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1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Still massive differences between the gfs and euro. Major bust coming for one of them

Seems very likely that the Euro is overdone. It has over an inch of rain for our area this weekend, but we know from the short range models that most of the rain is likely to stay north and west for the weekend. I'll be surprised if our area sees anything today ..... just a slight chance. 

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Newark currently in 2nd place for the most 85° days by May 2nd at 3 days so far.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2002-05-02 4 0
- 2001-05-02 4 0
- 1962-05-02 4 0
- 1941-05-02 4 0
2 2025-05-02 3 0
- 2023-05-02 3 0
- 2017-05-02 3 0
- 2010-05-02 3 0
- 2009-05-02 3 0
- 1990-05-02 3 0
- 1985-05-02 3 0
- 1977-05-02 3 0
- 1976-05-02 3 0
- 1960-05-02 3 0
- 1945-05-02 3 0
3 2024-05-02 2 0
- 2021-05-02 2 0
- 2011-05-02 2 0
- 1998-05-02 2 0
- 1994-05-02 2 0
- 1991-05-02 2 0
- 1969-05-02 2 0
- 1957-05-02 2 0
- 1938-05-02 2

 

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4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Newark currently in 2nd place for the most 85° days by May 2nd at 3 days so far.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2002-05-02 4 0
- 2001-05-02 4 0
- 1962-05-02 4 0
- 1941-05-02 4 0
2 2025-05-02 3 0
- 2023-05-02 3 0
- 2017-05-02 3 0
- 2010-05-02 3 0
- 2009-05-02 3 0
- 1990-05-02 3 0
- 1985-05-02 3 0
- 1977-05-02 3 0
- 1976-05-02 3 0
- 1960-05-02 3 0
- 1945-05-02 3 0
3 2024-05-02 2 0
- 2021-05-02 2 0
- 2011-05-02 2 0
- 1998-05-02 2 0
- 1994-05-02 2 0
- 1991-05-02 2 0
- 1969-05-02 2 0
- 1957-05-02 2 0
- 1938-05-02 2

 

Today might be #4.

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35 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Probably a nice inch to inch and a half soaking Monday into Tuesday. Boy do we need it .... it's very dry out there. 

Yeah, anyone with gardening or ag interests needs to be watering regularly lately.  We really could use a good 1-2" soaking.

Soils here are dust dry down to 6-8" at least.

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7 minutes ago, Picard said:

Hopefully folks didn't cancel outdoor plans based on earlier forecasts that didn't materialize. 
I watched that line skip north like many others in recent memory  - looked like a nice line.  We'll see if more pops up later.  Otherwise, north will continue to rule the day.

 

My app forecast has made it look like the second coming of the flood of Noah for days now.  Anyone just going off that (and many do) was played.

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7 minutes ago, Picard said:

Hopefully folks didn't cancel outdoor plans based on earlier forecasts that didn't materialize. 
I watched that line skip north like many others in recent memory  - looked like a nice line.  We'll see if more pops up later.  Otherwise, north will continue to rule the day.

 

The front ended up further north-hence the forcing up that way....

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27 minutes ago, Picard said:

Hopefully folks didn't cancel outdoor plans based on earlier forecasts that didn't materialize. 
I watched that line skip north like many others in recent memory  - looked like a nice line.  We'll see if more pops up later.  Otherwise, north will continue to rule the day.

 

So many did, expecting a weekend washout 

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