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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability

wdrag

By wdrag,
in New York City Metro

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LibertyBell

LibertyBell

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It’s very rare for areas south the Belt Parkway near JFK to the Sunrise Highway in Nassau and into Suffolk to completely avoid a sea breeze. This is why June was the first 100° for many locations from JFK out into Suffolk since 2013. The ridge axis most of the time has been east of New England over the last decade leading to more onshore flow.

This summer it has been a little further west allowing  the 100° down to south the South Shore areas back in June. But the ridge is still not far enough west into the Great Lakes to give is as much westerly flow as 2010. That’s why the sea breeze today was a bit stronger than forecast from yesterday.

2010 was the only time living in Long Beach that I had so much westerly flow right down to the beach. There were a few times that summer when the sea breeze stalled along the boardwalk with cooler on the beach and warmer along Park Avenue. 

So the ridge axis this summer so far has been a blend of 2010-2013 and 2018-2024. So this is why places like JFK are so far behind 2010 on 90° days through late July. But more 90° and 100° days than recent years. 

Yes, this is a real summer, while 2014-2024 have not been that hot.

 

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Stormlover74
Stormlover74
LoboLeader1
LoboLeader1

Anyone liking this swamp ass wx has a few bolts loose.

wdrag
wdrag

Fun times ahead for the extremists.  As mentioned in several earlier posts this past page or two... EPS is going ahead with two or three 100+ days at KEWR Fri-Sun and an active potential FF pattern Su

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bluewave

bluewave

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

the sea breeze isn't avoided, it just hits 100+ before the sea breeze  comes  and the sea breeze is delayed to after 4 pm.

Do you remember July 5, 1999-- it hit 102 at JFK and it was 1 degree hotter than Central Park

and on July 22-23, 2011 it hit 103 and 102 at JFK on back to back days.

Do you think the sea breeze can be held off for a few more hours tomorrow?

Back in 2010 there were several days when the flow stayed westerly nearly all day. And on the warmest days the sea breeze would often get delayed until mid or late afternoon. It was the only summer that this was the case when I lived in Long Beach. 

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LibertyBell

LibertyBell

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Back in 2010 there were several days when the flow stayed westerly nearly all day. And on the warmest days the sea breeze would often get delayed until mid or late afternoon. It was the only summer that this was the case when I lived in Long Beach. 

Not in 1999, not even on the day it hit 102 at JFK (the high was late in the day too)?

and in 2011 when it was 103 and 102 on back to back days at JFK on July 22-23?

 

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bluewave

bluewave

Posted
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4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Not in 1999, not even on the day it hit 102 at JFK (the high was late in the day too)?

and in 2011 when it was 103 and 102 on back to back days at JFK on July 22-23?

 

The magnitude and duration of the westerly flow on Long Island was unprecedented in 2010. While earlier years had some, it was nothing compared to 2010. This was the only time that a station on Long Island had 50 days reaching 90°.

Time Series Summary for MINEOLA, NY - Jan through Dec Most 90° Days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010 52 0
2 1988 34 50
3 2002 33 0
4 2005 32 2
5 1999 27 10
- 1991 27 0
6 1959 26 1
7 1961 21 1
8 1952 20 0
9 1955 19 3
- 1949 19 4
- 1944 19 0
10 1953 18 1
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LibertyBell

LibertyBell

Posted
Posted
24 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The magnitude and duration of the westerly flow on Long Island was unprecedented in 2010. While earlier years had some, it was nothing compared to 2010. This was the only time that a station on Long Island had 50 days reaching 90°.

Time Series Summary for MINEOLA, NY - Jan through Dec Most 90° Days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010 52 0
2 1988 34 50
3 2002 33 0
4 2005 32 2
5 1999 27 10
- 1991 27 0
6 1959 26 1
7 1961 21 1
8 1952 20 0
9 1955 19 3
- 1949 19 4
- 1944 19 0
10 1953 18 1

nice, that was my dream summer.  It's too bad that station wasn't around for 2011 to see if the peak was higher than the 108 it recorded in 2010.

 

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LibertyBell

LibertyBell

Posted
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25 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The magnitude and duration of the westerly flow on Long Island was unprecedented in 2010. While earlier years had some, it was nothing compared to 2010. This was the only time that a station on Long Island had 50 days reaching 90°.

Time Series Summary for MINEOLA, NY - Jan through Dec Most 90° Days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2010 52 0
2 1988 34 50
3 2002 33 0
4 2005 32 2
5 1999 27 10
- 1991 27 0
6 1959 26 1
7 1961 21 1
8 1952 20 0
9 1955 19 3
- 1949 19 4
- 1944 19 0
10 1953 18 1

it's interesting that 1993 isn't on this list, I thought it was hotter than 1991.

 

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bluewave

bluewave

Posted
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More record warmth today on the CT Shoreline following the June all-time high of 98° at HVN.

Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2025 98 0
2 1957 96 0
3 2012 95 0
4 2021 94 0
5 2008 93 0
- 1974 93 0
- 1964 93 0
- 1953 93 0
- 1952 93 0


  

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY
441 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2025

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT BRIDGEPORT CT...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 96 DEGREES WAS SET AT BRIDGEPORT CT
TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 96 DEGREES SET IN 2002.

ALL CLIMATE DATA ARE CONSIDERED PRELIMINARY UNTIL REVIEWED BY THE 
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION (NCEI).
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bkviking

bkviking

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Back in 2010 there were several days when the flow stayed westerly nearly all day. And on the warmest days the sea breeze would often get delayed until mid or late afternoon. It was the only summer that this was the case when I lived in Long Beach. 

2010 was legendary- beginning to end. Fantastic winter finishing up on Feb 26 with the “snowapocalypse” to the early March wind event , to the fantastic early Spring to the classic hot but lower dewpoint summer, to the great finish with Boxing Day. 
 

Plenty if storms in all seasons but plenty of great weather days. One of best years ever. 

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Sundog

Sundog

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, bkviking said:

2010 was legendary- beginning to end. Fantastic winter finishing up on Feb 26 with the “snowapocalypse” to the early March wind event , to the fantastic early Spring to the classic hot but lower dewpoint summer, to the great finish with Boxing Day. 
 

Plenty if storms in all seasons but plenty of great weather days. One of best years ever. 

2010 had the September tornado that literally passed over my house and the microburst which together wiped out a massive amount of huge, old trees in my area. 

The canopy has never been the same, it makes me angry to this day. 

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