nwohweather Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 With a Day 1 ENH and a possible one tomorrow as well, I figured I'd start this up instead of using the short range thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted April 16 Author Share Posted April 16 Pretty solid environment over in IA/MO at the moment. All key parameters seem pretty high at the moment, just a little capping to erode still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 There have been a few warnings to the south, but it's just a band of showers with embedded lightning moving into my area. There has been zero sunshine across eastern Iowa today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Whole lot of “meh” so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 First confirmed tornado of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Tornado in progress on this stream NW of DMX. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Couple of supercells emerging on the southern end of the line for the tri-state area. Those are probably the main show down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 this is kind of in the radar hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 two non-confirmed tornado warnings in Iowa/Missouri (note: both storms are far from the radar) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Cell in far SE IA looks poised to produce a sig tor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Iowa city tornado warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 https://livestormchasing.com/chasers/brett.adair Tornado was in progress on this stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 4 minutes ago, andyhb said: https://livestormchasing.com/chasers/brett.adair Tornado was in progress on this stream. Do you know which storm that's on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 It's by Houghton and Salem Iowa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 1 minute ago, Chinook said: It's by Houghton and Salem Iowa That's what I was thinking. Tight couplet. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 The storm chasers have seen the tornado lift, I believe, by New London Iowa but could produce a new one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Curious to see what's going to happen with tail end charleston over there, looks like a merger of sorts underway with supposedly clear skies to the south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 I know the focus is on the event underway, but tomorrow is actually not a bad setup for Detroit and Toledo. Pretty impressive shear profiles supportive of rotating storms, with the timing of the front & best forcing during peak heating (18z - 21z). Obviously with morning showers/clouds the bust potential is high, but so is the ceiling for this event if there's adequate afternoon destabilization and the front timing doesn't speed up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Tornado trying to form on the west side of DVN right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gobucks15 Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 I know the focus is on the event underway, but tomorrow is actually not a bad setup for Detroit and Toledo. Pretty impressive shear profiles supportive of rotating storms, with the timing of the front & best forcing during peak heating (18z - 21z). Obviously with morning showers/clouds the bust potential is high, but so is the ceiling for this event if there's adequate afternoon destabilization and the front timing doesn't speed up. I think we should be okay on the instability front. LCL’s could be a problem but other than that should be a solid day for the area, including SW Ontario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 We seem to be having that siren thing…. “Freeport 2” moving northeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 Might be a nice triple-point moving through here tomorrow. I hope the trend is to slow it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 Mostly just gusty winds here. But the lightning and thunder has been impressive. A constant roar for about the past 25 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 Made the last second decision to play northwest IA thanks to the dry slot cleaning out just enough to get things going. I should have left the house an hour earlier. Missed the tors but still saw a lot of good rotation and motion. I’m really surprised this thing didn’t produce while I was on it. The 0-3km CAPE must’ve been zapped just enough to keep the lowest levels of the atmosphere from being able to finish it off. Oh well. Solid first chase of the season. . 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 DTW crew is quiet this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 Remaining scattered showers this morning will be working northeast of the terminals between 12z-14z. In the wake of this activity, MVFR cigs begin to shift over the area as warm front encroaches and winds veer to the southeast and south with time into early afternoon. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are still expected along a cold front from mid to late afternoon with the most likely window holding in the 19z-21z time frame with some stray showers or storms perhaps developing a few hours before the main line crosses the area. Heavy rain and gusty winds can be expected. Winds switch to the southwest to west after the cold front passes with MVFR cigs predominant in this flow wrapping around low pressure to the north. For DTW/D21 Convection...A north to south oriented line of thunderstorms is anticipated to develop and move through between 19Z and 21Z. Expect reduced visibility from heavy rainfall and strong winds from stronger thunderstorm. The environment will bring some potential for tornadic thunderstorms. Will need to monitor potential development of discrete cells a few hours prior to 19Z ahead of the main line and adjustments in timing of the main line remains possible with upcoming TAFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted April 17 Author Share Posted April 17 Little rain overnight is all that's left over. To be honest, I'm not sure why they aren't going ENH, the atmosphere is going to be absolutely primed across the region today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 Can anyone tell me what I just saw over Lake Michigan? Genuinely asking. Waterspouts? Scud clouds. Something else? Genuinely curious I’m not as bright as most of you in here lol 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 59 minutes ago, nwohweather said: Little rain overnight is all that's left over. To be honest, I'm not sure why they aren't going ENH, the atmosphere is going to be absolutely primed across the region today. Today has a feel to it. Sun is poking through pretty good atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 42 minutes ago, TheNiño said: Can anyone tell me what I just saw over Lake Michigan? Genuinely asking. Waterspouts? Scud clouds. Something else? Genuinely curious I’m not as bright as most of you in here lol Not sure. Almost looks like a fog bank getting sucked up in updrafts. Is that possible? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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