Stevo6899 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 13 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: Im very curious to see how today plays out. Wonder if it will clear out a bit up my way. Had snow showers and sleet this morning. Some good rumbles of thunder and heavy rain. Let’s see what this evening brings Most often warm fronts struggle to get as far north as modeled around here in the early spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Looking like a nothing burger locally. South of a Fort Wayne to Lafayette line look like winners in Indiana. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
largetornado Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 27 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: Looking like a nothing burger locally. South of a Fort Wayne to Lafayette line look like winners in Indiana. Latest data does suggest that corridor may be the winner. Im liking between lafayette and indy right now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 27 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: Looking like a nothing burger locally. South of a Fort Wayne to Lafayette line look like winners in Indiana. Most likely yes for both of us. We might get a local threat but nothing widespread by the looks of things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 My p&c has my high at 68. I've played the I-80 warm front game and expect to see it again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 12 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: My p&c has my high at 68. I've played the I-80 warm front game and expect to see it again it's going to blast through. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 17 minutes ago, Harry Perry said: Most likely yes for both of us. We might get a local threat but nothing widespread by the looks of things. Going to be interesting to see how things play out. Currently showers/storms are holding on in SM. It doesn't look like we will have any surface recovery for severe weather. I still hope to get some decent storms this evening as some models are suggesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 37 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: Looking like a nothing burger locally. South of a Fort Wayne to Lafayette line look like winners in Indiana. The sun is really trying to peek out here already. Some semi positive signs on the HI RES NAM and HRRR around 5-7 south of 24. Not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 24 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: it's going to blast through. This. Just going to be too little too late most likely, but hodographs look nasty from you to Detroit and south this evening. The ONLY thing we are missing is surface cape. Looks like we might squeeze 4-500 j/kg but probably not enough, if a storm does go up though, it could be a doozy. SPC will probably hang onto the ENH up here for that reasoning. Edit* ENH adjusted south of the state lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 26 minutes ago, Lightning said: Going to be interesting to see how things play out. Currently showers/storms are holding on in SM. It doesn't look like we will have any surface recovery for severe weather. I still hope to get some decent storms this evening as some models are suggesting. It’s 32F with icicles hanging from everything right now. That’s usually not a good sign for severe storms. lol 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 1630Z outlook trimmed all of WI and most of northern IL out of any risk above Marginal. 3K NAM runs were showing high EHI values up to the WI/IL border. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 1 hour ago, SchaumburgStormer said: My p&c has my high at 68. I've played the I-80 warm front game and expect to see it again Yeah I think we're in better shape further east. To that point though, these setups love to have spinners riding that toll road Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 I think I'm cancelling chase plans for today. Anything north of at least I-72/74 is going to be messy garbage, and moving at 60 MPH (per the warning currently in Knox/Peoria Counties). Got too used to these (sometimes ridiculously) early season setups performing after 3/5/22, 3/31/23 and 2/8/24. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 IN/W OH may have some issues later. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 15 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: 1630Z outlook trimmed all of WI and most of northern IL out of any risk above Marginal. 3K NAM runs were showing high EHI values up to the WI/IL border. Always seemed too bullish this far north. Going to be rocking further south tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Sky starting to brighten here.@madwx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 This ACARS profile from St. Louis is bad news from E MO/central IL should any storms get loose ahead of the line. Extremely favorable hodograph for tornadic supercells and a weakening cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Another nice line of boomers moving through. Looks like a good bit of clearing behind that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Annnnd the clouds have thickened up again. Vis sat looks like we should be almost clear, but looking out my window tells a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Impressive gradient, nearly 30° temp. difference along the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Zero clue on why the SPC removed the entirety of the risk across E IA and NE MO. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Zero clue on why the SPC removed any and all risk across E IA and NE MO. Satellite showing clearing pushing in there as well as NW IL. If I'm still going to chase today it'll be because something promising fires there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 1 minute ago, CheeselandSkies said: Satellite showing clearing pushing in there as well as NW IL. If I'm still going to chase today it'll be because something promising fires there. There already was a t'storm with brief rotation outside of the general thunder in N-C IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 HRRR making every effort to keep the dream alive here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 12 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: HRRR making every effort to keep the dream alive here. A little concerned the east wind off the lake is going to stall that front out. Still, some incredible differences on the obs map at this time. It's 45 in Van Wert, OH and 73 in Muncie, IN in just a 60 mile distance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 33 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Annnnd the clouds have thickened up again. Vis sat looks like we should be almost clear, but looking out my window tells a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 29 minutes ago, Harry Perry said: Impressive gradient, nearly 30° temp. difference along the warm front. Yeah, went from 45/40 here to 70/60 in 90 min. That was a trip. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 And we've got some sunshine. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 93MPH speed on this little t’storm in Central Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Got my paintball gun ready in case I see that damn loudmouth and his Dominatrix today lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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