LibertyBell Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 19 minutes ago, KeithB said: I bet he always thinks the stock markets going to go down too I know these pessimistic types the stock market is no indication of the economy but thats a different discussion entirely 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milleand Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 55 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I'd be fairly scared if I was them about going big at all with snow right now near the coast but I'd probably at least cover with 1-2 inches possibly for now my place in the Poconos is the most southwesterly location under a winter storm warning now for 8-12 inches of snow, so the forecast for there has actually seen an increase in snowfall predictions.....and that is just south of I-80 ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: the stock market is no indication of the economy but thats a different discussion entirely Good morning Liberty, I was worried. Stay well, as always … 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 I've decided to do the reasonable thing here; that is, the thing one would do, hopefully, in most situations; see what the experts who do something, in this case weather forecasting, for a living, have to say. Well, they say rain for all but a few slushy inches NW of the city, but that it will be a messy storm and a headache, but they don't seem to be worried about snow. I come here for contrary opinions hoping they might be right, and sometimes, like the Boxing Day storm, they are. But overall, it seems the die is cast here. Still a little uncertainty and I have nothing going on this week, so we'll see. Be safe out there. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 9 hours ago, jm1220 said: Double low with one just off NJ means the inverted trough is ruining our airmass here even more and we waste most of the storm with rain while the main low and dynamics take forever to get going. No that's not what we want. does sound like March 2001, lots of wasted rain at the beginning there too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Nam!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said: I've decided to do the reasonable thing here; that is, the thing one would do, hopefully, in most situations; see what the experts who do something, in this case weather forecasting, for a living, have to say. Well, they say rain for all but a few slushy inches NW of the city, but that it will be a messy storm and a headache, but they don't seem to be worried about snow. I come here for contrary opinions hoping they might be right, and sometimes, like the Boxing Day storm, they are. But overall, it seems the die is cast here. Still a little uncertainty and I have nothing going on this week, so we'll see. Be safe out there. I think this is spot on. as much as I am hoping Rockland county sees, let's say 8+ (and yes, that chance is in play), in reality, it's very high % going to be exactly as you just stated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 4 hours ago, Rjay said: I literally could do this all day dude. I missed the Grand Fantasy System post, that guy is funny sometimes haha I'm going to start saying that too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 4 hours ago, snowman19 said: It’s actually a revolutionary idea called “changing my mind”. After the Euro’s wretched performance this winter, I’d say it’s equally as horrible. You change with the times my man. Things change…. Happy Daylight Savings Time could be different patterns play to the strengths and weaknesses of different models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Nam is cold af! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: EPS members and NBM data. Note: the NBM takes into consideration ratios. The EPS members are based on 10:1 ratios. Most areas will see ratios of 5:1 to 7:1. the 4" line continues to get higher, however like you stated this wont be a 10:1 storm for us and the NBM still has a mean around 1.9" So a 1-2 inch forecast for NYC and the coast would be the right one right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 NAM is a nuke for entire region, 2" QPF or more with 850s below 0F all time NYC west, boundary obviously an issue for light stuff before coastal cranks 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Wow Nam is insane 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 1 hour ago, Tatamy said: It’s going to be an interesting few days while we find out who will be dead wrong. forecast for my area south of I-80 has been upped to 8-12 now and a winter storm warning, it is the furthest south and furthest west county under a winter storm warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Northof78 said: NAM is a nuke for entire region, 2" QPF or more with 850s below 0F all time NYC west, boundary obviously an issue for light stuff before coastal cranks Surface nearly gets down to freezing by 7am. That ccb really means business 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Wow Crush job. That guy will chime in any minute an say he's expecting rain cause nothing is showing a storm.. 24 hrs from game time an we're getting serious trends!! Storm is right in that sweet spot just bombing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Nam CCB Ownage!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Holy... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Well...ever since the crappy 00z GFS run last night, every model run of every model since then, has showed continued improvement 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, RU848789 said: Holy... PLEASE verify (it won't). But it can be a significant event if we get that consolidated low early as this run showed. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Holy... Lol. Trenton gets two feet and Philly gets less than an inch? That would be something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Holy... And it's still not done. Even at 7:1 that's nearly a foot in the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: the 4" line continues to get higher, however like you stated this wont be a 10:1 storm for us and the NBM still has a mean around 1.9" So a 1-2 inch forecast for NYC and the coast would be the right one right now. The NBM has edged up to 2.3" as of 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Wow!!!! Let’s go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: PLEASE verify (it won't). But it can be a significant event if we get that consolidated low early as this run showed. dont poop on the parade 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 3k!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Just now, Allsnow said: 3k!!!! HRRR is similiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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