paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the 0z GFS Kuchera Sweet! Thanks. And yes Cash soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, paweather said: Sweet! Thanks. And yes Cash soon. We aren’t seasoned yet for these long tracking nights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: We aren’t seasoned yet for these long tracking nights Been a few years since a legit chance of an actual showdown like this. 2019. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Did you see the GEFS 24 qpf map that @Chris78posted. That’s a bingo No, I’ll take a look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 Here is the 0z GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 Here is the 0z GEFS snow map for the few day period of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the 0z GEFS snow map for the few day period of this storm. That’s a winner!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Straight up 32 here this AM. 38-42 highs seem modeled. Good shopping weather for last full weekend before Christmas day. 6Z GFS has negative lows for the LSV Christmas night. My -1 to -2 departure for MDT is at risk of being "too warm" with the modeled late month temps...though some 40's for highs possible next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 6Z GFS has a two-wave setup with 4-6" of snow for much of Eastern PA, except less Southeast where mix and rain come into play, and then another 3-6" of snow on the second wave. First wave is Thursday the 22nd and second wave is mostly Friday afternoon. Surface temps get up to the mid 30 for the Southeast LSV as part of the mix and rain scenario of the first wave as the low goes from Havre De Grace-Philly-NYC. Second wave tries to do a weak/late phase with the displaced PV but that primarily affects areas north of here. May secure a white Christmas for all even if the snow from the first wave gets washed away in the Southeast...though surface temps are still questionable even during the second wave. Low 30's. Not a lot different from 0Z minus some minor west corrections to low placement of first wave and a more amplified second wave causing final totals to be higher where it does not turn to mix or rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Suprise snow this morning about half inch. The way it looks, must have been big juicy flakes. Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 545 AM EST Sat Dec 17 2022 PAZ058-059-171215- Lebanon PA-Schuylkill PA- 545 AM EST Sat Dec 17 2022 ...AN AREA OF MODERATE SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF LEBANON AND SCHUYLKILL COUNTIES THROUGH 715 AM... HAZARDS...An area of moderate snow which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than one mile and result in a coating to 1 inch of accumulation. LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 542 AM EST, a moderate snow shower was 11 miles south of Shamokin moving east at 20 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... Pottsville, Tamaqua, Schuylkill Haven, Shenandoah, Minersville, Mahanoy City, Frackville, St. Clair, Ashland, Orwigsburg, Pine Grove, Port Carbon, Tremont, Girardville, Fredericksburg, Hometown, Tower City, Tuscarora, New Philadelphia and Friedensburg. This includes the following Interstates... Interstate 78 from mile markers 1 to 8. Interstate 81 from mile markers 89 to 136. SAFETY INFO... Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this area of snow. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads may lead to accidents. Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Be prepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Suprise snow this morning about half inch. The way it looks, must have been big juicy flakes. Special Weather StatementNational Weather Service State College PA545 AM EST Sat Dec 17 2022PAZ058-059-171215-Lebanon PA-Schuylkill PA-545 AM EST Sat Dec 17 2022...AN AREA OF MODERATE SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF LEBANON ANDSCHUYLKILL COUNTIES THROUGH 715 AM...HAZARDS...An area of moderate snow which can rapidly reducevisibility to less than one mile and result in a coating to 1 inchof accumulation.LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 542 AM EST, a moderate snow shower was 11miles south of Shamokin moving east at 20 MPH.LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...Pottsville, Tamaqua, Schuylkill Haven, Shenandoah, Minersville,Mahanoy City, Frackville, St. Clair, Ashland, Orwigsburg, Pine Grove,Port Carbon, Tremont, Girardville, Fredericksburg, Hometown, TowerCity, Tuscarora, New Philadelphia and Friedensburg.This includes the following Interstates...Interstate 78 from mile markers 1 to 8.Interstate 81 from mile markers 89 to 136.SAFETY INFO...Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this area ofsnow. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads maylead to accidents.Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Beprepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extratime to reach your destination.I still always remember that freak foot that went down in a five-mile strip of Lancaster county back in 2008.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I still always remember that freak foot that went down in a five-mile strip of Lancaster county back in 2008. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk I live in that strip. My bud about 5 miles to my east had about "a healthy dusting" and I was snowmobiling that evening. Felt like Tug Hill amish style Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Looking over the overnighter, CMC and Euro still hangin tough on their continuance to cutville. Keep that in mind as we set the table for another day of tracking. 2 distinct camps and one will likely fold like a cheap tent in the near future. Of course we all hope the home team models have a clue, but keep the emotions in check till the Euro or CMC caves.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: I still always remember that freak foot that went down in a five-mile strip of Lancaster county back in 2008. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk I had one of those in Tamaqua as well. Can't remember the year, though, but it was in that general era. We got 6 inches of morning snow that was so low cloud based that it never even showed on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: Looking over the overnighter, CMC and Euro still hangin tough on their continuance to cutville. Keep that in mind as we set the table for another day of tracking. 2 distinct camps and one will likely fold like a cheap tent in the near future. Of course we all hope the home team models have a clue, but keep the emotions in check till the Euro or CMC caves.... Don’t rule out the Nam when it gets in range. It seems to have a nose for these huge storms. will be interesting seeing how the models preform. Thanks to everyone on the night shift! Voyager you still have time to come back for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Here is to another day…and another day of tracking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 CTP went from all snow to rain and snow and then rain Thursday night ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 18 minutes ago, paweather said: CTP went from all snow to rain and snow and then rain Thursday night ugh I seen that and wondering what they are looking at. Still plenty of time for the models to sort things. A strong Bering Sea storm will bring heavy snow, gusty winds, coastal flooding and ice shoves to western Alaska. How does that effect things?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, pawatch said: I seen that and wondering what they are looking at. Still plenty of time for the models to sort things. Yeah for sure. The forecast discussion though left it wide open on the possibilities we gotta hope we don’t lose the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 31 minutes ago, paweather said: CTP went from all snow to rain and snow and then rain Thursday night ugh They must have done it to most zones, because Tamaqua is the same. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Voyager said: They must have done it to most zones, because Tamaqua is the same. I think we are advanced enough here to look beyond the zones which are more for non-weather public. Just as likely we get 16" as 1/2" I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 Where do I sign for the 6 GFS? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 Also, sign me up for the 6z GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 6z GEFS for the period end Christmas Eve 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: 6z GEFS for the period end Christmas Eve Lots of room in all directions for us to score something this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Tonight’s game 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 That Lanco county inverted trough years ago - I woke up that morning with clear skies and dry roads. No snow had been forecast and I was zoned out on even the possibility of anything happening the previous night. I'm driving to work, heading down Chickies on 441 into Columbia, and while crossing over 30 I see this car heading westbound towards York with deep snow on their roof. I thought they came from Buffalo or something - I get to the office and find several call offs, all from workers near Lancaster and all of them saying they can't make it in due to heavy snow. I'm like "WHAT?!?!?!" I ran into a friend who lives in Manheim Twp. who casually comments that he picked up 12" of snow overnight. We live 13 miles apart. To my knowledge my skies were clear the entire night. Talk about being pissed... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, paweather said: Tonight’s game Another worry for Bills players in fantasy (and Miami) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Another worry for Bills players in fantasy (and Miami) Yep for sure although a fun game to watch fantasy may not be good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Already up to 38 here. Surprised it is warming so fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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