mitchnick Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: The one and the same though the CMC has it as well just a different day (Fri instead of Wed). The chance of being ~20 AN is the real headline IMO. There's a known problem with the Gfs surface temps that Ncep is working on from what I've heard. So it's hard to say when its surface forcasts of way AN temps is from its bias or legit. But if the Canadian has it, I buy the threat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: There's a known problem with the Gfs surface temps that Ncep is working on from what I've heard. So it's hard to say when its surface forcasts of way AN temps is from its bias or legit. But if the Canadian has it, I buy the threat. Totally agree and I have seen all 3 (CMC, EURO and GFS) show greatly anomalous temps that often fail to produce both in cold and warm seasons, but at this stage/based on current data, some 80's do seem likely next week so was surprised our group warminista's had not pointed the higher possibilities out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted September 27, 2023 Share Posted September 27, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Totally agree and I have seen all 3 (CMC, EURO and GFS) show greatly anomalous temps that often fail to produce both in cold and warm seasons, but at this stage/based on current data, some 80's do seem likely next week so was surprised our group warminista's had not pointed the higher possibilities out. Bring on the heat, if its avaliable. But days are too short to enjoy it. By the time it warms up it cools down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 48 degrees this morning. Still mowing the grass about every 4 days. Leaves will be soon starting to turn in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 15 hours ago, mitchnick said: There's a known problem with the Gfs surface temps that Ncep is working on from what I've heard. So it's hard to say when its surface forcasts of way AN temps is from its bias or legit. But if the Canadian has it, I buy the threat. They both backed down a bit to show low to mid 80's next week vs. approaching 90. Euro concurs though the details are a bit different. GFS and Euro head us into a nice fall period after this heat as a trough digs in from the NW. CMC not so much as the ridge hold on well into next weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 System this weekend haunts me. Has that extreme Miller B look to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 13 minutes ago, Superstorm said: System this weekend haunts me. Has that extreme Miller B look to it. Models have really backed down on rain totals. Could be a dry 7-10 days ahead after anything we get tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Got down to 46 here, lower than I expected. Some nice chill before the heat builds for next week. Departing for Illinois in 22 hours, where the weekend weather is supposed to be absolutely perfect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 28, 2023 Author Share Posted September 28, 2023 2 hours ago, pawatch said: 48 degrees this morning. Still mowing the grass about every 4 days. Leaves will be soon starting to turn in October. 50 degrees here this morning. My yard...I have not mowed since last Tuesday. The grass this morning might be the highest it's been since we moved to Maytown 24 years ago. If it was ever longer, it's been years. I'll be mowing this afternoon, hopefully before my neighbor down the road comes to check on me to see if I'm okay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 28, 2023 Author Share Posted September 28, 2023 19 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Got down to 46 here, lower than I expected. Some nice chill before the heat builds for next week. Departing for Illinois in 22 hours, where the weekend weather is supposed to be absolutely perfect. Don't forget the mission... And have a lot of fun! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 28, 2023 Author Share Posted September 28, 2023 27 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Models have really backed down on rain totals. Could be a dry 7-10 days ahead after anything we get tomorrow. Yes sir, my friend. a lot of sunny and dry days lie ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 12 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yes sir, my friend. a lot of sunny and dry days lie ahead. Get out the hose again. Veggies needed watered this AM. My grass has grown some so mow #14 is definitely on the docket maybe next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 28, 2023 Author Share Posted September 28, 2023 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Get out the hose again. Veggies needed watered this AM. My grass has grown some so mow #14 is definitely on the docket maybe next week. I wanted to mow yesterday but it was just too wet. It is as green as green can be here at the moment...but yes, it won't take long at all before things start to flip back. I'm always amazed at how quickly things dry out. And I guess it would dry out even quicker minus the mid-summer humidity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I wanted to mow yesterday but it was just too wet. It is as green as green can be here at the moment...but yes, it won't take long at all before things start to flip back. I'm always amazed at how quickly things dry out. And I guess it would dry out even quicker minus the mid-summer humidity? My guess is that the grass does not show the strain as quickly this time with less sun/shorter days but if it does not rain tomorrow, by mid-week I expect browning. These big 2" rains and then nothing for 10 days does not work for the grass unfortunately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 28, 2023 Author Share Posted September 28, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: My guess is that the grass does not show the strain as quickly this time with less sun/shorter days but if it does not rain tomorrow, by mid-week I expect browning. These big 2" rains and then nothing for 10 days does not work for the grass unfortunately. Yeah, very good point about less sun. And we're now at the time of the year where we'll be tracking actual fronts and storms for rainfall as we're moving out of pop-up season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I wanted to mow yesterday but it was just too wet. It is as green as green can be here at the moment...but yes, it won't take long at all before things start to flip back. I'm always amazed at how quickly things dry out. And I guess it would dry out even quicker minus the mid-summer humidity? My grass was to wet to mow, but i had to do it. Looks like hell but I will get her back in shape Saturday prior to kickoff. My grass looks like its Early May, not late September 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yeah, very good point about less sun. And we're now at the time of the year where we'll be tracking actual fronts and storms for rainfall as we're moving out of pop-up season. Yea, good point on the fronts. I am more in the game now....fronts are more to my liking here. GFS and Euro have a nice front next weekend (would ruin late Fri/early Saturday though.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 28, 2023 Author Share Posted September 28, 2023 12 minutes ago, sauss06 said: My grass was to wet to mow, but i had to do it. Looks like hell but I will get her back in shape Saturday prior to kickoff. My grass looks like its Early May, not late September See, I was going to use that strategy for Saturday but I'm thinking it will be too wet to cut in the morning before noon kickoff. And I just told my wife last evening that if I knew nothing else, to look at our yard I'd swear it was about Easter time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 28, 2023 Author Share Posted September 28, 2023 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, good point on the fronts. I am more in the game now....fronts are more to my liking here. GFS and Euro have a nice front next weekend (would ruin Saturday though.) We reverse roles now. Fronts typically bring you more goods than they do here. The leveling process commences! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: See, I was going to use that strategy for Saturday but I'm thinking it will be too wet to cut in the morning before noon kickoff. And I just told my wife last evening that if I knew nothing else, to look at our yard I'd swear it was about Easter time. I rolled the dice. I may have to fix it Sunday, before 1pm kickoff sooner or later, i'll fix it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Today will be our 15th straight below normal day across Chester County. Dreary chilly weather returns later today through early Saturday AM. The heaviest rain looks to stay east of Chesco but up to a 0.50" of rain can't be ruled out especially in eastern spots. The Sun returns on Sunday and we begin a nice warming trend for the first week of October. However, signs point to that being short lived as some chillier weather looks likely to move back in during the 2nd week of the 10th month! Records for today: High 87 (1921) / Low 30 (1947) / Rain 2.97" (2004) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 27 minutes ago, TimB said: Lol Your keen eye to posts updating is admirable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 43 minutes ago, TimB said: Lol LOLLL I ask you to refrain from posting this during winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 1 hour ago, TimB said: Lol This really is unacceptable. If you have issues with data, point them out or converse via DMs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 24 minutes ago, paweather said: LOLLL I ask you to refrain from posting this during winter. How about this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: How about this? and only 264 away getting better!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, paweather said: and only 264 away getting better!! It is the first step in the progression....showing up on the 10+ days means it is coming some time. That is still first half of October so would not be too shabby, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 10 minutes ago, canderson said: This really is unacceptable. If you have issues with data, point them out or converse via DMs. I won’t do it again. I’ll let the denier push his agenda in peace. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 28, 2023 Share Posted September 28, 2023 15 minutes ago, TimB said: I won’t do it again. I’ll let the denier push his agenda in peace. I'm as adamant as a climate change person there is, but you have to back up with facts. That's fine but just "lol'ing" after every post is silly. We all know it's getting warmer overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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