Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 16 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, I did kind of angle it that way…. We are on the way to Shady Maple to celebrate the kids good report cards. Fill up for a long night waiting for the Euro. Have fun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 23 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, I did kind of angle it that way…. We are on the way to Shady Maple to celebrate the kids good report cards. Enjoy! If you ever have a chance...dollar for dollar, breakfast is the bomb there. Amazing food for what you pay. Highly recommend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Not at all saying this for controversy but the RGEM depiction would call for flood watches. 2-4" for much of the LSV (mostly rain) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Not at all saying this for controversy but the RGEM depiction would call for flood watches. 2-4" for much of the LSV (mostly rain) Huge move north and a ton of qpf. What it probably means is the euro snow numbers in SNE could have legs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 59. Just washed the car in shorts and a t shirt. Beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 21 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Not at all saying this for controversy but the RGEM depiction would call for flood watches. 2-4" for much of the LSV (mostly rain) This is what I think happens. I’m shocked they issued a WSW down here. Even that wording mentioned any north shift means all rain. Maybe they did it since everyone thinks winter is done after this last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 34 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: lol, the restaurant in Lancaster. I’m getting 3 plates of food! Oh, I know. I love Shady Maple. I just like to get people going with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: Oh, I know. I love Shady Maple. I just like to get people going with it. They had a choice of shady maple or snowy maple and went with shady because they at least get 4-5 months out of the name instead of a couple weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 15 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Huge move north and a ton of qpf. What it probably means is the euro snow numbers in SNE could have legs I would be super surprised to see us get 2-4" of rain period.... not surprised if we get little to no snow. The ground around here is more saturated than normal, despite the summer drought, so that much rain is a worry for streams. Saw several farm fields today with water puddled in low areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Yeah I held on hope probably too long for us on this one for snow, it will probably keep leaking north taking MDT and some other areas out of much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 18Z GFS. WSW merited for much of PA on this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Yeah I held on hope probably too long for us on this one for snow, it will probably keep leaking north taking MDT and some other areas out of much snow. I hate to be that guy and I'm not trying to troll but it seems like in recent storms the warm air always pushes further north than the models project. I hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 7 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: I hate to be that guy and I'm not trying to troll but it seems like in recent storms the warm air always pushes further north than the models project. I hope I'm wrong. Modeling has not been stellar. Just go with the warmest model that's run just before the start time and you're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Models trending toward current setup. Won’t be surprised to see even further north corrections.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Most models Look great for my area / Atomix Hope it holds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 41 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: I hate to be that guy and I'm not trying to troll but it seems like in recent storms the warm air always pushes further north than the models project. I hope I'm wrong. You're not that guy. I've said the same for years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 18z Blend looks good. Note that this is through 2/21. 3-4” of snow in the southern half of PA outside the mountains over a 10 day period in February is approximately climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 31 minutes ago, TimB said: Note that this is through 2/21. 3-4” of snow in the southern half of PA outside the mountains over a 10 day period in February is approximately climo. My bad, was posting from the road…. Here is the 21z run through Tuesday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 yikes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 21z SREF NMB coming in..the mean hasnt generated yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Alright, fuck it. I'm all-in. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 9 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Alright, fuck it. I'm all-in. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk You’re in a good spot I think. Nothing to stop the warm air winning out here below say State College (or better said the cold air settling in). Might see some snow fall but it’ll be mostly all rain, I think. 40 and rain, woooooo. We prob don’t even get cooler than 35 Monday overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, canderson said: You’re in a good spot I think. Nothing to stop the warm air wining out here below say State College (or better sis’s the cold air settling in). Might see some snow fall but it’ll be mostly all rain, I think. 40 and rain, woooooo. We prob don’t even get cooler than 35 Monday overnight. Your NWS forecast is 2-5" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 35 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Your NWS forecast is 2-5" I truthfully don’t buy it. We’ll have some snow fall but unless it’s a white out accumulation will be very , very hard. It’s not going to be cold at all. It sucks. Edit: I pray I’m dead wrong. I want to eat crow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 18z EPS was basically a hold from its 12z run. It still has Advisory snow for the LSV with more to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 59 minutes ago, canderson said: I truthfully don’t buy it. We’ll have some snow fall but unless it’s a white out accumulation will be very , very hard. It’s not going to be cold at all. It sucks. Edit: I pray I’m dead wrong. I want to eat crow. I’m with ya brotha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I’m with ya brotha. CTP issuing WSW for HBG is insane to me. Maybe they just wanted to jolt people that it won’t be 60 next week (instead above 40 every f’n day with no cold air in sight)) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 minutes ago, canderson said: CTP issuing WSW for HBG is insane to me. Maybe they just wanted to jolt people that it won’t be 60 next week (instead above 40 every f’n day with no cold air in sight)) I suspect they do not want to split counties. The last I looked at the Harrisburg zone it said 2-5" which is not WSW worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 I suspect they do not want to split counties. The last I looked at the Harrisburg zone it said 2-5" which is not WSW worthy. Is five inches not the threshold for a warning in the LSV?Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 11 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Is five inches not the threshold for a warning in the LSV? Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk I think they would usually not issue a Warning unless the first number is 5. So 5-7, 5-10, etc. It is a watch and not a warning so really just a heads up more than a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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