MN Transplant Posted Saturday at 10:31 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:31 PM 7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Why doesn't large hail happen in the city much? Large hail simply doesn’t happen much in this region at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Saturday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:32 PM 16 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Large hail simply doesn’t happen much in this region at all Is there a reason for that? I mean in general...even with small hail, it seems to happen in the county more than the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Saturday at 10:34 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 10:34 PM The radar out near the Blue Ridge is looking awesome. Looks like some drought busting. Carroll County is getting nailed too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Saturday at 10:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:35 PM Radar has that west look to it. Almost everyone needs rain but those guys really need it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted Saturday at 10:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:40 PM hanging tough at 0.00T total for the month, it's a capital T so we good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Saturday at 10:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:43 PM 9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Is there a reason for that? I mean in general...even with small Hail, it seems to happen in the county more than the city. I swear the bay pushes a mesoscale boundary just north of the city towards the top side of the Baltimore Beltway. I'm hoping that as we put more mesonet stations in, we can begin to better identify these small scale features that make severe weather forecasting so tricky. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Saturday at 10:47 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:47 PM 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I swear the bay pushes a mesoscale boundary just north of the city towards the top side of the Baltimore Beltway. I'm hoping that as we put more mesonet stations in, we can begin to better identify these small scale features that make severe weather forecasting so tricky. Come to think of it that area from Baltimore to Philadelphia always seems to be a hot bed for some of our more impressive severe storms so the bay boundary definitely makes a ton of sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Saturday at 10:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:48 PM A welcome 0.3 so far from getting scraped by the southern edge of two cells so far. Hoping for a flush hit at some point. Had one super-close lightning strike, had to have been within a couple hundred feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Saturday at 10:51 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:51 PM 4 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Come to think of it that area from Baltimore to Philadelphia always seems to be a hot bed for some of our more impressive severe storms so the bay boundary definitely makes a ton of sense. Yeah, thunderstorm lines seem to max out around here. Baltimore city gets some pretty good action too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted Saturday at 11:00 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:00 PM 45 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said: Dang. Haven't seen a hail signature like that in quite some time... Wow, yeah, I think that spike coming off the cell at the 4 o clock position is a classic indicator of very large hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted Saturday at 11:02 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:02 PM 36 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Why doesn't large hail happen in the city much? Large hail is a rare event in ANY given location. You're biased because it's your backyard. Think about why the SPC probabilities are "within 25 miles of a point" The probs are never "damaging wind at your exact location" Even factoring in the city boundaries, it is not a lot of geographical space. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Saturday at 11:02 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:02 PM Short range models are not that enthused for tonight around here from local sources, yet I see storms firing NE of me near Wilmington and Woodbury, NJ. The Delaware rain forcefield is in full effect below the C&D Canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted Saturday at 11:03 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:03 PM Just now, Kmlwx said: Large hail is a rare event in ANY given location. You're biased because it's your backyard. Think about why the SPC probabilities are "within 25 miles of a point" The probs are never "damaging wind at your exact location" Even factoring in the city boundaries, it is not a lot of geographical space. Adding...of course if you compare all areas vs your tiny area. You're going to get a sense that hail is "tons more common" but you need to compare your slice of land to a similar sized plot to get any accurate apples to apples comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Saturday at 11:04 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:04 PM 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: Large hail is a rare event in ANY given location. You're biased because it's your backyard. Think about why the SPC probabilities are "within 25 miles of a point" The probs are never "damaging wind at your exact location" Even factoring in the city boundaries, it is not a lot of geographical space. I'll little that down to just any hail. Seems to be hard to come by in the city. But others have said something about the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Saturday at 11:06 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:06 PM Lower Delaware and Southern, NJ with South winds above 20 mph. meanwhile my area and nearby locations with firm SW winds. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Saturday at 11:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:30 PM About to start buster phase 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted Saturday at 11:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:43 PM 36 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I'll little that down to just any hail. Seems to be hard to come by in the city. But others have said something about the bay. Could be a a bit of both. But in my 33 years of living in the area (stints in different spots but mostly the same spot near Colesville, MD) I have seen hail larger than pea size ZERO times....in 33 years. The largest hail I've ever seen at any location was maybe marble sized and it was not at my normal home location. So what's the explanation for Colesville, MD lacking hail? Willing to run with the bay influence that Eskimo Joe mentioned...but I'd venture a guess that if you were to take a similar sized area as "Baltimore City" proper, you'd probably find pretty similar hail statistics in the general DC/Baltimore region. Of course, there will likely be anomalies here or there but on average I'd bet it's similar region wide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Saturday at 11:47 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:47 PM The cell that originated in Montgomery County, ran up through the Baltimore metro producing gold ball sized hail, and then tried to spin a bit near Aberdeen, is throwing more hail out in the SW suburbs of Philadelphia. SPC mesoalanysis reveals there is a weak surface low nearby, so perhaps that's what is sustaining that cluster of storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Saturday at 11:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:48 PM At a concert in downtown Balt City and missing all the storms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Saturday at 11:55 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:55 PM Radar looks gorgeous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Ramjet Posted Saturday at 11:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:56 PM My point-n-click forecast says 1 to 2" tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Sunday at 12:02 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:02 AM 31 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: About to start buster phase 2 About 0.25”. So 0.4-0.5” so far for the entire buster. Need more storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Sunday at 12:02 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:02 AM 6 minutes ago, 87storms said: Radar looks gorgeous It does. Lot out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Sunday at 12:08 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:08 AM All that large hail talk trust me you do not want it! It sounds like a hundred guys pounding on your roof with sledgehammers, combined with window after window shattering. You go out after it's over in a daze looking at your dented car and broken windows everywhere. Seen it twice and hopefully never again! Got a third little shot of rain and greedily hoping for more later on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Sunday at 12:14 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:14 AM It does. Lot out west. I guess the next question is how much of it holds after sunset. Just started raining here again while I’m waiting for takeout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Sunday at 12:16 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:16 AM First storms today mostly a miss. Round 2 moving in now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Sunday at 12:17 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:17 AM 8 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: All that large hail talk trust me you do not want it! It sounds like a hundred guys pounding on your roof with sledgehammers, combined with window after window shattering. You go out after it's over in a daze looking at your dented car and broken windows everywhere. Seen it twice and hopefully never again! Got a third little shot of rain and greedily hoping for more later on I think that activity in Northern Virginia could scrape you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Sunday at 12:18 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:18 AM 15 minutes ago, mappy said: It does. Lot out west. I’d like it a lot more if all that green was to my south. We’ll see if more pops up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Sunday at 12:19 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:19 AM Getting hit pretty good 0.50 and still dumping 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Sunday at 12:20 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:20 AM Storms approaching me from the south. A good bit of lightning with this one, CC branches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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