August 2025 Discussion-OBS - cooler than normal first week but a big comeback to warmer than normal for the last 2-3 weeks

[dmillz25]

Late high of 75 today 

[cleetussnow]

Parts unknown…shawagunks sunset tonight.  

[Dan76]

First night of crickets here.

[Sundog]

I'm almost 7 degrees colder than LGA only a few miles east. 

[JerseyWx]

2 hours ago, Dan76 said:

First night of crickets here.

Been hearing the crickets and Katydids for a bit now actually.  Love it.

[Roger Smith]

LB, the heat wave in 1933 ran from July 30 to Aug 2, 98 _ 102 _ 100 _ 98. June 8 and 9 of 1933 also set record highs (95, 97).

In 1955 there were also two very hot days in July, 100F on 22nd and 99F on 23rd. Those were records at the time broken later (1957, then 2011).

The max on Aug 20, 1983 at NYC was 96F, one below the 1955 date record. 

1944 and 1948 were getting quite warm by late July but there were no additional 100F readings to add to those set in August.

 

•  

[steve392]

58 and chilly morning in Paramus.  WOW did that feel good.

[ForestHillWx]

56 out this way; bonfire in the works for tonight. Kids are pumped for smores. 

[winterwarlock]

55 and feels like late September morn

[bluewave]

20 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Isn't it ironic though how the SST were so much cooler in June when we had the 100+ heat at the coast?  Maybe SST are not that important when it comes to extremely high temperatures (but more important when it comes to elevated mins and higher dew points and humidity?)

 

We have seen this 2025 pattern in recent years during 2021 and 2017 when the highest temperatures of the year occurred in June. The most recent heatwave peaked several degrees lower.

So based on past statistics, the warmest part of the summer is behind us. This doesn’t mean that we won’t see more heat potential in the 90s. But Newark hasn’t had  any 100° days after August 15th since 1993.

All the August 100° heat since then has occurred early in the month. None of the models have 100° heat in the next 10 days. So based on the 100° day statistics, chances are low from any 100° heat after August 15th.

1993 was the last time Newark reached 100° after August 15th

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Years with 100° days after August 15th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1953-10-31	105	0
2	1948-10-31	103	0
3	1881-10-31	101	2
4	1993-10-31	100	0
-	1973-10-31	100	0

Dates of all August 100° heat at Newark since 1994

8-1-24…100°

8-9-22..101°

8-3-06..101°

8-13-05…102°

8-13-02…100°

8-9-01…..105°

[SACRUS]

 

67 / 59 .   Clear and gorgeous out.  Low - mid 80s today.  Same maybe a touch warmer tomorrow. Mid - upper 80s Monday, perhaps 90 in the hot areas inland NJ.  Overall near normal the next week with a onshore barrage.  Wed/THu still watch if rain make it north of DE/NJ but lookig dry.   Atlantic ridge hovering off the east coast, ridge back west and northeast.   Flow comes around by next weekend with a warm - hot / humid wet overall into the beyond.

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 100 (2006)
NYC: 100 (1955)
LGA: 102 (2006)
JFK: 98 (1975)


Lows:

EWR: 53 (1940)
NYC: 57 (1875)
LGA: 59 (1953)
JFK: 59 (1985)

 

Historical:

1944: A hurricane formed in the Bahamas and came ashore at the North Carolina/South Carolina border. It moved north as a tropical storm, then curved to the northeast, passing across the lower Delaware Bay on its way out to sea. Philadelphia, PA received 2.39 inches of rain and 0.22 inches on the 3rd. This was the first of three tropical systems to affect the Mid Atlantic states in 1944. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1945: Washington, DC had 3.39 inches rain in 3 hours, 4.26 inches in 6 hours and 5.18 inches in 12 hours. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1954 - Severe thunderstorms produced golf ball size hail for thirty minutes in north central Kansas. One drift measured 200 feet long, seventy feet wide and three feet deep. (The Weather Channel)

1964: Muskegon, Michigan records its hottest day ever with a reading of 99 °F. (Ref. WxDoctor)

1970: At least eight people drowned on Florida Panhandle beaches due to the effects of Hurricane Celia which passed hundreds of miles to the south and made landfall near Corpus Christi, TX. Rip tides and heavy surf with waves up to 10 feet pounded the beaches of Escambia, Okaloosa and Santa Rosa Counties. The Escambia County Sheriff reported 25-30 emergency calls with lifeguards rescuing at least 12 people. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1974: 25 miles east of Buffalo, Wyo.--Lightning struck a party of fishermen, killing one and injuring four others. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf)

1975 - Record heat gripped New England. Highs of 104 degrees at Providence, RI, and 107 degrees at Chester and New Bedford, MA, established state records. The heat along the coast of Maine was unprecedented, with afternoon highs of 101 degrees at Bar Harbor and 104 degrees at Jonesboro. (The Weather Channel)  Boston, Massachusetts had a 102 °F temperature the warmest temperature for August. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

1978: Very heavy rains of 12 to 14 inches fell across the Texas Hill Country during the nighttime and early morning hours causing severe flooding on the Guadalupe River. Up to 30 inches of rain fell during the 3-day period from the 1st through the 3rd. 27 people died in the Hill Country flooding along with tens of millions of dollars in damage. More flooding occurred during the early evening near Abilene, where six people were killed. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1980: The intense heat wave continued in Texas. Dallas had their 41st consecutive day of 100° readings. The streak eventually reached 42 days. Abilene, TX was on their 41st consecutive day of 98° or higher, tying a record that dated back to 1952. El Paso, TX was on their 51st consecutive day of 100°+ temperatures. Other record highs included: Oklahoma City, OK: 110°, Tulsa, OK: 108° and Springfield, MO: 102°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)


1985: A strong and sudden wind gusts cause a plane crash at the Dallas/Fort Worth Airport in Texas that kills 135 people. The rapid and unexpected formation of a supercell, an incredibly powerful form of a thunderstorm, led to the tragedy. 

1987 - Hot weather continued in the central U.S. Fifteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Concordia KS with a reading of 106 degrees, and Downtown Kansas City, MO, with a high of 105 degrees. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Ohio Valley and the north central U.S. Thunder- storms in South Dakota produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Philip, and hail two inches in diameter at Faulkton. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Searing heat continued from the Middle and Upper Mississippi Valley to the Middle and Northern Atlantic Coast States. Twenty- six cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Chicago IL reported a record seven days of 100 degree heat for the year. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Low pressure representing the remains of Hurricane Chantal deluged north central Texas with heavy rain. Up to 6.50 inches drenched Stephens County, and Wichita Falls reported 2.22 inches of rain in just one hour. Bismarck, ND, reported a record warm morning low of 75 degrees, and record hot afternoon high of 101 degrees, and evening thunderstorms in North Dakota produced wind gusts to 78 mph at Lakota. Early evening thunderstorms in Florida produced high winds which downed trees at Christmas. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)


1995: Hurricane Erin made landfall near Sebastian Inlet in southern Brevard County during the early morning hours. Brevard County bore the brunt of the storm with wind gusts to 100 mph between Melbourne Beach and Cocoa Beach knocking down trees on houses, cars, and power lines. As Erin moved through Orlando during the morning wind gusts to 60 mph downed trees on power lines, houses and cars. About one-half million people were without power initially, several thousand were without power for more than five days. Heavy rains of up to 8 inches in three hours on the backside of Erin hit Brevard County again during the afternoon causing widespread flooding of low lying areas. Erin moved into the Gulf of Mexico during the afternoon as a tropical storm, but regained hurricane strength. Erin then made a second Florida landfall near Pensacola on the morning of the 4th with sustained winds of 95 mph gusting to 110 mph. Damage in the Pensacola area was estimated at $300 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1996: Powerful thunderstorms moved across southwest and south central Kansas during the evening hours. In Pratt county eight train cars were blown off the tracks while the train was moving. This occurred one mile west of Cullison. One family was nearly run over by the derailing train cars. One boxcar ended up about 10 feet away from their vehicle. From three miles south of Lewis to Belpre, very strong thunderstorm winds killed calves, blew cars off the highway and blew down 60 power poles. There were unofficial and unconfirmed reports of 125 mph winds recorded on home stations (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2000: Massive downburst winds estimated at 90 to 110 mph hit areas from eight miles west of Spearfish, SD to several miles east of Spearfish. Hail, to golf ball size accompanied the high winds and damaged roofs and siding throughout the region, although the winds caused the worst damage. The airport at Spearfish had 27 planes damaged, and seven of those were destroyed beyond repair. Seven hangers at the airport were also damaged or destroyed. Roofing material sliced through an oxygen valve at the Spearfish Trout Farm and killed 100,000 out of 120,000 trout that the family raised. In the Spearfish city campground, more than 150 campers were there, in anticipation of the 60th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally the following week. None of the trees fell on occupied tents, although several fell within inches of where people were sleeping in their tents. In Rapid City, the National Weather Service office measured wind gusts of 70 mph. The storm weakened as it moved southeast of Rapid City, but was still at severe limits as it passed over the Badlands National Park and went southward into Bennett County. Observers in Martin reported 60 mph wind gusts. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2001: Chicago Illinois was pounded by up to 3.50 inches of rain in one hour in the a.m. rush; some interstate expressways were under 8 feet deep water. Some 228 stalled vehicles had to be towed. 10,000 homes had water damage; 50,000 customers without power at the peak of the storm.
(Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2007 Accord Publishing, USA) (Ref. WxDoctor)

 

2008: Denver, Colorado: A 130-year-old high-temperature record falls in Denver, when the mercury hit 103 °F. (Ref. WxDoctor)

[SACRUS]

 

Aug max temps
EWR back to 2010


2024:  100 (8/1)  
2023: 91 (8/21)
2022: 101 (8/9)
2021: 99 (8/13)
2020: 94 (8/10)
2019: 94 (8/19)
2018: 96 (8/28, 8/29)
2017: 93 (8/1)
2016: 98 (8/13)
2015: 97 (8/17)
2014:  93 (8/27)
2013: 91 (8/21)
2012:  95 (8/5)
2011: 98 (8/1)
2010: 98 (8/31)
 

[SACRUS]

We'll see if something deepens underneath the building ridge in the weakness offshore

 

[WestBabylonWeather]

What time are we expecting smoke 

[psv88]

58.6 this am. Nice and crisp 

[SACRUS]

 

72 / 57 

 

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

We have seen this 2025 pattern in recent years during 2021 and 2017 when the highest temperatures of the year occurred in June. The most recent heatwave peaked several degrees lower.

So based on past statistics, the warmest part of the summer is behind us. This doesn’t mean that we won’t see more heat potential in the 90s. But Newark hasn’t had  any 100° days after August 15th since 1993.

All the August 100° heat since then has occurred early in the month. None of the models have 100° heat in the next 10 days. So based on the 100° day statistics, chances are low from any 100° heat after August 15th.

1993 was the last time Newark reached 100° after August 15th

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Years with 100° days after August 15th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1953-10-31	105	0
2	1948-10-31	103	0
3	1881-10-31	101	2
4	1993-10-31	100	0
-	1973-10-31	100	0

Dates of all August 100° heat at Newark since 1994

8-1-24…100°

8-9-22..101°

8-3-06..101°

8-13-05…102°

8-13-02…100°

8-9-01…..105°

and our immediate area has not seen triple digit heat after August 15th since 8/20/1983.

August 2001 had a notable triple digit heat outbreak near August 10th, but that was a one off the rest of that summer wasn't even that hot.

 

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

We have seen this 2025 pattern in recent years during 2021 and 2017 when the highest temperatures of the year occurred in June. The most recent heatwave peaked several degrees lower.

So based on past statistics, the warmest part of the summer is behind us. This doesn’t mean that we won’t see more heat potential in the 90s. But Newark hasn’t had  any 100° days after August 15th since 1993.

All the August 100° heat since then has occurred early in the month. None of the models have 100° heat in the next 10 days. So based on the 100° day statistics, chances are low from any 100° heat after August 15th.

1993 was the last time Newark reached 100° after August 15th

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Years with 100° days after August 15th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1953-10-31	105	0
2	1948-10-31	103	0
3	1881-10-31	101	2
4	1993-10-31	100	0
-	1973-10-31	100	0

Dates of all August 100° heat at Newark since 1994

8-1-24…100°

8-9-22..101°

8-3-06..101°

8-13-05…102°

8-13-02…100°

8-9-01…..105°

8/9/01 really stands out, what made that day so hot-- 105 at Newark and 103 at Central Park, the day before almost reached 100 too, it was 99 at Central Park

 

[LibertyBell]

11 hours ago, Sundog said:

I'm almost 7 degrees colder than LGA only a few miles east. 

Yes that place is like an oven lol

Did you get into the upper 50s last night?

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 100 (2006)
NYC: 100 (1955)
LGA: 102 (2006)
JFK: 98 (1975)


Lows:

EWR: 53 (1940)
NYC: 57 (1875)
LGA: 59 (1953)
JFK: 59 (1985)

 

Historical:

1944: A hurricane formed in the Bahamas and came ashore at the North Carolina/South Carolina border. It moved north as a tropical storm, then curved to the northeast, passing across the lower Delaware Bay on its way out to sea. Philadelphia, PA received 2.39 inches of rain and 0.22 inches on the 3rd. This was the first of three tropical systems to affect the Mid Atlantic states in 1944. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1945: Washington, DC had 3.39 inches rain in 3 hours, 4.26 inches in 6 hours and 5.18 inches in 12 hours. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1954 - Severe thunderstorms produced golf ball size hail for thirty minutes in north central Kansas. One drift measured 200 feet long, seventy feet wide and three feet deep. (The Weather Channel)

1964: Muskegon, Michigan records its hottest day ever with a reading of 99 °F. (Ref. WxDoctor)

1970: At least eight people drowned on Florida Panhandle beaches due to the effects of Hurricane Celia which passed hundreds of miles to the south and made landfall near Corpus Christi, TX. Rip tides and heavy surf with waves up to 10 feet pounded the beaches of Escambia, Okaloosa and Santa Rosa Counties. The Escambia County Sheriff reported 25-30 emergency calls with lifeguards rescuing at least 12 people. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1974: 25 miles east of Buffalo, Wyo.--Lightning struck a party of fishermen, killing one and injuring four others. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf)

1975 - Record heat gripped New England. Highs of 104 degrees at Providence, RI, and 107 degrees at Chester and New Bedford, MA, established state records. The heat along the coast of Maine was unprecedented, with afternoon highs of 101 degrees at Bar Harbor and 104 degrees at Jonesboro. (The Weather Channel)  Boston, Massachusetts had a 102 °F temperature the warmest temperature for August. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

1978: Very heavy rains of 12 to 14 inches fell across the Texas Hill Country during the nighttime and early morning hours causing severe flooding on the Guadalupe River. Up to 30 inches of rain fell during the 3-day period from the 1st through the 3rd. 27 people died in the Hill Country flooding along with tens of millions of dollars in damage. More flooding occurred during the early evening near Abilene, where six people were killed. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1980: The intense heat wave continued in Texas. Dallas had their 41st consecutive day of 100° readings. The streak eventually reached 42 days. Abilene, TX was on their 41st consecutive day of 98° or higher, tying a record that dated back to 1952. El Paso, TX was on their 51st consecutive day of 100°+ temperatures. Other record highs included: Oklahoma City, OK: 110°, Tulsa, OK: 108° and Springfield, MO: 102°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)


1985: A strong and sudden wind gusts cause a plane crash at the Dallas/Fort Worth Airport in Texas that kills 135 people. The rapid and unexpected formation of a supercell, an incredibly powerful form of a thunderstorm, led to the tragedy. 

1987 - Hot weather continued in the central U.S. Fifteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Concordia KS with a reading of 106 degrees, and Downtown Kansas City, MO, with a high of 105 degrees. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Ohio Valley and the north central U.S. Thunder- storms in South Dakota produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Philip, and hail two inches in diameter at Faulkton. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Searing heat continued from the Middle and Upper Mississippi Valley to the Middle and Northern Atlantic Coast States. Twenty- six cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Chicago IL reported a record seven days of 100 degree heat for the year. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Low pressure representing the remains of Hurricane Chantal deluged north central Texas with heavy rain. Up to 6.50 inches drenched Stephens County, and Wichita Falls reported 2.22 inches of rain in just one hour. Bismarck, ND, reported a record warm morning low of 75 degrees, and record hot afternoon high of 101 degrees, and evening thunderstorms in North Dakota produced wind gusts to 78 mph at Lakota. Early evening thunderstorms in Florida produced high winds which downed trees at Christmas. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)


1995: Hurricane Erin made landfall near Sebastian Inlet in southern Brevard County during the early morning hours. Brevard County bore the brunt of the storm with wind gusts to 100 mph between Melbourne Beach and Cocoa Beach knocking down trees on houses, cars, and power lines. As Erin moved through Orlando during the morning wind gusts to 60 mph downed trees on power lines, houses and cars. About one-half million people were without power initially, several thousand were without power for more than five days. Heavy rains of up to 8 inches in three hours on the backside of Erin hit Brevard County again during the afternoon causing widespread flooding of low lying areas. Erin moved into the Gulf of Mexico during the afternoon as a tropical storm, but regained hurricane strength. Erin then made a second Florida landfall near Pensacola on the morning of the 4th with sustained winds of 95 mph gusting to 110 mph. Damage in the Pensacola area was estimated at $300 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1996: Powerful thunderstorms moved across southwest and south central Kansas during the evening hours. In Pratt county eight train cars were blown off the tracks while the train was moving. This occurred one mile west of Cullison. One family was nearly run over by the derailing train cars. One boxcar ended up about 10 feet away from their vehicle. From three miles south of Lewis to Belpre, very strong thunderstorm winds killed calves, blew cars off the highway and blew down 60 power poles. There were unofficial and unconfirmed reports of 125 mph winds recorded on home stations (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2000: Massive downburst winds estimated at 90 to 110 mph hit areas from eight miles west of Spearfish, SD to several miles east of Spearfish. Hail, to golf ball size accompanied the high winds and damaged roofs and siding throughout the region, although the winds caused the worst damage. The airport at Spearfish had 27 planes damaged, and seven of those were destroyed beyond repair. Seven hangers at the airport were also damaged or destroyed. Roofing material sliced through an oxygen valve at the Spearfish Trout Farm and killed 100,000 out of 120,000 trout that the family raised. In the Spearfish city campground, more than 150 campers were there, in anticipation of the 60th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally the following week. None of the trees fell on occupied tents, although several fell within inches of where people were sleeping in their tents. In Rapid City, the National Weather Service office measured wind gusts of 70 mph. The storm weakened as it moved southeast of Rapid City, but was still at severe limits as it passed over the Badlands National Park and went southward into Bennett County. Observers in Martin reported 60 mph wind gusts. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2001: Chicago Illinois was pounded by up to 3.50 inches of rain in one hour in the a.m. rush; some interstate expressways were under 8 feet deep water. Some 228 stalled vehicles had to be towed. 10,000 homes had water damage; 50,000 customers without power at the peak of the storm.
(Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2007 Accord Publishing, USA) (Ref. WxDoctor)

 

2008: Denver, Colorado: A 130-year-old high-temperature record falls in Denver, when the mercury hit 103 °F. (Ref. WxDoctor)

1944: A hurricane formed in the Bahamas and came ashore at the North Carolina/South Carolina border. It moved north as a tropical storm, then curved to the northeast, passing across the lower Delaware Bay on its way out to sea. Philadelphia, PA received 2.39 inches of rain and 0.22 inches on the 3rd. This was the first of three tropical systems to affect the Mid Atlantic states in 1944. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1944 would have been one of our most exciting summers, big heat and big east coast tropical systems!!!!

 

1975 - Record heat gripped New England. Highs of 104 degrees at Providence, RI, and 107 degrees at Chester and New Bedford, MA, established state records. The heat along the coast of Maine was unprecedented, with afternoon highs of 101 degrees at Bar Harbor and 104 degrees at Jonesboro. (The Weather Channel)  Boston, Massachusetts had a 102 °F temperature the warmest temperature for August. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

 

wow 104 in Providence and we didn't hit 100?

1980: The intense heat wave continued in Texas. Dallas had their 41st consecutive day of 100° readings. The streak eventually reached 42 days. Abilene, TX was on their 41st consecutive day of 98° or higher, tying a record that dated back to 1952. El Paso, TX was on their 51st consecutive day of 100°+ temperatures. Other record highs included: Oklahoma City, OK: 110°, Tulsa, OK: 108° and Springfield, MO: 102°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

endless summer of 1980 continued......

[doncat]

July at my station finished with a mean temp of 79.9° , 3rd warmest behind 80.5 in 1999 and 80.3 in 2010.

[Sundog]

12 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Yes that place is like an oven lol

Did you get into the upper 50s last night?

I stopped dropping around 61 degrees :/

Still I'll take it

[WestBabylonWeather]

Update on smoke progression? 

[jm1220]

10 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Update on smoke progression? 

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=smoke_viden&rh=2025080212&fh=1&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

[WestBabylonWeather]

Just now, jm1220 said:

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=smoke_viden&rh=2025080212&fh=1&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

Nice. Good link. 
 

hoping it holds off on LI for today

[jm1220]

Just now, WestBabylonWeather said:

Nice. Good link. 
 

hoping it holds off on LI for today

Looks like it'll be a bigger problem for NNE especially Maine. 

[TWCCraig]

17 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Update on smoke progression? 

Long range RAP holds off most of the smoke until Monday. Worst of it will be north of here. HRRR has the same progression, but isn't as thick

 

 

[SACRUS]

43 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

and our immediate area has not seen triple digit heat after August 15th since 8/20/1983.

August 2001 had a notable triple digit heat outbreak near August 10th, but that was a one off the rest of that summer wasn't even that hot.

 

2002 was hotter than 1983 for the areas despite not reaching 100.  Plenty of 97,98, 99's for the city and elsewhere.  A degree.

[psv88]

7 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Looks like it'll be a bigger problem for NNE especially Maine. 

I don’t remember wild fire smoke being this much of an issue when I was a kid. Maybe once or twice, but it’s an annual occurrence now. Is it happening more?