MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Always overdone. Arw members notoriously too high. They skew the mean. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Latest EPS and NBE data. The NBE seems to be focusing the highest snowfall in an area that includes New York City, Newark, and Trenton. It's premature to be confident where the inverted trough will actually set up, assuming it does. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 FWIW the 0z HRRR is a big hit across the metro area and northern and central NJ. 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milleand Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Really prolongs moderate snow for most of the day Friday 0z HRRR 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, Tatamy said: FWIW the 0z HRRR is a big hit across the metro area and northern and central NJ. Verbatim would be a 6”+ event for some of the areas you mentioned but of course with the usually caveat that it’s the HRRR 48 out and we know how it will bounce around each hour particularly with the Norlun trough. nice to look at 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAM is dampening the lead wave over the last few runs... look at heights recovering across the Midwest as a result. this would help keep the baroclinic zone a bit farther N 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 8 minutes ago, milleand said: Really prolongs moderate snow for most of the day Friday Shift it south 50 miles and cut it in half would still be good for most 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The nam looks more organized with the weak low associated with the shortwave as it reaches the coast Friday morning. 500mb also looks better. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, SBUWX23 said: The nam looks more organized with the weak low associated with the shortwave as it reaches the coast Friday morning. 500mb also looks better. that lead wave is actually infused in the trough this time. changes the game 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Nam gone wild this run 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Allsnow said: Nam gone wild this run it actually incorporates the lead energy into the trough. it's not that much of a change but it makes a big impact 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 .50+ and still going on the nam 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Nam gone wild this run Coastal low much closer to the coast! That could be a game changer 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Good trend, let’s see if other models pick up on it. Hopefully we’re at the range where NAM can’t be totally trashed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Good trend, let’s see if other models pick up on it. Hopefully we’re at the range where NAM can’t be totally trashed. HRR and Nam…. Hopefully we’re getting a Boxing Day comeback lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milleand Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: that lead wave is actually infused in the trough this time. changes the game I agree, absolutely changes the dynamic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3k gone wild as well 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Nam! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Ima get the shovel 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4-8 on the nam 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAM'D even though its only 3" in wp deviously, i hope it ticks a litttttle more north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 3k gone wild as well It's better than it's previous runs but it's not to the level of the 12km nam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Now we need the RGEM to do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 hours ago, coastalplainsnowman said: Whoever said earlier that at least in the 80s you could count on at least a few 4-6” events each year, I agree. In grade school we seemed to get precisely one snow day a year from them. Seemed like the very clippers that for the last two decades mean white rain around here were our go-to for a few 4-6 inchers a year back the . Everyone who was around back then remembers ‘Alberta Clipper’ right? That’s what almost all of them seemed to be. Most of the winters in the first half of the 80s had at least 1 good month, mostly in January and the Januarys were cold so the snow stuck around for a bit. Here are snowfall stats from Syosset that include the early 80's. Note that even then March was running snowier than December: https://www.northshorewx.com/ClimateData/SyossetSnowfall1974-1985.pdf 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 21 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 3k gone wild as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAM is in its zone isn’t it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 20 minutes ago, SBUWX23 said: It's better than it's previous runs but it's not to the level of the 12km nam. The 3k NAM seems pretty dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 13 minutes ago, mannynyc said: The 3k NAM seems pretty dry Better than the rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Hi Everyone I was told I should post here more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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