dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: George, I’m hurt by this! And I have bad news, if I’m raining, so are you. God works in mysterious ways 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Tenths? 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s a cool feature. Didn’t know they had 50th percentile on wxbell. In many senses, that is superior to a mean. Ya it is, They just added it Tuesday. 12z for example takes away the edges which are only there bc of the outlier southern or northernmost solutions 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s a cool feature. Didn’t know they had 50th percentile on wxbell. In many senses, that is superior to a mean. I take it 50th percentile = median? Definitely informative if you have some outliers like e19... in this case mean ≈ median gives more confidence to toss those outliers. Caveat being the entire ens/op could be off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya it is, They just added it Tuesday. 12z for example takes away the edges which are only there bc of the outlier southern or northernmost solutions Cool product. Narrows the goalposts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: I take it 50th percentile = median? Definitely informative if you have some outliers like e19... in this case mean ≈ median gives more confidence to toss those outliers. Caveat being the entire ens/op could be off. I actually thought the same mean is average so median would be middle what s the mode? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, wxsniss said: I take it 50th percentile = median? Definitely informative if you have some outliers like e19... in this case mean ≈ median gives more confidence to toss those outliers. Caveat being the entire ens/op could be off. Correct. Yeah I’m this storm there is good clustered agreement which is why the mean and median are roughly the same, but in storms with more disagreement, they will definitely diverge some. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 1 minute ago, dmcginvt said: I actually thought the same mean is average so median would be middle what s the mode? Mode is the most common result out of the trials. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2023 Author Share Posted February 24, 2023 14 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: George, I’m hurt by this! And I have bad news, if I’m raining, so are you. If that’s the case, I want to rain too! You made the Pope angry, you must atone for your sins. I will gladly give up my 20 inches of snow as a sacrifice to or lord and savior, the Pope. I was once an atheist myself, but the Pope showed me the way by being the only 100% accurate meteorologist to ever walk this earth. No mere mortal can predict what Mother Nature will do with anywhere near that degree of accuracy, but the Pope can and does simply by observing the behavior of geese! To me, that is proof that a higher power exists. One cannot have that level of insight about Mother Nature without some form of divine intervention. Fuck it, I want to see the low trend so far north it’s in Greenland. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Sorry I'm 54 and forgot all this stuff. Just remembered the 3m's. Mean median mode. Is mode used in meteorology? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, George001 said: If that’s the case, I want to rain too! You made the Pope angry, you must atone for your sins. I will gladly give up my 20 inches of snow as a sacrifice to or lord and savior, the Pope. I was once an atheist myself, but the Pope showed me the way by being the only 100% accurate meteorologist to ever walk this earth. No mere mortal can predict what Mother Nature will do with anywhere near that degree of accuracy, but the Pope can and does simply by observing the behavior of geese! To me, that is proof that a higher power exists. One cannot have that level of insight about Mother Nature without some form of divine intervention. I want to see the low trend so far north it’s in Greenland. Jorge has officially lost it. I deem him Jorge from this day forward. It's his baptismal name 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 7 minutes ago, dmcginvt said: Sorry I'm 54 and forgot all this stuff. Just remembered the 3m's. Mean median mode. Is mode used in meteorology? It must be as the most likely scenario. Its the one that shows up most so you have to go with it! Is this how the NBM works? This is both ridiculous and serious!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well ok. Do you play them in the VW van? LOL I'm actually looking for an 8 track player for my Bus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 33 minutes ago, George001 said: qqomega, he thought Kevin would be in the 60s, but he got a massive ice storm. Massive ice storm? I mean a small branch fell on his street but massive ice storm? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 14 minutes ago, dmcginvt said: Sorry I'm 54 and forgot all this stuff. Just remembered the 3m's. Mean median mode. Is mode used in meteorology? We use it for work and its easy to remember like this MOde - MOst MEDian - Middle Mean - only one left is average 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: We use it for work and its easy to remember like this MOde - MOst MEDian - Middle Mean - only one left is average thanks for the chuckle, definitely puts it in perspective, only one left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 18 minutes ago, George001 said: If that’s the case, I want to rain too! You made the Pope angry, you must atone for your sins. I will gladly give up my 20 inches of snow as a sacrifice to or lord and savior, the Pope. I was once an atheist myself, but the Pope showed me the way by being the only 100% accurate meteorologist to ever walk this earth. No mere mortal can predict what Mother Nature will do with anywhere near that degree of accuracy, but the Pope can and does simply by observing the behavior of geese! To me, that is proof that a higher power exists. One cannot have that level of insight about Mother Nature without some form of divine intervention. Fuck it, I want to see the low trend so far north it’s in Greenland. Either you are drunk, high, both, or this is a burner account. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 40 minutes ago, George001 said: qqomega, he thought Kevin would be in the 60s, but he got a massive ice storm. What TF are you talking about? Massive ice storm??? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 10 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: We use it for work and its easy to remember like this MOde - MOst MEDian - Middle Mean - only one left is average My students don’t know how to do an average of 3 numbers. But they can determine mean, median, and mode. It is very weird. When I show them that average is the same as mean they look at me like I have 3 heads And I get they have technical definitions that are a bit different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 47 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: George, I’m hurt by this! And I have bad news, if I’m raining, so are you. You are hilarious today, in a good way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: My students don’t know how to do an average of 3 numbers. But they can determine mean, median, and mode. It is very weird. When I show them that average is the same as mean they look at me like I have 3 heads And I get they have technical definitions that are a bit different. What part of the english language dont they get about speaking the english language. Everything means nothing and nothing is everything. Too many meanings for the same thing. Homonyms homophobes, synofibs? Yup made that one up. Anyway, I loved math but I totally understood people who didnt get it. It's the wording. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 btw im not sure if anyone in vt is getting snow, but I have not. Since it ended at 7 am this am. zero accum, radar showed shit, it amounted to shit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, dmcginvt said: What part of the english language dont they get about speaking the english language. Everything means nothing and nothing is everything. Too many meanings for the same thing. Homonyms homophobes, synofibs? Yup made that one up. Anyway, I loved math but I totally understood people who didnt get it. It's the wording. Tell me about it. And then when they need to learn about how their is a nucleus in a cell that is different than an atomic nucleus, fuggetabowtit 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 25 and frz rain mixed w a couple pellets Bedford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: 25 and frz rain mixed w a couple pellets Bedford 30f with rain moving in here in milfbury 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Tell me about it. And then when they need to learn about how their is a nucleus in a cell that is different than an atomic nucleus, fuggetabowtit What about nuclei for water vapor in clouds, that's everything in meteorology. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Is Georgie trying to pull some reverse psychology on himself? Convince yourself you want it to rain, so if it does you're ok, but then if it snows the pants tent gets a hole ripped in it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 22 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Is Georgie trying to pull some reverse psychology on himself? Convince yourself you want it to rain, so if it does you're ok, but then if it snows the pants tent gets a hole ripped in it? {"it is likely we are looking at a New England blizzard, with the potential to become a historic blizzard (top 10 all time) in the Boston area."} What does the latest model say, there is your answer. The irony is, it's what's most of us except experienced mets do, we read the model poorly. Some of us are better than others at it. Meaning we can actually read it. And not take it as gospel. George likes to turn it into hyperbole. Biggest blizzard ever, Im waiting for it George. Top 10 baby. I will sit here all night waiting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 I will sit here all night waiting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 33 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Tell me about it. And then when they need to learn about how their is a nucleus in a cell that is different than an atomic nucleus, fuggetabowtit I taught 6th science for 3 years, eukaryotes and prokaryotes, 'pro' rhymes with 'no', 'eu' with do, and almost half will still get which one has a nucleus wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2023 Share Posted February 24, 2023 Icon skips the important panels on TT but it looks pretty far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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