Bubbler86 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, canderson said: The ingredients are too primed for this to miss this region entirely. Anyone punting a storm a week away is insane. There is blind shutting going on in the MA. LOL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I take it back, one thing definitely changed today. @Itstrainingtime went into the PBP hall of fame with a Harry Carrey level call of a modeled Hec's. I did not hear any bangs or booms so maybe something to work on there (Lol) but it was a great performance. That PBP was great! And I should say everyone’s was good 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Agreed gave me the same excitement I used to feel back in forum early days the way the boys were doing it. No time to give up on this one, hope it’s a white christmas for whole cpa gang. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 17 minutes ago, paweather said: Don’t be a Debbie Downer! It’s 6 days out let’s see what the weekend brings trust me I dont wanna be ive just seen this movie to many times 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 14 minutes ago, paweather said: Love it! Didn’t look at that lol that isnt it I just had this name for years is all. it just sucks for all of us who just ask for a little snow for christmas. to many times this happens 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ruin said: trust me I dont wanna be ive just seen this movie to many times 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I take it back, one thing definitely changed today. @Itstrainingtime went into the PBP hall of fame with a Harry Carrey level call of a modeled Hec's. I did not hear any bangs or booms so maybe something to work on there (Lol) but it was a great performance. Thank you! It was very spontaneous-I knew it was that time and I had this indescribable feeling that it was going to be a special run. I usually do one per season...glad my one and done went well. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Bang, bang niang. Lol. First time I heard that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Are we ready for 0z? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 OT but Sixers need to close this out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 14 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: OT but Sixers need to close this out Ummmm….are you watching the same game I am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 3 hours ago, Voyager said: I can't understand why year after year, so many storms want to cut. Then all we (now you) end up with is Miller b's that sometimes do well. Many times they're either incredibly tainted, or you get the dryslot from hell. the miller b thing has been a weather staple for "us", and surely we can do well. The part I (and likely others) cant wrap my head around is why the new default for them so often seems to be the midwest, where they used to be ohio valley to a transfer off the VA coast ish kinda deal. Its been something we've all seen for the last few years, and something has altered the base state for this to be the new norm. Thats what I'm tryin to figure out. I've brought this very point up a couple of times over the last few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 16-12...we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Good post from a good poster from another forum : “Honestly I take the 18z GFS/GEFS as a win. It is still handling the TPV completely different vs other models. However, since we’re not getting a really good cold shot prior to main wave need the main shortwave to not come into conus as strong as 18z gfs had it. This run wasn’t far from a big hit imo 18z GEFS much snowier vs 12z im telling ya guys, that wasn’t a cave. Not even close” I also dont think it caved. Looked rather similar through 130's as suggested in the PBP, but then it took a step towards the Euro's cutter solution beyond that, and the jump wasnt small either. I'm not sold on the CMC/Euro cut options, and yeah I've been riding the GFS a bit, as its been less jumpy until 18z. Thats all. Now it jumped a bit, so we keep on truckin and see what the next ones look like. I'm sure there were peeps down in the MA forum that also suggested it was a step twds the Euro's depiction. If one cant see that, they either arent paying attention, or dont know what they are looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 hour ago, canderson said: The ingredients are too primed for this to miss this region entirely. Anyone punting a storm a week away is insane. I suggested that yesterday and still feel the same today. Tellies/Ens runs continue to look good, but the GFS Op either drank some skunk beer for HH, or there will be alot of head scratching in the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 14 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: 16-12...we take 16-12 what? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, paweather said: 16-12 what? Sixers record 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Sixers record Gotcha sorry I thought you were thinking of OT lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Time for 0z. And @Voyagerno I don’t mean Oz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Oz off and running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, paweather said: Oz off and running I took a nap. I’m ready for 0z runs now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, paweather said: Oz off and running fwiw, ICON just made a huge jump towards the nooner GFS. BIG diff. Not a total win (nor should it be expected at this juncture, but a nice start for the overnighters 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: fwiw, ICON just made a huge jump towards the nooner GFS. BIG diff. Not a total win (nor should it be expected at this juncture, but a nice start for the overnighters Thanks Nut excellent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 15 minutes ago, paweather said: Thanks Nut excellent I just snuck into the MA forum and their chatter agrees....so you can believe it to be true. Been a while, still alot of same posters it seems. Lets hope GFS comes back around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I just snuck into the MA forum and their chatter agrees....so you can believe it to be true. Been a while, still alot of same posters it seems. Lets hope GFS comes back around. I’m at 111 and all seems to be the same at nooners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 120 looks a bit better in midwest w/ slightly less ridging. Not sure the downstream implications tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 same deal at 126. Less ridging so it may lead to less cutting further east. Next 2 frames will likely tell the tale IMo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 at 138 really liking the trough axix. much more 12z esqe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Here she comes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Here she comes! Yeah....this may be a good lookin run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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