H2O Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 That NE wind fetch with center to be along or W of the bay gonna shove a LOT of water on that side. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Both 12z NAM runs are very wet across the region... 2 to 4 inches with some isolated 5" on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 FWIW, 12z NAM Nest is going to go just west of DC at the end of its run looks like with the SLP track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 The Commanders are 2-0, the Orioles might win 100 games, and it's been raining in Frederick. Times are changing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 1 minute ago, 87storms said: The Commanders are 2-0, the Orioles might win 100 games, and it's been raining in Frederick. Times are changing. I'll believe it when we get snow. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 The NAM kinda reminds me of Isaias in terms of how it ramped up quickly at the last minute and then impacted the southern NC coastline. Like a weaker version of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 I'll believe it when we get snow.That’s the boss level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 21 Author Share Posted September 21 With more light, you can see a well defined LLC, but note that as the NHC said, center reformations will be possible, especially with convection to the east and high shear present off the SE coast. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: With more light, you can see a well defined LLC, but note that as the NHC said, center reformations will be possible, especially with convection to the east and high shear present off the SE coast. Organizing relatively quickly atm all things considered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 naked swirl alert 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Odds on this getting a name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 1 minute ago, Stormfly said: Odds on this getting a name? Pretty high IMHO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 21 Author Share Posted September 21 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 12z GFS looks like a move west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 What are the odds it makes it to Cat 1 is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 36 minutes ago, mappy said: naked swirl alert meatspin.gif? Edit: If you don't know what it is, don't google it at work. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 11 minutes ago, konksw said: What are the odds it makes it to Cat 1 is the question. What are the odds it is showery and breezy and causes someone to post the tipped over lawn chair that says "we will rebuild"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 4 minutes ago, AdamHLG said: What are the odds it is showery and breezy and causes someone to post the tipped over lawn chair that says "we will rebuild"? 100 percent 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 21 Author Share Posted September 21 18 minutes ago, konksw said: What are the odds it makes it to Cat 1 is the question. 30% IMO 5 minutes ago, AdamHLG said: What are the odds it is showery and breezy and causes someone to post the tipped over lawn chair that says "we will rebuild"? 100% 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 8 minutes ago, mattie g said: meatspin.gif? Edit: If you don't know what it is, don't google it at work. Not gonna ask why you know this. wx obs: partly sunny 77° 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Anybody got output from the 12z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Anybody got output from the 12z NAM? What kind? QPF I mentioned above 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 3 minutes ago, H2O said: Not gonna ask why you know this. wx obs: partly sunny 77° Pretty uninteresting story, actually! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 2 minutes ago, yoda said: What kind? QPF I mentioned above That's actually a nice steady rainfall. No big flooding concerns and drought likely over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 3 minutes ago, yoda said: What kind? QPF I mentioned above Purple. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 17 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: 30% IMO That's shocking but I know intensity forecasts seem most difficult as we've seen in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 3 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Purple. SE winds might help you here. Terrain assist. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 What are we thinking with winds? Gust in the 30s inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 Washington, Baltimore, and New York games on Sunday should be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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