Blizzard of 93 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 14 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk That’s fine after a nice front ender! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 13 minutes ago, WX-PA said: Delicious diner right off rt 30, Cross Keys Diner! We'll have to try it. But I'm addicted to the Starlight. Apparently, it was run by other people and got a not so great rep., but improved with current owners. It has been pretty decent since we got here 4 years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 2 hours ago, Jns2183 said: It actually seems like it wants to snow this year. Last year the gut feel was exact opposite Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Did we even have anything to really track last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Gfs operational went meh. We'll see what the Gefs do. Typically, especially at this range, they follow the operational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Jns2183 said: @canderson when is your trip to London High Society? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk We escape American this evening. I have a cold so am taking disease back to England since they introduce it to us. Huzzah! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 We escape American this evening. I have a cold so am taking disease back to England since they introduce it to us. Huzzah!Unless your plane goes down. And then you'll introduce it to whales. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Top 10 Snowstorms by Decade for Chester County PA 1890's through 2020's to date Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 22 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Top 10 Snowstorms by Decade for Chester County PA 1890's through 2020's to date Four years into the decade and a sub-advisory level event is all that is needed to get into the top ten. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 33 minutes ago, canderson said: We escape American this evening. I have a cold so am taking disease back to England since they introduce it to us. Huzzah! "It's just allergies" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: "It's just allergies" Yea people are so dumb. Thankfully all 4 Covid tests since Tuesday are negative - it’s on the tail end of symptoms thankfully. I hadn’t had a cold on several years and forgot how much they suck the life out of you for a day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Nooners in Martinsburg WV. 54 and partly sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Nooners in HBG - clouds, heavy fog still and 44. Quite a few accidents on 81 due to the fog in Cumberland and Dauphin counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Afternooners in Clarion, because if I have to read about fucking Philadelphia suburbs, you get to read about the middle of nowhere. 55°F and cloudy. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Afternooners in Clarion, because if I have to read about fucking Philadelphia suburbs, you get to read about the middle of nowhere. 55°F and cloudy. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using TapatalkAren't you perky Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Aren't you perky Sent from my SM-G970U using TapatalkPerkier than your sisters tiddies after being shown a single. LolSent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Perkier than your sisters tiddies after being shown a single. LolSent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using TapatalkCutting glassSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Cutting glassSent from my SM-G970U using TapatalkBitch sliced my tongue so bad I had to use her fartbox to cauterize the wound. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 15 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Bitch sliced my tongue so bad I had to use her fartbox to cauterize the wound. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Wonder how that post would look spoken in sign language. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: Afternooners in Clarion, because if I have to read about fucking Philadelphia suburbs, you get to read about the middle of nowhere. 55°F and cloudy. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Not often you’re warmer than me. I briefly peaked at 51 earlier when the sun popped out for a hot minute but back down to 48 now under thick clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 56 for the high in Rou today. Still 53 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Timing/evolution for the precip changeover of tomorrow/Monday’s system continues to be a bit intriguing . I still think the Laurel’s/central have the best chance of seeing accumulating snows overnight Sunday after the transition. Further east into the Sus Valley I’m not as sure. I think everyone will see a transition before the precip ends but whether it’s something meaningful is the big question. We’ve all seen the overmodeled snow totals not come to fruition in the Sus Valley from similar set ups to this many times. One disadvantage I see is the cold air mass coming behind the front is certainly cold enough, but not impressively so. Surface temps look to be a bit of an issue that would likely mean a snow event that is a good bit less than 10:1.. especially in lower elevations. On the other hand, one advantage this system looks to have is dynamics, as it’s a pretty feisty shortwave having already caused (and is causing currently ) severe issues in the Ohio Valley and Deep South. We get a negatively tilted orientation of the trough as we develop a coastal low that runs up the frontal boundary. High res guidance like the NAM deepen the low pretty significantly as it comes up the Mid-Atlantic coastline. The dynamic nature of the system is why I think we get the changeover to carry across from the central counties to the LSV but accums are going to have to come from heavy rates with the marginal surface temps. Short range stuff like the HRRR starting to get into more decent range take accumulating snows into the Sus Valley fairly easily and the 18z NAM took it all the way inside I-95 from DC to NYC. The short term high res guidance also seem to have a bit of a lull in precip, shutting off in the central and lightening in the east for a few hours in the late afternoon/early evening. Rates then ramp up as precip shield redevelops and enhances with the deepening coastal low and that’s when the transistion starts to push east. Positioning of the frontal boundary coupled with the timing of the coastal running up it is going to be key for setting up the corridor of the best potential for accumulating snows. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 8 hours ago, WX-PA said: We might get a few inches Sunday night. At least in this forum we aren't cancelling winter like they are on the NYC metro forum.. It's getting nasty over there..man It’s been a pretty rough run of it in the NYC metro. I believe they’re up to 665ish days since Central Park has recorded at least an inch of snow, which is far and away an all time record of futility there. Speaking of such records, this ought to throw some gasoline on the great MDT T debate haha. Saw this noted in CTP disco yesterday. There’s a half decent chance they’re probably not going to get to pass #2 though.. unless the Monday ob is taken on the tarmac behind a jet warming up for takeoff. Quote .CLIMATE... It has been 316 days since the last measurable snowfall (>=0.1") at Harrisburg. This ranks as the 3rd longest run on record. 1. 330 days ending 12/13/2020 2. 328 days ending 01/21/2007 3. 317 days ending 12/08/2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: 56 for the high in Rou today. Still 53 right now. That's crazy. We had a lot of fog and clouds with a few hours at most of sun. We maxed in the upper 40's per nearby Wunderground sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 hour ago, MAG5035 said: It’s been a pretty rough run of it in the NYC metro. I believe they’re up to 665ish days since Central Park has recorded at least an inch of snow, which is far and away an all time record of futility there. Speaking of such records, this ought to throw some gasoline on the great MDT T debate haha. Saw this noted in CTP disco yesterday. There’s a half decent chance they’re probably not going to get to pass #2 though.. unless the Monday ob is taken on the tarmac behind a jet warming up for takeoff. Nothing surprises me anymore with MDT measurements. It is an absolute joke that they did not record .2 or .3 of snow the other day. Heck, even the heat desert known as MU recorded .8 of snow for the event. Somehow, I would bet that if CTP would have had some type of Advisory out for the event with any accumulation mentioned, they would have cared enough to “update” the recorded measurement to cover themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Nothing surprises me anymore with MDT measurements. It is an absolute joke that they did not record .2 or .3 of snow the other day. Heck, even the heat desert known as MU recorded .8 of snow for the event. Somehow, I would bet that if CTP would have had some type of Advisory out for the event with any accumulation mentioned, they would have cared enough to “update” the recorded measurement to cover themselves. I will also add that even @canderson in the heat island of downtown Harrisburg recorded a few tenths of snow this week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: That's crazy. We had a lot of fog and clouds with a few hours at most of sun. We maxed in the upper 40's per nearby Wunderground sites. I was in WV most of the day but it was sunny here all day from what I saw. HGR only hit 48 but we were near 60 down in Martinsburg so the higher elevations turned on the fryer which happens oh so often with SW winds. It is 47 here right now which is 8 higher than MDT and HGR. Elevation is so very overrated sometimes. When that warm air is pouring in from the south it gets here before the lower elevations like HGR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I was in WV most of the day but it was sunny here all day from what I saw. HGR only hit 48 but we were near 60 down in Martinsburg so the higher elevations turned on the fryer which happens oh so often with SW winds. It is 47 here right now which is 8 higher than MDT and HGR. Elevation is so very overrated sometimes. When that warm air is pouring in from the south it gets here before the lower elevations like HGR. Ughh...the dreaded warm tongue. Only time you want to see that is in certain kinds of movies. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 HRRR is 2 mb deeper with the slp at 27 hrs vs the 18z run. Expect a bigger bomb this run methinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 Yep. HRRR basically maintained the -2 mb throughout the run vs 18z resulting in a uptick in snowfall. Nothing crazy more, but more than 18z in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Yep. HRRR basically maintained the -2 mb throughout the run vs 18z resulting in an uptick in snowfall. Nothing crazy more, but more than 18z in general. I would sign up for the 0z HRRR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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