Chrisrotary12 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago It’s not a cold look, but not sure it’s overly dewy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: perfect boating day. Instead, sitting in cube all day You around in Naples Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago You around in Naples Saturday?YupSent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Yup Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk I'll be down with 10 of us, I have a Tritoon, Probably going to third beach then Jack's. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago The usual caveats apply with poor mid-level lapse rates Friday, however, could be a few nasty storms around 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The usual caveats apply with poor mid-level lapse rates Friday, however, could be a few nasty storms around Are you going to BDL? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Are you going to BDL? Absolutely...if anything looks good into northern CT that's where I'll be. I'm a little upset...there is an empty lot in between the Spare Time Bowling Alley and that hotel. A friend of mine pointed it out 3 years ago and I started sitting there. It was great because you had a bit better view being a bit farther back from the building across from McDonalds on the airfield. But the lot is not blocked off with cinderblocks what I really need to do though is find a good viewing spot within Suffield towards Thompsonville. BDL is great for the views but I feel like more often than not the best stuff happens along Suffield/Thompsonville. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 0-3-5, 0-3-6-5, 0-3-5, 3-0 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Summer of yore on the gefs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Summer of yore on the gefs Cold and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 hours ago, Sn0waddict said: Is there even such a thing as a growing season in the Sarnac Lake area? Lol Have to concentrate on the cool season veggies - cole crops and root crops. When we lived in Fort Kent we had damage to our pumpkins on July 31, 1978 and the neighbor's beans were killed. Hit 28 late that August. We were then at the edge of the built-up section of town at 550' elev. Moved to a back settlement at 970' in 1981 and on August 28, 1982 we had slushy flakes. In both places we had to ripen 90%+ of our tomatoes indoors. In 1983 we reached Sept 13 without getting below 39 and the forecast low for the next morning was 40. That verified at 25 and our green tomatoes were fit to use for croquet. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Cold and dry Looks like you and scooter are the last two standing as far as liking hot and muggy. Your boy fish has mended his ways. Eventually everyone comes around. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Another COCtacular day out there today, Folks are loving it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago New model development from NOAA: The Global Systems Laboratory is set to release an experimental, high resolution AI product called, 'HRRR-Cast.' It's been trained on 3 years worth of HRRR analysis data... Lately, computational efficiency is starting to dominate the modeling world and I'm incredibly skeptical of it. According to https://arxiv.org/html/2507.05658v1 (assuming this is the same modeling system): "HRRRCast outperforms HRRR at the 20 dBZ threshold across all lead times, and achieves comparable performance at 30 dBZ." "HRRRCast can produce ensembles that quantify forecast uncertainty while remaining far more computationally efficient than traditional physics-based ensembles." Big caveat: The study used HRRR analysis data as 'ground truth.' Therefore, it's no surprise that HRRR-Cast, and their other AI model, performed well compared to diagnostic HRRR/forecast output. Until I see AI outperform conventional NWP at METAR/radiosonde sites (surface and aloft), I'm not going to get excited. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago RIP Ozzy Osbourne........ 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: RIP Ozzy Osbourne........ It’s amazing he lived as long as he did. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: It’s amazing he lived as long as he did. Its amazing any of these rock stars do, He had parkinsons too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 22 minutes ago, MegaMike said: New model development from NOAA: The Global Systems Laboratory is set to release an experimental, high resolution AI product called, 'HRRR-Cast.' It's been trained on 3 years worth of HRRR analysis data... Lately, computational efficiency is starting to dominate the modeling world and I'm incredibly skeptical of it. According to https://arxiv.org/html/2507.05658v1 (assuming this is the same modeling system): "HRRRCast outperforms HRRR at the 20 dBZ threshold across all lead times, and achieves comparable performance at 30 dBZ." "HRRRCast can produce ensembles that quantify forecast uncertainty while remaining far more computationally efficient than traditional physics-based ensembles." Big caveat: The study used HRRR analysis data as 'ground truth.' Therefore, it's no surprise that HRRR-Cast, and their other AI model, performed well compared to diagnostic HRRR/forecast output. Until I see AI outperform conventional NWP at METAR/radiosonde sites (surface and aloft), I'm not going to get excited. I saw this the other day. While I am extremely skeptical with the AI stuff and the movement with AI within the field, this is something I think is worst investing resources in regarding AI...short-term/nowcasting, not medium-range. I think there is tremendous potential in this regard when it comes to improving lead times with severe weather and flash flooding. Glad you threw in there the caveat too...that is something that should definitely be made aware and realized by everyone reading the study. But I am excited for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I listened to lots of Sabbath as a kid. Ozzy's solo stuff was pretty good too. RIP And also odd when Ozzy lived as long as he did, while freak genius (and rather straight-edge iirc) R Rhodes was taken so soon 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: I listened to lots of Sabbath as a kid. Ozzy's solo stuff was pretty good too. RIP And also odd when Ozzy lived as long as he did, while freak genius (and rather straight-edge iirc) R Rhodes was taken so soon Plane crash got him in a very odd way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Cold and dry Yup congrats 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, dendrite said: It’s amazing he lived as long as he did. He probably did more substances than the entire AmWx membership combined. And still kept rockin’ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Summer of yore on the gefs This is fun ... check out the N Hemisphere rendering at 360 hours by the the GFS ( oper) left vs the ECMWF right. It's like +2 SD AO vs -2 SD AO Yet both try to make it cold here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: He probably did more substances than the entire AmWx membership combined. And still kept rockin’ Ummm you've met Luke right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: This is fun ... check out the N Hemisphere rendering at 360 hours by the the GFS ( oper) left vs the ECMWF right. It's like +2 SD AO vs -2 SD AO Yet both try to make it cold here Cold works. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 33 minutes ago, dryslot said: Plane crash got him in a very odd way. Pilot was an ass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This is fun ... check out the N Hemisphere rendering at 360 hours by the the GFS ( oper) left vs the ECMWF right. It's like +2 SD AO vs -2 SD AO Yet both try to make it cold here Its coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 20 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This is fun ... check out the N Hemisphere rendering at 360 hours by the the GFS ( oper) left vs the ECMWF right. It's like +2 SD AO vs -2 SD AO Yet both try to make it cold here Gee I wonder which one will verify lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This is fun ... check out the N Hemisphere rendering at 360 hours by the the GFS ( oper) left vs the ECMWF right. It's like +2 SD AO vs -2 SD AO Yet both try to make it cold here The Euro would be rocking for some MCS/derecho potential. Northwesterly flow aloft and I bet the sfc we're probably right on the gradient of rich theta-e air 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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