Lava Rock Posted Monday at 12:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:32 PM 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Could be a wetter stretch in NNE Thursday-Saturday. Color me surprised. I've just accepted it's going to rain every saturday 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 12:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:51 PM Folks probably don't give a ratz ass how and why it rains on weekends at this point. The frustration doesn't care... But, I'm seeing this weekend's rain potential as more typically of summer - not being inundated with cold and NE flow type bs fwiw - There may be a warm/stationary front sort of stalled ALB to PSM type axis, like the current blend of the Euro/GFS, and associated rain/thunder ... More typical of 42 deg N latitude in early June. That setup is normal synoptic frontal traffic this time of year. We get fronts... it's normal during both outstanding weather years, and piece of shit years, and all qualities in between. Cannot remove passing fronts, cool or warm, at this time of year. It would in fact be abnormal to have a big ridge anomaly with the westerlies and fronts all displayed way w-n ... If/when that ever sets up, that's more of a July and August thing. I get it that 12 weeks in a row of rain on weekends is some kind of maddening fractal ... I think the GGEM is full of shit... I'd take a blend of the Euro and GFS. If S of said axis above ... humid and warm with thunder in region. If your N of that, like Scott was saying ... rain intervals with thunder on Saturday. But mild-like. I would not take present depiction as gospel, anyway. The boundary could reposition N or S by 100 mb from this range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted Monday at 12:55 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:55 PM 21 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Color me surprised. I've just accepted it's going to rain every saturday Last dry Saturday was 4/19. brutal. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 01:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:01 PM 6 minutes ago, tunafish said: Last dry Saturday was 4/19. brutal. Hopefully that front is further north for you guys. But like tip said, has that ALB to PSM look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 03:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:06 PM Heh... despite my conservative tone this morning - which I still suspect is warranted - the NAM arrives with a 90 F at least implicated in the FOUS grid 54000492730 -2403 212012 71261912 I don't expect anyone to know what these numerics are supposed mean - mainly because I've written, with pain staking detail, what those definitions are at least 20 times ( ). Anyway, that profile for 18z on Wednesday would 89 to 91 over down town streets and parking lots...ranging to 82 or 84 where the hill people down play heat. sarcasm aside ...I'm not sure the NAM physics has smoke contamination built in ? maybe Brian or someone knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Monday at 03:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:27 PM 66 and mostly sunny. Wouldn't mind running off a few more copies of today . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Monday at 03:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:46 PM 4 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Another example, they've had Thursday as mostly sunny in their forecast.. still do.. No mention of PM storms.. Weird I'm in Florida at the moment so not in the know but maybe they're short staffed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterSnow Posted Monday at 04:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:15 PM 3 hours ago, mreaves said: Where did you think you moved to? Seriously though, I don't know if you actually understood the climate in New England. There have always been hot days, this isn't Labrador. 13 hours ago, bristolri_wx said: Mid 80's and low 90's have never been uncommon in New England during the summer months over the last 150 years. The biggest increases have been in dewpoints and low temps over the last several decades. If you moved here expecting 60's and 70's during the summer... well... we aren't Canada... Hey now, I relocated to here a year ago. I have experienced a CT summer already. I know that it can and does get into the 90s, I just got the impression from last year that it wasn't something that happens a lot in a given summer like it does where I came from (and last summer was above normal, apparently?), so already being hit with this at the beginning of June is yucky. Just hope my A/C can keep up with it. I can't afford to get a window unit for my bedroom right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:18 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 04:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:20 PM 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Beer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted Monday at 04:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:22 PM 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: So looking east from the Cape, there is smoke on the water from a fire in the sky. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 04:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:26 PM Good song Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Monday at 04:34 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 04:34 PM 12 minutes ago, klw said: So looking east from the Cape, there is smoke on the water from a fire in the sky. I guess she said burn https://youtu.be/LCnebZnysmI?si=y3IBOGCFMUd1KVEW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:02 PM Canadian is freaking hysterical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 05:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:07 PM Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 05:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:23 PM 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: Congrats. Nah this will be a NNE deal I think. I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 05:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:26 PM 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nah this will be a NNE deal I think. I hope. We can do without it, Would like to share the wealth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted Monday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:32 PM 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Canadian is freaking hysterical. Starts Friday, ends on Monday. Sounds about right. That would be hilarious. Synoptically stormy pattern this spring. ICON and GFS though are north and make NNE swallow the uzi. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Monday at 05:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:33 PM 1 hour ago, WinterSnow said: Hey now, I relocated to here a year ago. I have experienced a CT summer already. I know that it can and does get into the 90s, I just got the impression from last year that it wasn't something that happens a lot in a given summer like it does where I came from (and last summer was above normal, apparently?), so already being hit with this at the beginning of June is yucky. Just hope my A/C can keep up with it. I can't afford to get a window unit for my bedroom right now. You got the right impression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:43 PM One thing to note as well for the Thursday - Saturday period is this is going to be much more convective so that opens up the door for some significant rainfall totals (at least locally)...models could certainly end up underdoing the extent of totals. Also, some areas will get significantly rainfall than forecast. Where the front becomes held up could be critical because there could be some major flood concerns up north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 05:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:45 PM Euro soaks SNE now. Fook. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 06:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:29 PM 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: One thing to note as well for the Thursday - Saturday period is this is going to be much more convective so that opens up the door for some significant rainfall totals (at least locally)...models could certainly end up underdoing the extent of totals. Also, some areas will get significantly rainfall than forecast. Where the front becomes held up could be critical because there could be some major flood concerns up north. I've come to find that the error goes in both directions ... They'll error too high on the regional totals ( actually), while down to a handful of towns and counties get Leominstered Over did the synoptics, but under did the local thunderstorm - but since the latter is inside the regional bounded area, it falsely props up the regional result. So two wrongs does make a right - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 06:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:39 PM 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I've come to find that they error goes in both directions ... They'll error too high on the regional totals ( actually), while down to a handful of towns and counties get Leominstered Over did the synoptics, but under did the local thunderstorm - but since the latter is inside the regional bounded area, it falsely props up the regional result. So two wrongs does make a right - Agreed with this, great add. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 07:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:09 PM 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Euro soaks SNE now. Fook. Storms with front across region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Monday at 07:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:13 PM 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Storms with front across region? it's cloudy and rainy..not great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 07:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:20 PM 6 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: it's cloudy and rainy..not great Seems like convection and dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 07:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:22 PM It's not good. Man these shit Saturday's absolutely suck the life out of the weekends. Hopefully it goes back north or gets more progressive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted Monday at 07:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:35 PM 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's not good. Man these shit Saturday's absolutely suck the life out of the weekends. Hopefully it goes back north stay south or gets more progressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 07:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:36 PM 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's not good. Man these shit Saturday's absolutely suck the life out of the weekends. Hopefully it goes back north or gets more progressive. how about if it's training severe ... nickle hail 3 times with incredible rain rates and overlapping multi-pulser CG bombs ...otherwise still 76/72-like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Monday at 07:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:45 PM Nice 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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