DaculaWeather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 New BMX just in New FFC just in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 New BMX just in New FFC just in So FFC calling for around 1 inch for most of Metro Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 New RAH just in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas Dawson! Appreciate you keeping us Atlanta folks grounded! I keep seeing where FFC says a mix this afternoon then all snow? I don't see how the column will go snow, mix, then back to snow?? I think this is keeping them from upping the totals as well. Thoughts? The mix at the start would be due to the dry atmosphere from 850mb and lower. Then it could turn to a period of rain before the final cold moves in later this afternoon. That scenario looks likely for your area. Merry Christmas to you too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 So FFC calling for around 1 inch for most of Metro Atlanta. 1-2 inches per the winter weather advisory for metro atl. i would lean towards the higher end of that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderhead Hawkins Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 We have a nice coating here in Northwest Alabama. Its coming down nicely, the flakes are huge still. A nice christmas morning surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas Dawson! Appreciate you keeping us Atlanta folks grounded! I keep seeing where FFC says a mix this afternoon then all snow? I don't see how the column will go snow, mix, then back to snow?? I think this is keeping them from upping the totals as well. Thoughts? I will take my 1.01" of QPF laughing all the way to the bank.....the nice thing is typically the models underperform on QPF with strong coastal lows for us, looks like someone in the central and northern coastal plains is gonna get a foot or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I say we lock this thread and move everyone to the OBS thread. Any moderators out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The mix at the start would be due to the dry atmosphere from 850mb and lower. Then it could turn to a period of rain before the final cold moves in later this afternoon. That scenario looks likely for your area. Merry Christmas to you too! How are you looking for this? A great present for a whole lot of the SE. Merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I can already tell in terms of our local TV market that the storm coverage will be an epic fail due to it being Christmas...There's only 1 station that's doing their normal Saturday Morning show and she just showed a map that said WNC would get between 1-2 inches of snow. At least we got Andy and Kendra (FOX Carolina) posting updates on their blog. Andy is the only one keeping us updated. Kendra has not been on there in days. Andy pulled an all nightér again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I say we lock this thread and move everyone to the OBS thread. Any moderators out there? I'm afraid to mess with the Cold Rain mojo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Relevant to N AL/GA and S TN peeps: I'm wondering if the stubborn near-surface temperatures shown across much of this area on the RUC through the morning will actually come to fruition. I was counting on wasting at least my first 0.10" on rain or slop, based upon seeing 2m T of 36-37 F depicted here (Huntsville) on every run of the RUC before the heavier stuff got going around 15-17z. But we just had a brief period of moderate SN (with some rain mixed in) that dropped us to 34/32, much earlier than the RUC had us falling below 35 F, and covered the lawn and rooftops with a coating. So at this point, my guess is that any substantial precip over this region will fall as SN right off the bat, and probably accumulating SN at that (borderline temps right at 2m notwithstanding). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 New GSP just in Updated Huntsville just in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I say wait for Cold Rain. I'm afraid to mess with the Cold Rain mojo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Yea I would say our low is much stronger then progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas, SE Friends and visitors! Once again, great discussion and links, etc overnight. Thanks, everyone! Partly cloudy and 30° here this morning - now we play the waiting game. Still looks like we'll start out wet before becoming white later this afternoon. Got the funnel out of the gauge and dusted the snowboard off. Can't wait to start reading the observations from everyone! Have a great day!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 So have any models caught up yet or still trending? Last night and early morning RUC seemed to be getting stronger by the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 It appears to me it's intensifying and starting to pump some Gulf moisture right our way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 How are you looking for this? A great present for a whole lot of the SE. Merry Christmas! I think we are good for 2-4" with potential for more. Totally awesome! I have a feeling you will be in the "more" part of that statement. Merry Christmas!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Im sitting at 31 with clouds. It smells like snow outside. It would be nice to get precip before it warms any more. I bottomed out at 29 last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I have a feelin' we're ALL going to be in the "more" category! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Is anyone worried about sunshine this morning ? Clouds are pretty thin and I'm afraid we'll see a good bit of sunshine to warm things up quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RAH is going 3-6 for Southern Pines. Could the fail zone come to an end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I have a feelin' we're ALL going to be in the "more" category! Right there with you. Euro seemed to just nail this one with the big daddy. BTW thanks for all the radars! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 New thread is up! Good morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RAH is going 3-6 for Southern Pines. Could the fail zone come to an end? My snow triangle may be crumbling tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I think we are good for 2-4" with potential for more. Totally awesome! I have a feeling you will be in the "more" part of that statement. Merry Christmas!!! What are your thoughts regarding temp issues? Looks like much of the area is below freezing (I'm at 31 and I know Dacula is) but will there be enough warm air at the start to warm us up above freezing like FFC is forecasting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Is anyone worried about sunshine this morning ? Clouds are pretty thin and I'm afraid we'll see a good bit of sunshine to warm things up quickly. I am to some degree.... its this in large part why the RUC is showing a large portion of the deformation band as rain as it takes a while for the dynamical cooling from melting snowflakes to change the low levels below freezing and allow snow to reach the surface. Hopefully the cloud bank thickens up pretty quickly around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 What are your thoughts regarding temp issues? Looks like much of the area is below freezing (I'm at 31 and I know Dacula is) but will there be enough warm air at the start to warm us up above freezing like FFC is forecasting? My wet bulb is currently 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Relevant to N AL/GA and S TN peeps: I'm wondering if the stubborn near-surface temperatures shown across much of this area on the RUC through the morning will actually come to fruition. I was counting on wasting at least my first 0.10" on rain or slop, based upon seeing 2m T of 36-37 F depicted here (Huntsville) on every run of the RUC before the heavier stuff got going around 15-17z. But we just had a brief period of moderate SN (with some rain mixed in) that dropped us to 34/32, much earlier than the RUC had us falling below 35 F, and covered the lawn and rooftops with a coating. So at this point, my guess is that any substantial precip over this region will fall as SN right off the bat, and probably accumulating SN at that (borderline temps right at 2m notwithstanding). Interesting Observations... It looks like you might be under this band for a while... so I wouldn't be surprised to see you flip back to all snow and start getting more substantial accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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