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July 2025 General Discussion


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Ahh, today's the 14th anniversary of this beauty from DVN's disco.

SHORT WAVE COMBINED WITH FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND HIGH CAPES SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT
OF THUNDERSTORMS IF CAP BREAKS. IF THIS SCENARIO PANS OUT THEN A
DESTRUCTIVE DERECHO WITH WINDS OVER 100 MPH IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE.
CORFIDI VECTORS WOULD TAKE THE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE DVN CWA
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I finished this morning's MCS with 0.93" of rain.  As it moved in, it looked like a lot more would fall.  We did get our best lightning and thunder of the year, by far, but the warm advection band weakened as it moved through and then the second line crapped out, too.  We had a flash flood warning and a severe storm warning, but neither came close to verifying.  Models are showing another MCS Sunday morning.

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I'm happy for everyone that got some decent rain today.

Ended up with 0.18" IMBY. While every drop counts, we are running a deficit somewhere in the ballpark of about 4" right now, so of course I would have loved to see more. The winner in northern Indiana so far looks to be north of Westville at 4.47".

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3 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Saw a post from the Southeast Regional Climate Center about 70F dewpoint hours and decided to take a look in the Great Lakes region, and WOW. Record hours of 70F dewpoints pretty much across the board. Nuts.

 

 

I think the biggest surprise for me was how few 70F+ dewpoints there were in 2016 despite that being a scorching summer (hottest on record at Detroit). Only 9 hours at this point at Detroit, and 1 hour at Pittsburgh. Also, somewhat surprising, through yesterday's date, 2016 was 1F cooler than this summer to date at Detroit. It's been 10 years so my memory is getting a little fuzzy, but it must have been an all out torch from here on out that year.

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12 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

The mcs really broke/dried up by the time it got here. Just a trace of rain.

With how much rain there's been of late, I'd say that's a good thing. I hope it continues weakening. Doesn't look like a big rainmaker at this point in any event, although there are still some areas of embedded heavier downpours where I guess a quarter to half inch could fall.

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