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Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th


Typhoon Tip
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2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Jesus think back to other April storms. A rapidly developing CCB into a very very cold ULL.  Pay attention to 700VV

The problem is that it warms aloft and gets slotty. So where does that happen? Because north of that will be fine. 

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Just now, weatherwiz said:

That is one wonky thermal profile from like 800mb to 660mb or so. Looks like the NAM is trying to dynamically cool the column though on the 12z run around 42hr?

It is. Gets interesting near NH border. 

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If we can trend that H7 warm front a little south, then it gets way more interesting. Right now, still mostly a sleet bomb for a chunk of SNE with maybe some crappy snow up near Rt 2 and border region.

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34 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

:lol::lol: They're still on air?? Didn't even know the former Ms Nomar Garciapara (Mazz) was still around

They've been a cash cow for The Sports Hub for more than a decade. They've dominated Boston sports radio for years. 

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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If we can trend that H7 warm front a little south, then it gets way more interesting. Right now, still mostly a sleet bomb for a chunk of SNE with maybe some crappy snow up near Rt 2 and border region.

Fact Ray is not talking about fantasy baseball means he is on edge and for good reason.  Nam smoke show

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6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If we can trend that H7 warm front a little south, then it gets way more interesting. Right now, still mostly a sleet bomb for a chunk of SNE with maybe some crappy snow up near Rt 2 and border region.

Loop the control run of the NMB and you can see how a bit further south with H7 makes a massive difference....that run prob gives Ray 20"+ of snow.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/ETAEAST_12z/etaloop.html

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NAM improved a lot, low is more south. If we can get that low to deepen 5mb more and trend another 25 or south maybe the coastal plain and lower elevations can get in on the action. Either way, during the first half of the storm it looks like it’s going to be a mess here. Starts as rain, then changes to sleet and quite a bit of it, then maybe some snow at the end. 

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