Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Currently this run is further south and we are just on the northern edge of the precip shield. Mostly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Gonna be a solid hit from Balsam east this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 This run is very similar to the 06z run. Looks like a big hit further east and into Upstate SC. The piedmont looks good also. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 It seems to start as rain for most everybody and then, over time, as the ULL passes to our east the cold air is brought down and heavy wet snow begins to fall in the western parts of the Carolinas and Virginia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 At hour 78 on gfsSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Hour 90 on gfsSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Hour 96 on gfsSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Hour 102 on gfsSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Snowfall map from 12z gfsSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 For what it's worth this is the latest Icon model. A decent hit for most.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 CMC is another solid hit for most of WNC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The 12z cmc absolutely hammers us with its track.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Realistically I see the cmc working out much more than I do the gfs. I really don't see down East getting that much snow with marginal temps outside the foothills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Realistically I see the cmc working out much more than I do the gfs. I really don't see down East getting that much snow with marginal temps outside the foothills. I agree. I think I will be riding the line here with the best accumulations above 3k in Mitchell, Avery, Watauga 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, wncsnow said: I agree. I think I will be riding the line here with the best accumulations above 3k in Mitchell, Avery, Watauga Yeah we sit in a better spot for sure. You'll probably be on the line on big snow or slop but in the valley or flat lands I don't see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Give me a blend of those outputs and I think all us mountain and foothill folks will be happy, especially if you have elevation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, WxKnurd said: Give me a blend of those outputs and I think all us mountain and foothill folks will be happy. Oh yeah for sure. I think a general 4 to 8 inches across the region and people would be happy with that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 30 minutes ago, calculus1 said: It seems to start as rain for most everybody and then, over time, as the ULL passes to our east the cold air is brought down and heavy wet snow begins to fall in the western parts of the Carolinas and Virginia. And that is one painful wait time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The 12z gefs snowfall means looks good for the mountains. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 5 minutes ago, Met1985 said: The 12z gefs snowfall means looks good for the mountains. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Haven't looked at the members yet but just looking at that I suspect it's split between two camps with where the jackpot zone is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, SnowDawg said: Haven't looked at the members yet but just looking at that I suspect it's split between two camps with where the jackpot zone is. Yeah by this for sure but im very suspect of any great snowfall outside the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 24 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Yeah by this for sure but im very suspect of any great snowfall outside the mountains. CMCE look a lot more realistic more of just a mountain camp with totals similar to gefs in the 2-5” range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 WPC updated.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z EURO big improvement. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Euro looks very elevation dependent on the higher res maps. Showing a lot of mixing on Sunday afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Tyler Penland said: Euro looks very elevation dependent on the higher res maps. Showing a lot of mixing on Sunday afternoon. I could easily see an evolution where unless you’re above 3k ft, it’s extremely rate dependent. Which would be fitting, because the joys of an ULL also mean someone doesn’t get under a convective band and has to experience the agony. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: Euro looks very elevation dependent on the higher res maps. Showing a lot of mixing on Sunday afternoon. It will be definitely on Sunday. Saturday night is the best chance for foothills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12z EPS increasing totals again. This is really trending our way. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 16 minutes ago, Hvward said: 12z EPS increasing totals again. This is really trending our way. As always: looking forward to your video update! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Another damn great trends on the model runs today. We have the cmc, icon, the gfs, GEFS, the euro, and the eps all putting us in a favorable situation this weekend. And this is all under 4 days now. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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