Albedoman Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 51 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: #Snowtown #BaseState #NewNormal lol LOX’s discussion is pretty fun. Also mentioned in their full discussion in addition to 2-5feet of snow above 4k feet is the possibility that downtown LA goes 8 consecutive days without cracking 60ºF if the temp forecasts are correct. I lived near the Grapevine in 1975-78 I Graduated from Hart High School in the Santa Clarita Valley. I have been watching this area for over 40 years now. If they were ever to get as much snow as they did when I was there, This year appears to be the winner. Sorry for the pictures being sideways but here was one of my first adventures of being in an actual blizzard at the Grapevine in 77. 3-4 ft of snow for days. Caught at the Caravan Hotel. They helicoptered food to the hotel as hundreds were stranded. MY pictures were all the proof. My 1071 Ford torino car was buried along I-5 and the picture below is before the main storm hit. It took me and my friend over four hours to unbury it. They used snowblowers from Tahoe area to clear the interstate. Never had seen it snow so hard anywhere as it snowed at 5 inch an hour rates for hours 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Snow showing on the 511 cams in the US 219 and 22 corridors in the Laurel’s (Cambria co). A likely indicator the I-99 corridor (Altoona/State College) is going to have a period of snow that might accumulate a bit when the main slug of precip arrives shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Rain/snow mix here now. 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Blizzard Warning.... for Los Angeles County, California. This storm is sideswiping the Sierra around Mammoth - forecast is for "scattered snow showers...accumulations of 1 to 3 feet... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Some rain possibly mixed with sleet to start beginning this afternoon with temps in the low 40's. Temps should start to warm toward morning on Thursday and highs should soar well into the 60's by afternoon. Then a cold front passes tomorrow night with temps falling to below normal both Friday and Saturday. High temps on Saturday may stay below freezing all day. We could also see some snow showers or flurries on Saturday. We should start to warm right back up again by Sunday. Records for today: High 68 (1974) / Low 4 (1918) / Precipitation 1.82" (2003) / Snow 7.1" (2001) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: This storm is sideswiping the Sierra around Mammoth - forecast is for "scattered snow showers...accumulations of 1 to 3 feet... Rememebr that is what Voyager and his gang consider snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Cloudy and 40. Getting ready for some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Looking over how things are progressing toward EOM and into Morch, I've gotta say that the 3/4 storm that is showing up on guidance has my interest, as the tellies are starting to support something in that "window". AO/NAO headed solidly negative, and MJO looping from 7 to 8 in that timeframe would give this window some merit. Just gotta believe the MJO progreassion that is being shown, and while it can change, it has changed over the last few days...and for the better i might add. IF it verifies, it is enough of a pronounced move to MAYBE get us into the goods. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Rememebr that is what Voyager and his gang consider snow showers. Yep, different criteria for snow and amounts out in the mountains. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 32/24ºF and moderate snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: 32/24ºF and moderate snow. Captain of the column cooling you are. This system will go down as one that trended colder as it got closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Captain of the column cooling you are. This system will go down as one that trended colder as it got closer. I’ll say lol, it’s pouring snow right now. Might as well get what will prob be the only snow pic of the month in. First measurable since 1/31. Splotchy roads caved 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 It looks like the Nephilim are scratching their dry ass heads with all their dandruff going on out there. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Moderate snow in Rouzerville now. Full on bust mode in effect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Snow flurries here, 32 degrees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1.1” in under half an hour. Went to measure since there’s big sleet pellets mixing in now. Best rates I’ve seen all winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: 1.1” in under half an hour. Went to measure since there’s big sleet pellets mixing in now. Best rates I’ve seen all winter. It is not accumulating here with the surface temps but nice to see in the air at least. Snow TV. Frozen being reported about an hour south of me south of Frederick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Moderate snow in Rouzerville now. Full on bust mode in effect. Congrats! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Congrats! Actually accumulating on the mulch and shed roof now but never going to accumlate on the roads at 35. Sun angle and all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Actually accumulating on the mulch and shed roof now but never going to accumlate on the roads at 35. Sun angle and all. My temp is 42.2 so I'm not too thrilled for my chances. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: My temp is 42.2 so I'm not too thrilled for my chances. LOL LOL. I had said bust in a previous post but in defense of the zones, it did have snow in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 In other news the storm as a whole is causing havoc on the countries flights...guess who has the most cancelled flights? I will give a hint. You find your seat by lining up in the cow line and rushing to get the best one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 32 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: 1.1” in under half an hour. Went to measure since there’s big sleet pellets mixing in now. Best rates I’ve seen all winter. Is it laying on the road surface Mag? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 We are back to plain Jane rain. How much did @Cashtown_Coop get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 40 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Looking over how things are progressing toward EOM and into Morch, I've gotta say that the 3/4 storm that is showing up on guidance has my interest, as the tellies are starting to support something in that "window". AO/NAO headed solidly negative, and MJO looping from 7 to 8 in that timeframe would give this window some merit. Just gotta believe the MJO progreassion that is being shown, and while it can change, it has changed over the last few days...and for the better i might add. IF it verifies, it is enough of a pronounced move to MAYBE get us into the goods. I’m not a fan of the MJO backtrack loop back into 7, which serves to delay what I think is has to come at some point. We are seeing the fruits of the stratwarm event propagating into the troposphere with the developing blocking that eventually retrogrades into a nice -NAO block and overall blocking over the top. PNA remains solidly negative on all guidance, even on the farther ranges of the GFS extended and Euro weeklies. We’ll have to contend with some degree of western troughing and continued relentless - temp anomalies biased toward the western half of the country. I think the real change for us comes after the EPO and WPO reverse to negative… which guidance has been showing happening during the first week of March. Extended guidance then keeps those teleconnections there. If/when that sets up, the combo of that and the blocking over the top via the -NAO should put us into a decidedly colder and more favorable regime for snow chances despite the -PNA. I felt a progressive MJO pulse that continued into 8-1-2 without looping would have driven that kind of change much sooner. But I think we’re going to contend with it sooner or later. The hope is it’s soon enough to salvage some decent snow opportunities without it being too offensive to the spring crowd. In the meantime, we’re going to continue to be vulnerable to cutters and in and out cold shots as there is ample cold available on our side of the hemisphere now. Big beneficiaries of the developing -NAO blocking the next 10-15 days without the implied Pac help (EPO/WPO) would appear to be upstate NY and a good portion of interior New England. Deterministic ensemble guidance is indicating that some of those folks are going to go a long way towards recouping a lot of their big time snow deficits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: I’m not a fan of the MJO backtrack loop back into 7, which serves to delay what I think is has to come at some point. We are seeing the fruits of the stratwarm event propagating into the troposphere with the developing blocking that eventually retrogrades into a nice -NAO block and overall blocking over the top. PNA remains solidly negative on all guidance, even on the farther ranges of the GFS extended and Euro weeklies. We’ll have to contend with some degree of western troughing and continued relentless - temp anomalies biased toward the western half of the country. I think the real change for us comes after the EPO and WPO reverse to negative… which guidance has been showing happening during the first week of March. Extended guidance then keeps those teleconnections there. If/when that sets up, the combo of that and the blocking over the top via the -NAO should put us into a decidedly colder and more favorable regime for snow chances despite the -PNA. I felt a progressive MJO pulse that continued into 8-1-2 without looping would have driven that kind of change much sooner. But I think we’re going to contend with it sooner or later. The hope is it’s soon enough to salvage some decent snow opportunities without it being too offensive to the spring crowd. In the meantime, we’re going to continue to be vulnerable to cutters and in and out cold shots as there is ample cold available on our side of the hemisphere now. Big beneficiaries of the developing -NAO blocking the next 10-15 days without the implied Pac help (EPO/WPO) would appear to be upstate NY and a good portion of interior New England. Deterministic ensemble guidance is indicating that some of those folks are going to go a long way towards recouping a lot of their big time snow deficits. I think early Spring is quickly exiting stage left IF LR guidance is correct in keeping blocking more effective well into March. Whether PA sees snow is super subjective but as of today, coolish if not cold looks like it stands a much better chance after we get through this week (except when cutters spoil the cold regime, LOL). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 8 minutes ago, pawatch said: Is it laying on the road surface Mag? It sure did, and it’s still there. Getting some sleet and freezing rain now and temps at 30°F. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Snowing downtown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 7 minutes ago, canderson said: Snowing downtown. Top 5 winter storm today for 22/23 so far. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Icon showing the early week system redeveloping to our south and changing some of PA back to snow. Blocking FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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