SACRUS Posted Monday at 03:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:52 PM Collin Rugg on X: "NEW: Tourists seen running for their lives as Italy’s Mount Etna erupts, sending ash "several kilometers" into the sky. A tour company said they had about 40 people on the volcano when it erupted, as reported by CNN. The last time Mt. Etna erupted like this was in https://t.co/Vf25XkefP6" / X Etna erupts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted Monday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:07 PM Cool start to June, 40s here last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Monday at 04:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:09 PM 16 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Collin Rugg on X: "NEW: Tourists seen running for their lives as Italy’s Mount Etna erupts, sending ash "several kilometers" into the sky. A tour company said they had about 40 people on the volcano when it erupted, as reported by CNN. The last time Mt. Etna erupted like this was in https://t.co/Vf25XkefP6" / X Etna erupts. WTF was with that one dude walking up to the crater rim while everyone else is running down lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted Monday at 04:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:32 PM 45 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: did you see the northern lights from Lynbrook? Nope. Need a Carington level event to get through the light pollution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted Monday at 04:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:36 PM 58 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Today Normal's EWR: 77 / 59 ; NYC: 76 / 60. Lows EWR 50 / NYC 53 with highs in the 74 - 77 range today puts daily departures in the -3 to -6 range. Looks like 80s through Sunday then the Ridge in the west and EC on the fringes of the ridge trough setting up into the GL/MW. It would be brief day or so of any heat getting into the area during the 6/9 - 6/15 period only but does appear to be overall above normal. I think we are going to average out closer to average than not over this time period. I see heat building, but still persistent storminess. It looks muggy some of the time. Here in northern Westchester/Putnam it looks like 3 days in the 80s this week peaking on Thursday but mid 70s for the weekend. Next week looks like 70s too for the first part of the week. 49 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Not very hot, but more like warm to very warm. Maybe 90 on Thursday the other days will be low to mid 80s. Depends on the area. Tomorrow will be mid-70s for most of the forum. Weekend looks like 70s and humid. And maybe struggling to reach 70 next Wednesday. It isn't screaming hot or well above average like I am hearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Monday at 04:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:47 PM 13 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Nope. Need a Carington level event to get through the light pollution. Oh we saw it last year in October even from the city, you probably saw that one too, it was even at a decent time (around 7-7:30 pm), great sky conditions too since there was 0 rain in October last year and barely ever any clouds lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Monday at 04:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:47 PM 10 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: I think we are going to average out closer to average than not over this time period. I see heat building, but still persistent storminess. It looks muggy some of the time. Here in northern Westchester/Putnam it looks like 3 days in the 80s this week peaking on Thursday but mid 70s for the weekend. Next week looks like 70s too for the first part of the week. Depends on the area. Tomorrow will be mid-70s for most of the forum. Weekend looks like 70s and humid. And maybe struggling to reach 70 next Wednesday. It isn't screaming hot or well above average like I am hearing. I'm just glad we are only going to get the typical scattered showers/thunderstorms and not any more of these evil closed off lows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Monday at 04:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:48 PM 39 minutes ago, steve392 said: WTF was with that one dude walking up to the crater rim while everyone else is running down lol it reminds me of a movie-- Dante's Peak, I think? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Monday at 05:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:08 PM 29 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: I think we are going to average out closer to average than not over this time period. I see heat building, but still persistent storminess. It looks muggy some of the time. Here in northern Westchester/Putnam it looks like 3 days in the 80s this week peaking on Thursday but mid 70s for the weekend. Next week looks like 70s too for the first part of the week. Depends on the area. Tomorrow will be mid-70s for most of the forum. Weekend looks like 70s and humid. And maybe struggling to reach 70 next Wednesday. It isn't screaming hot or well above average like I am hearing. Tue should get to or exceed 80 for most of NJ / NYC metro as it looks now. We'll see next week with frontal boundary / clouds otherwise once to Tue could be 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted Monday at 05:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:22 PM 13 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Tue should get to or exceed 80 for most of NJ / NYC metro as it looks now. We'll see next week with frontal boundary / clouds otherwise once to Tue could be 80s. I hope so. We need to get a string of dry weeks in here. The tick numbers are crazy high right now. Luckily with the cold recently, the mosquitoes aren't as bad, but that will change too I'm sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted Monday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:14 PM 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: I'm just glad we are only going to get the typical scattered showers/thunderstorms and not any more of these evil closed off lows. How does Saturday look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Monday at 06:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:20 PM 5 minutes ago, WE GOT HIM said: How does Saturday look Wet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Monday at 06:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:26 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted Monday at 06:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:47 PM 26 minutes ago, FPizz said: Wet Damn man I need it not to be that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Monday at 07:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:20 PM 32 minutes ago, WE GOT HIM said: Damn man I need it not to be that I'd prefer that too. The graduation party for my niece looks bad as of now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted Monday at 10:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:59 PM 5 hours ago, SACRUS said: Tue should get to or exceed 80 for most of NJ / NYC metro as it looks now. We'll see next week with frontal boundary / clouds otherwise once to Tue could be 80s. I'm still not seeing any heat this week with possibly one or two days in the June 11-14 time-frame. But overall it does not to me like an above normal temperature pattern for our area. I'm aware some of the longer range guidance has a ridge over the eastern Canada and the Maritime Provinces nosing back towards us but that is really not a heat signal for the big cities of the northeast and coastal sections. We do not want to see high pressure set up so close to us or in the coastal waters se of New England. It's very much an over the top type of signal and the flow remains active with lots of cold fronts and an active storm track. The warm days are mostly low-mid 80s, yes high overnight minimums sometimes but also a cool push of air every so often. Looks near to perhaps slightly below normal temps to me and wetter than normal for most of us. WX/PT 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Monday at 11:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:12 PM A dramatic warmup will is now imminent. The temperature will soar into the upper 70s to around 80° tomorrow and into the 80s by Wednesday. The temperature could reach the hottest levels so far this year on Thursday. Parts of the region could reach 90° for their first time this year. Temperatures will remain above normal into the weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around May 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer. The SOI was -6.75 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.534 today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM Highs today PHL: 75 EWR: 75 TEB: 74 ACY: 74 LGA: 73 New Brnswck: 73 JFK: 72 BLM: 72 ISP: 71 TTN: 71 NYC: 71 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted yesterday at 01:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:28 AM High temp of 75 here today. Beautiful day with the low dewpoints and sunshine. Gonna be interesting to see if we can get a heat wave here Wednesday through Friday. Definitely low-mid 90s on Thursday. Wednesday and Friday are going to be close with high temps near 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted yesterday at 01:58 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:58 AM 2 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I'm still not seeing any heat this week with possibly one or two days in the June 11-14 time-frame. But overall it does not to me like an above normal temperature pattern for our area. I'm aware some of the longer range guidance has a ridge over the eastern Canada and the Maritime Provinces nosing back towards us but that is really not a heat signal for the big cities of the northeast and coastal sections. We do not want to see high pressure set up so close to us or in the coastal waters se of New England. It's very much an over the top type of signal and the flow remains active with lots of cold fronts and an active storm track. The warm days are mostly low-mid 80s, yes high overnight minimums sometimes but also a cool push of air every so often. Looks near to perhaps slightly below normal temps to me and wetter than normal for most of us. WX/PT All the wet weather/flooding to our west and south might work against big ridging there again this summer which would mean more southerly flow/humid FL type weather vs westerly flow drier heat that can give many of us a chance at 100. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted yesterday at 03:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:20 AM 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: All the wet weather/flooding to our west and south might work against big ridging there again this summer which would mean more southerly flow/humid FL type weather vs westerly flow drier heat that can give many of us a chance at 100. The latter part of this summer might begin to turn drier but the drier pattern could also hold off until after summer. We'll see. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted yesterday at 04:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:28 AM 1 hour ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: The latter part of this summer might begin to turn drier but the drier pattern could also hold off until after summer. We'll see. WX/PT it depends on how tropical season sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Slight chill in the air but otherwise gorgeous morning driving into work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 19 hours ago, LibertyBell said: This is why I can't wait for SST to heat up to 70+ Yeah, looks like a brief warm up this week before we get another cooler weekend with onshore flow and rain. So a continuation of the May theme into June. The upper low keeps returning to the Northeast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 9 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, looks like a brief warm up this week before we get another cooler weekend with onshore flow and rain. So a continuation of the May theme into June. The upper low keeps returning to the Northeast. There's a large area of below normal SSTs east of us into SE Canada while drought conditions are present in the plains and western regions. I wonder if modeled heat waves in the LR will keep getting muted for our region because of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 16 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: There's a large area of below normal SSTs east of us into SE Canada while drought conditions are present in the plains and western regions. I wonder if modeled heat waves in the LR will keep getting muted for our region because of this. Yeah, the warm up this week turned into more of an over the top one than the models were showing last week. So the warmest departures will be up in Canada like we have been seeing so often. The usual warm spots will see their first 90° potential. But the onshore influence remains east of NYC. June 2 to 9 new run June 2 to 9 old run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 50 degree low here this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago I need a dry Saturday in Westchester. That's not looking likely is it?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Models have lows in the mid 70s Friday morning around NYC, I hope you're all happy! Nothing do I dread more than high minimums. I'd rather have mid 90s every day instead of lows near 80 at night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 12 minutes ago, Sundog said: Models have lows in the mid 70s Friday morning around NYC, I hope you're all happy! Nothing do I dread more than high minimums. I'd rather have mid 90s every day instead of lows near 80 at night. Totally agree. Hopefully humidity will be low and won't be uncomfortable first thing in the morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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