yoda Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 Heavy snow knocking on the door of DC metro at 06z MON on 12z ICON 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 ICON is not going to be like the 12k NAM with the WAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 ICON not joining the party.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 Less confluence every run is a tick to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 Just now, Ravens94 said: Less confluence Also a little faster, noticed some of the overnight runs were quicker with the low and start time again after slowing down quite a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 DC metro is all snow on 12z ICON through 18z MON 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 12z RGEM also nothing like 12z NAM... is a hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 2 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Less confluence every run is a tick to the north Soooner or later the Euro will be doing that (in a more pronounced matter) and then we can all be happy. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 I forget was the ICON the furthest south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 13 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: Inferring from your comment that you don't love the FV3? I don't follow it much, so genuine question. Yeah I don’t use it a lot but it is a branch of the GFS I believe. I don’t think it’s horrible, just still a “fairly new” model. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 I'm really hating the NAMs right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 Just now, aldie 22 said: I forget was the ICON the furthest south? UKIE is. 12z ICON did move its snow totals south this run though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 36 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Appears the 'claw' (or jaws) has returned, just turned slightly E-W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 19 minutes ago, Negnao said: Fv3 looks nice. Wouldn't put much stock into QPF from any high-res fv3 models. IIRC, it has serious problems with that on the convective scales 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 12z ICON moved its heaviest snow totals out of MD... DC near 6" with Kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 1 minute ago, yoda said: UKIE is. 12z ICON did move its snow totals south this run though I think it's more that it tightened up the QPF a bit than really moved. Although I guess it's really just noise (just not the kind we like). And fortunately, it's the ickycon, so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z ICON moved its heaviest snow totals out of MD... DC near 6" with Kuchera 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 1 minute ago, wxdude64 said: Appears the 'claw' has returned, just turned slightly E-W Yes it has, luckily it’s out of the NAM so called or alleged wheelhouse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 3 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z RGEM also nothing like 12z NAM... is a hit Slight cut back to the 6” line shifting south on the RGEM. Bullseye EZF. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 2 minutes ago, yoda said: That's why the pbp was so silent from the nam guy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 It’s frigid out now. I believe these more southern solutions based on the way it feels this morning. RGEM and ICON both trending towards the Euro it seems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 If the storm is faster, don’t be surprised to also see it drier. We might be able to get a good idea from the finer resolution models how sharp the northern gradient will be. Euro is expanding it north as of 6z whereas icon tightened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 I think I'll ride the Euro for this one. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 I’m enjoying the little extra bit we seem to get on the wrap around up here in the hills… I’m just glad we have something to track and watch. Happy winter yall. Also we get some snow on the ground it’s like my pawpaw always said, snow beckons more snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: It’s frigid out now. I believe these more southern solutions based on the way it feels this morning. RGEM and ICON both trending towards the Euro it seems. Well the euro is north of those two models as of now… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 1 minute ago, aldie 22 said: That's why the pbp was so silent from the nam guy Actually I was eating breakfast and don't PBP any other models then the main ones but thanks. Keep it up you all will get rain lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 Just now, HighStakes said: I think I'll ride the Euro for this one. I think I’m the only one riding with the Ukie. Lolol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 Models are still so different. From DC on the edge of being too far south on the NAM, to on the edge of being too far north on the ICON. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 1 minute ago, RevWarReenactor said: Models are still so different. From DC on the edge of being too far south on the NAM, to on the edge of being too far north on the ICON. Best post so far this morning. Tired of seeing people backyard posts about each model. Time for storm mode imo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 4, 2025 Share Posted January 4, 2025 Icon ensemble largely the same as the icon Next up GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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