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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread


BlueRidgeFolklore
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This is going to be very tricky even for the mountains. Almost everything has to be perfect. ULL track, strength, and it coming during the night will all help determining who gets accumulation and how much. We all know that there is often a westward/north trend at this range. If it starts at 00Z that will not be good for snow in WNC. 

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8 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

RDPS is amped and warm

It seems to be on the far west side of the guidance envelope today. It has the surface low over 300 miles west of the NAM at 84. So it seems for now at least through the runs seen since this morning we have the GFS furthest east, RDPS furthest west, and everyone else at various points in between. 

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This actually looks way better for us than the 18z run. Knew that moisture transport back to the west, or lack thereof, looked fishy at 18z. Its not that far off the NAM, especially at H5 just takes a little longer for the surface low to get going thus a little later with the 850's crashing.

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