hour record, and was nearly double the normal annual rainfall. Some of the homes were left with four feet of water in them. Seventy-six cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Lake Charles LA equalled their record for August with a low of 61 degrees. Canaan Valley WV was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 32 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1992 - A tornado packing winds estimated between 113 and 157 mph caused significant damage to the town of Chester, South Dakota. Shortly after 7 pm CDT a tornado tore right through the heart of Chester causing considerable damage. Four businesses were destroyed, three others had significant damage, and five had minor damage. An elevator and new grain bin were leveled, and another bin was heavily damaged. Most of the building housing the fire department was demolished. Also, many houses and vehicles sustained damage, and large trees were uprooted or broken off. In one instance a steel beam was thrust through a garage and into the car inside. One mile north of Chester, an entire house was moved off the foundation. The town had to be evacuated for 19 hours after the tornado because the tornado damaged a 12,000-gallon ammonia tank releasing 4,000 gallons of the liquid gas into the air. The ammonia was a health hazard forcing residents out. To the south of Chester, the storm destroyed a new convenience store and blew two fuel tanks over 100 yards.

1997: Severe thunderstorms with very heavy rain began over central Mohave County around 12:30 AM and ended around 2:30 AM MST. Washes rapidly filled in the vicinity of Kingman and several roads were washed out. At least two cars were caught in a flooded wash and their four occupants had to be rescued by helicopter. Also, one woman was found dead hours later in a sewer drainage pond. It is unknown how she was caught in the flood waters. Another serious result occurred a few hours after the storms ended when a passenger train derailed while crossing a small bridge damaged and weakened by flood waters. Of the 302 passengers and crew members aboard, 116 were injured and of those eight sustained serious injuries.  Further north, severe thunderstorms rolled across the western part of Las Vegas, NV producing damaging winds and hail. A trailer was destroyed and signs and roofs in the area received damage from both the wind and hail. 19,000 homes lost power for a few hours. The storms also produced local street flooding with rainfall amounts up to 0.73 inches in 15 minutes. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

2001:  In New York, the temperature reached a record 103 degrees for the date while in neighboring Newark, N.J., it topped 105 degrees, the National Weather Service said. The old record in both cities was 100, set in 1949.  Electricity demand was so high that lights flickered in New York when the metropolitan area suffered scattered outages.  New York Gov. George Pataki ordered parking and admission fees waived at parks statewide. In New York City, municipal pools stayed open until 8 p.m. Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani called on supervisors of city employees to use common sense in delegating responsibilities, saying that “strenuous work is not suggested at this time, unless it’s an absolute emergency.” In Boston, as temperatures approached a record 99, residents and tourists flocked to malls, museums, movie theaters or any place with air-conditioning.

2002: Washington, DC hits 98° and recorded their 8th consecutive day of 95 °F or higher, the longest such streak in recorded history at this time. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2005: In Eau Claire, WI, a man was struck by lightning while unhooking a chain from a truck. He was taken to a hospital for observation because of “feeling hot,” but otherwise was unhurt. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

2016: August 9-16. Weak low pressure combined with abundant Gulf moisture produced phenomenal rainfall and flooding across central Louisiana, inundating entire neighborhoods and towns, especially around Lafayette and Baton Rouge. Rainfall totals exceeded 20 inches in as little as two days. Thirteen people died and economic costs ranged from $10 to $15 billion.

2020: In the morning of August 9 Tropical Storm Isaias spawned 8 tornadoes in the Northern Neck of Virginia. See the following two pages about this event.

 

[SACRUS]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Especially when the models have 100° record heat potential into Maine this week. That is telling you how strong the WAR is. Mid-August heatwaves along the East Coast have often been disrupted by tropical activity in the past.

 

 

 

 

Recent dryness will enhance some highs - exceeding forecast by a degree or two perhaps.

[Stormlover74]

Euro looks very dry until a couple days before the hurricane 

[WE GOT HIM]

Lol

[forkyfork]

we need a deep trough to our west to bring canes up the coast. i think se/gulf is more likely

[lee59]

56.3  here last night.

[HailMan06]

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

we need a deep trough to our west to bring canes up the coast. i think se/gulf is more likely

All FL needs is another Andrew but 10-20 mi further north and it’s lights out for their insurance and real estate market.

[SnoSki14]

2 hours ago, forkyfork said:

we need a deep trough to our west to bring canes up the coast. i think se/gulf is more likely

Eventually we'll get Isabel type paths but further north. 

[winterwx21]

GFS keeps the heat going through next weekend, with maybe just a brief interruption on Thursday due to clouds and rain. I'm really hoping we see some rain Wednesday night or Thursday. It's very dry out there. The grass is burning out now. 

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

GFS keeps the heat going through next weekend, with maybe just a brief interruption on Thursday due to clouds and rain. I'm really hoping we see some rain Wednesday night or Thursday. It's very dry out there. The grass is burning out now. 

Euro pretty much too. Maybe a slight break on Friday 

[WestBabylonWeather]

3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

GFS keeps the heat going through next weekend, with maybe just a brief interruption on Thursday due to clouds and rain. I'm really hoping we see some rain Wednesday night or Thursday. It's very dry out there. The grass is burning out now. 

Front lawn is brown and dormant. Whatevs. 

[winterwx21]

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Euro pretty much too. Maybe a slight break on Friday 

And the Euro doesn't have as much activity Wednesday night and Thursday. The rain threat doesn't look great right now. It's really gonna be ugly by next weekend if we don't get any rain. 

[steve392]

Gorgeous day out.  Can't ask for any better except for maybe a good soaking rain... 

[Wannabehippie]

Gorgeous here in Riverdale, NJ as well. Spend 2.5 hours pool side this AM. May go again later this afternoon. Definitely will be there again tomorrow AM.

 

[bluewave]

On 8/8/2025 at 11:23 AM, donsutherland1 said:

The cool start was even more impressive in other parts of the area:

Bridgeport, Central Park, Newark: Coolest since 2013

JFK: Coolest since 1996

LGA: Coolest since 1985

Almost like a weaker reflection of last January when the coldest departures and rankings went to our south. It was the coolest first week of August in Charlotte, NC. This followed the 2nd warmest June and July. 

Time Series Summary for CHARLOTTE DOUGLAS AIRPORT, NC Top 5 Coolest August 1st-7th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2025-08-07	71.9	0
2	1985-08-07	73.3	0
3	1998-08-07	74.1	0
-	1974-08-07	74.1	0
4	1969-08-07	74.4	0
5	2014-08-07	74.6	0
-	1948-08-07	74.6	0

 

Time Series Summary for CHARLOTTE DOUGLAS AIRPORT, NC Top 5 Warmest June 1st-July 31st
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1986-07-31	82.7	0
2	2025-07-31	82.4	0
3	1993-07-31	82.1	0
4	2015-07-31	81.1	0
-	2010-07-31	81.1	0
5	2024-07-31	81.0	0

[donsutherland1]

This morning, the temperature fell to 64° in Central Park. That was the fourth consecutive day with a low of 64°. The last time that happened during the first ten days of August was August 5-8, 1997. August 1-9 has had a mean low temperature of 64.8°. That is the coolest average low during that period since 1992 when the mean low was 64.0°. Overall, the August 1-9 mean temperature of 73.4° is the coolest since 1992 when the mean temperature was 73.3°.

It will turn warmer tomorrow. The region will likely experience a return of 90° or above heat next week. Temperatures could top out in the middle or perhaps even upper 90s in the hot spots when the heat peaks during the Tuesday through Thursday period.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around July 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.37°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through the summer.

The SOI was +0.06 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.305 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 53% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.4° (0.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

 

[LibertyBell]

On 8/8/2025 at 3:34 PM, bluewave said:

I was talking about the August 10-17 period in that post. Thankfully, we have not seen the kind of drought which drove those 103° to 105° August and September heatwaves.

All our 103°-105°+ heat since the record summer warmth began in 2010 has occurred in June and July. Those 40s and 50s heatwaves and a few earlier events occurred later in the season. 

Next week is looking like more of an over the top heat wave. Latest runs have more onshore flow. So both models showing 102° a few days ago for next Wednesday have cooled 3-4° down to a 98°-99° max. But it wouldn’t  take much for somebody at the usual warm spots to reach 100°.

So it continues to look like our peak heat in 2025 was back in June. With each succeeding heatwave moderating a bit as the season goes on. 

It’s impressive that both models have 98°-100° potential for parts of Maine and Canada. This is part of the record Canadian heat and drought resulting in the unprecedented wildfires in Canada. 

So with all this onshore flow in recent years, the JFK 32 days reaching 90° back in 2010 will be safe for another year.

 

 

 

 

I hate onshore flow and the high humidity that comes from it.

How did we get the big heat at the end of August in 1948??

It's absolutely amazing that Central Park had three straight days over 100 at the end of August in 1948 and JFK had two straight!!  That extreme heat was close to the beginning of met fall!!

 

[LibertyBell]

3 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

GFS keeps the heat going through next weekend, with maybe just a brief interruption on Thursday due to clouds and rain. I'm really hoping we see some rain Wednesday night or Thursday. It's very dry out there. The grass is burning out now. 

I'd much rather see the Perseid meteor shower, the rain can wait until after the 14th.

[LibertyBell]

8 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

Records:
 

Highs:

EWR: 105 (2001)
NYC: 103 (2001)
LGA: 104 (2001)
JFK: 98 (2001)

 

 

Lows:

EWR: 58 (1944)
NYC: 57 (1989)
LGA: 61 (1962)
JFK: 57 (1989)


 

Historical:
 

1878 - The second most deadly tornado in New England history struck Wallingford CT killing 34 persons, injuring 100 others, and completely destroying thirty homes. The tornado started as a waterspout over a dam on the Quinnipiac River. It was 400 to 600 feet wide, and had a short path length of two miles. (The Weather Channel)

 

1918: One of the worst hot spells on record occurred in Washington, DC with an average high 99.6°F from 5th to 9th, 106° on 6th. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1930: The temperature at Perryville, TN reached 113 °F to establish a state maximum temperature record for Tennessee. (Ref. Lowest and Highest Temperatures for the 50 States)

1959: The Richmond International Airport wasn't affected by this storm. It was the west end of Henrico County, VA that received the heavy rain causing flash flooding. The following reference has several pages of information about this storm. (Ref. Daily News Record Newspaper - Harrisonburg, Virginia)

1963: A severe thunderstorm with extremely strong winds struck Stillwater, OK during the night. At Stillwater Municipal Airport, wind speeds were measured between 92 and 115 mph for eight consecutive minutes, with a peak gust reaching 138 mph. The storm did an incredible amount of damage, especially to the Oklahoma State University campus. Winds caused widespread roof and tree damage, and broke windows out of about 130 automobiles. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)


1969 - A tornado hit Cincinnati OH killing four persons and causing fifteen million dollars property damage. The tornado moved in a southeasterly direction at 40 to 50 mph. (The Weather Channel)

1974: New Jersey--One person was killed when struck by lightning at a rock concert at Atlantic City Race Course. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf)

1976: Hurricane Belle formed just to the northwest of the Bahamas on the 6th, rapidly intensified to a Category 3 southeast of North Carolina. Hurricane Belle then began to weaken, moving into western Long Island near Jones Beach as a minimal hurricane during the evening on this date. Hurricane warnings were extended to the coastal sections of New Jersey, New York, Connecticut and Rhode Island where tides as high as 12 to 15 feet were expected. New York City measured a gust to 56 mph. Philadelphia, PA reported 0.51 inches of rain on the 8th, with an additional 1.17 inches on this date. The tide reached 8.8 feet above mean lower low water at Atlantic City, NJ, tying the level reached during the great coastal storm of 3/6/1962, and again reached during the "Perfect Storm" of 10/31/1991. Severe coastal flooding begins at 8.7 feet. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1979: Major flooding occurred on the Lost Creek in West Virginia. Water up to 7 feet deep flooded the town of Clarksburg. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1980: Severe lightning occurred across West Virginia. Two people were struck on a golf course near Vienna, WV. A person standing between the two victims was uninjured. 12 people were injured when lightning struck during a prayer service near Bluefield, WV. Hurricane Allen threatened the Texas coast. Air Force reconnaissance measured a very low central pressure of 909 millibars or 26.84 inches of mercury just in the very early morning hours with maximum sustained winds near 180 mph. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1981: The current all-time record maximum temperature for Portland, OR is now 107 °F set on this date (Extreme Weather p. 276, by Christopher C. Burt)

1987 - Florida baked in the summer heat. Nine cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Jacksonville with a reading of 101 degrees. Miami FL reported a record high of 98 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Tropical Storm Beryl deluged Biloxi with 6.32 inches of rain in 24 hours, and in three days drenched Pascagoula MS with 15.85 inches of rain. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern Plains Region and over the Central High Plains Region. Thunderstorms in Oklahoma producedwind gusts to 92 mph at Harrah. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Evening thunderstorms in Arizona deluged Yuma with record torrential rains for the second time in two weeks. The rainfall total of 5.25 inches at the Yuma Quartermaster Depot established a state 24 hour record, and was nearly double the normal annual rainfall. Some of the homes were left with four feet of water in them. Seventy-six cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Lake Charles LA equalled their record for August with a low of 61 degrees. Canaan Valley WV was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 32 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1992 - A tornado packing winds estimated between 113 and 157 mph caused significant damage to the town of Chester, South Dakota. Shortly after 7 pm CDT a tornado tore right through the heart of Chester causing considerable damage. Four businesses were destroyed, three others had significant damage, and five had minor damage. An elevator and new grain bin were leveled, and another bin was heavily damaged. Most of the building housing the fire department was demolished. Also, many houses and vehicles sustained damage, and large trees were uprooted or broken off. In one instance a steel beam was thrust through a garage and into the car inside. One mile north of Chester, an entire house was moved off the foundation. The town had to be evacuated for 19 hours after the tornado because the tornado damaged a 12,000-gallon ammonia tank releasing 4,000 gallons of the liquid gas into the air. The ammonia was a health hazard forcing residents out. To the south of Chester, the storm destroyed a new convenience store and blew two fuel tanks over 100 yards.

1997: Severe thunderstorms with very heavy rain began over central Mohave County around 12:30 AM and ended around 2:30 AM MST. Washes rapidly filled in the vicinity of Kingman and several roads were washed out. At least two cars were caught in a flooded wash and their four occupants had to be rescued by helicopter. Also, one woman was found dead hours later in a sewer drainage pond. It is unknown how she was caught in the flood waters. Another serious result occurred a few hours after the storms ended when a passenger train derailed while crossing a small bridge damaged and weakened by flood waters. Of the 302 passengers and crew members aboard, 116 were injured and of those eight sustained serious injuries.  Further north, severe thunderstorms rolled across the western part of Las Vegas, NV producing damaging winds and hail. A trailer was destroyed and signs and roofs in the area received damage from both the wind and hail. 19,000 homes lost power for a few hours. The storms also produced local street flooding with rainfall amounts up to 0.73 inches in 15 minutes. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

2001:  In New York, the temperature reached a record 103 degrees for the date while in neighboring Newark, N.J., it topped 105 degrees, the National Weather Service said. The old record in both cities was 100, set in 1949.  Electricity demand was so high that lights flickered in New York when the metropolitan area suffered scattered outages.  New York Gov. George Pataki ordered parking and admission fees waived at parks statewide. In New York City, municipal pools stayed open until 8 p.m. Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani called on supervisors of city employees to use common sense in delegating responsibilities, saying that “strenuous work is not suggested at this time, unless it’s an absolute emergency.” In Boston, as temperatures approached a record 99, residents and tourists flocked to malls, museums, movie theaters or any place with air-conditioning.

2002: Washington, DC hits 98° and recorded their 8th consecutive day of 95 °F or higher, the longest such streak in recorded history at this time. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2005: In Eau Claire, WI, a man was struck by lightning while unhooking a chain from a truck. He was taken to a hospital for observation because of “feeling hot,” but otherwise was unhurt. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

2016: August 9-16. Weak low pressure combined with abundant Gulf moisture produced phenomenal rainfall and flooding across central Louisiana, inundating entire neighborhoods and towns, especially around Lafayette and Baton Rouge. Rainfall totals exceeded 20 inches in as little as two days. Thirteen people died and economic costs ranged from $10 to $15 billion.

2020: In the morning of August 9 Tropical Storm Isaias spawned 8 tornadoes in the Northern Neck of Virginia. See the following two pages about this event.

 

2001:  In New York, the temperature reached a record 103 degrees for the date while in neighboring Newark, N.J., it topped 105 degrees, the National Weather Service said. The old record in both cities was 100, set in 1949.  Electricity demand was so high that lights flickered in New York when the metropolitan area suffered scattered outages.  New York Gov. George Pataki ordered parking and admission fees waived at parks statewide. In New York City, municipal pools stayed open until 8 p.m. Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani called on supervisors of city employees to use common sense in delegating responsibilities, saying that “strenuous work is not suggested at this time, unless it’s an absolute emergency.” In Boston, as temperatures approached a record 99, residents and tourists flocked to malls, museums, movie theaters or any place with air-conditioning.

2002: Washington, DC hits 98° and recorded their 8th consecutive day of 95 °F or higher, the longest such streak in recorded history at this time. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

Highs:

EWR: 105 (2001)
NYC: 103 (2001)
LGA: 104 (2001)
JFK: 98 (2001)

Incredible extreme heat around this date in both 2001 and 2002!!

 

1918: One of the worst hot spells on record occurred in Washington, DC with an average high 99.6°F from 5th to 9th, 106° on 6th. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

 

The heat in 1918 in this time period was not only extreme it was widespread!!

 

1976: Hurricane Belle formed just to the northwest of the Bahamas on the 6th, rapidly intensified to a Category 3 southeast of North Carolina. Hurricane Belle then began to weaken, moving into western Long Island near Jones Beach as a minimal hurricane during the evening on this date. Hurricane warnings were extended to the coastal sections of New Jersey, New York, Connecticut and Rhode Island where tides as high as 12 to 15 feet were expected. New York City measured a gust to 56 mph. Philadelphia, PA reported 0.51 inches of rain on the 8th, with an additional 1.17 inches on this date. The tide reached 8.8 feet above mean lower low water at Atlantic City, NJ, tying the level reached during the great coastal storm of 3/6/1962, and again reached during the "Perfect Storm" of 10/31/1991. Severe coastal flooding begins at 8.7 feet. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

 

The anniversary of Hurricane Belle!!

[LibertyBell]

10 hours ago, bluewave said:

Especially when the models have 100° record heat potential into Maine this week. That is telling you how strong the WAR is. Mid-August heatwaves along the East Coast have often been disrupted by tropical activity in the past.

 

 

it's actually too strong for heat for us.

 

[LibertyBell]

11 hours ago, bluewave said:

All the models have hurricane potential off the SE Coast in around 10 days. Unusually favorable pattern to get something strong into that region. Warmest SSTs on record for this time of year and strong high pressure to the north.

 

It looks like a Hugo type pattern, not a pattern for a landfall up here.

 

[LibertyBell]

On 8/8/2025 at 5:42 PM, Sundog said:

I was just at the nature preserve in Oceanside.

It was a gorgeous day to watch some birds. 

I saw a bunch of different species, geese and seagulls not included haha

Hey neighbor, I used to photograph seagulls in the early days just to get some practice on BIF (birds in flight), but now I just consider them a nuisance.

We have some Great Blue Herons here, have you seen them? Snowy Egrets?  Cooper's Hawks? Red Tailed Hawks?

Have you seen our parrots?

 

[LibertyBell]

On 8/8/2025 at 3:37 PM, Brian5671 said:

I would venture to say that big August heat is tougher to achieve than June-lower sun angle/decreasing day length has to have some sort of effect 

our Augusts have become much wetter, people talk about which months are warming the quickest (it's in the winter), but I'd surmise that August is the month that is becoming more wet at a faster rate than any other month.

 

[LibertyBell]

On 8/8/2025 at 12:50 PM, SACRUS said:

 

August 1948 Newark Weather

Day	High (°F)	Low (°F)	Precip. (inches)	Snow (inches)
August 24	90	64	0.00	0.0
August 25	96	70	0.00	0.0
August 26	103	73	0.00	0.0
August 27	99	73	0.00	0.0
August 28	102	75	0.00	0.0
August 29	97	77	0.00	0.0
August 30	88	71	0.00	0.0

 

 

August 1948 New York City Weather

Day	High (°F)	Low (°F)	Precip. (inches)	Snow (inches)
August 24	84	69	0.00	0.0
August 25	95	72	0.00	0.0
August 26	103	78	0.00	0.0
August 27	101	79	0.00	0.0
August 28	100	78	0.00	0.0
August 29	95	78	0.00	0.0
August 30	87	73	0.00	0.0

 

 

August 1948 JFK Airport Weather

Day	High (°F)	Low (°F)	Precip. (inches)	Snow (inches)
August 25	94	71	0.00	0.0
August 26	100	76	0.00	0.0
August 27	101	76	0.00	0.0
August 28	98	77	0.00	0.0
August 29	96	78	0.00	0.0
August 30	90	72	0.00	0.0
August 31	83	63	0.00	0.0

 

absolutely incredible late August heat and for once NYC beat EWR lol