Carvers Gap Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Guess its bed time now, but can't sleep. Ugg what a week this has been. Just checked out the latest RUC and if you want to see the very definition of what historic is, check it out. The northern stream goes from north of Hudsons Bay to the Gulf of Mexico. Don't think we've ever seen that in the Winter time here, so this is going to be one interesting storm system for the Southeast. If I wasn't so tired, I'd update the maps, but its too late. Paint a foot from northern and eastern GA , the western Carolinas and then probably a good chunk of the eastern or piedmont of the Carolinas. If the RUC is right, we're in for a storm most of us will remember the rest of our lives. Thanks for keeping us updated. Hope everything is going well w/ your family - noticed the thread. And yes, the RUC goes crazy for tomorrow. Someone is going to have a great Christmas story to tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Guess its bed time now, but can't sleep. Ugg what a week this has been. Just checked out the latest RUC and if you want to see the very definition of what historic is, check it out. The northern stream goes from north of Hudsons Bay to the Gulf of Mexico. Don't think we've ever seen that in the Winter time here, so this is going to be one interesting storm system for the Southeast. If I wasn't so tired, I'd update the maps, but its too late. Paint a foot from northern and eastern GA , the western Carolinas and then probably a good chunk of the eastern or piedmont of the Carolinas. If the RUC is right, we're in for a storm most of us will remember the rest of our lives. Wow...just wow...I can't believe this might possibly work out for us. This is one for the record books, regardless if it gives us historic totals, it was just one hell of a ride. Glad I could be on the forum for this! I can't go to sleep...way too excited. It's been like this every night for me this week, staying up til 3:30am and getting up at 8 or 9am...so exhausted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Guess its bed time now, but can't sleep. Ugg what a week this has been. Just checked out the latest RUC and if you want to see the very definition of what historic is, check it out. The northern stream goes from north of Hudsons Bay to the Gulf of Mexico. Don't think we've ever seen that in the Winter time here, so this is going to be one interesting storm system for the Southeast. If I wasn't so tired, I'd update the maps, but its too late. Paint a foot from northern and eastern GA , the western Carolinas and then probably a good chunk of the eastern or piedmont of the Carolinas. If the RUC is right, we're in for a storm most of us will remember the rest of our lives. What an amazing post to wrap up the night. The RUC is painting a beautiful picture for much of the SE this weekend from MS to GA to TN to SC to NC. I'm glad things ended up working in most of our favors. I guess, once you think about it, this thing can't(and hopefully not) screw us over on this joyful day. Tomorrow will be a huge day and I'm very, very excited to track this with everyone here over the course of the weekend. Merry Christmas to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 What an amazing post to wrap up the night. The RUC is painting a beautiful picture for much of the SE this weekend from MS to GA to TN to SC to NC. I'm glad things ended up working in most of our favors. I guess, once you think about it, this thing can't(and hopefully not) screw us over on this joyful day. Tomorrow will be a huge day and I'm very, very excited to track this with everyone here over the course of the weekend. Merry Christmas to all! 06z is trending towards the RUC... huge expansion of the precipitation shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pyro4Life Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 06z is trending towards the RUC... huge expansion of the precipitation shield. When is the precip shield progged to expand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Foothills, thanks for the long day, your insight and best wishes. This storm continues to look more potent. The north to south movement on the WV is astounding, and at some point there will be an eruption out of the GOM/Atlantic to equal it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 When is the precip shield progged to expand? Well the main point I was trying to make is how much further north the precipitation shield is. The figure of moisture that will be out ahead of the frontal zone keeps shifting northward. Its now over E TN and WNC for a good 3-6 hours, before it shifts southward and affects the rest of the Carolinas and GA. Unfortunately this may allow many folks in the southeast to warm up out ahead of this band of precipitation, so that by the time the precipitation starts, it might be in the form of rain/snow mix before it goes over to all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Just watch the evolution of NAM's composite reflectivity... certainly favoring the WNC area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Just looked at the Euro, I'm not surprised. We already knew this was coming back. So looks like it is true how it sniffs out the big ones, loses them, then brings it back. The strange thing about this storm is how far south the snow will probably get and how widespread it will be. Its a nice one. You may have to go back even past 1987, or even 88, maybe something like 1982 to get this cold and moisture combo down so far south. Hopefully the dreaded dryslot won't be an issue for too many. The best thing now is really the short range and nowcasting. I'm 34 (wsas 32) so clouds are coming in. Only thing now to do is wait for the fun to begin. One other thing, most likely the Euro is too weak with its pressure. If the RUC is right on the northern scream, a real deepening is going to occur. The models are having some convective feedback issues on that. Thanks again on prayers and thoughts for mom. Robert, I was busy earlier playing Santa Claus and I came back to see your Mother had some hea\lth issues. Please know I am right down the road and/or a phone callemail away. Many prayers for your Mother, you and Family... Thanks for all your earnest, blood and tears work on this system. Hoping Mother Nature does not find a way to screw you, me and Burger in the "Snowless Triangle from Hell". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Robert, I was busy earlier playing Santa Claus and I came back to see your Mother had some hea\lth issues. Please know I am right down the road and/or a phone callemail away. Many prayers for your Mother, you and Family... Thanks for all your earnest, blood and tears work on this system. Hoping Mother Nature does not find a way to screw you, me and Burger in the "Snowless Triangle from Hell". thanks Jason, and yes Phil, it sure looks like western NC is going to be in a moisture flux zone for the duration of the storm . Probably 24+ hours of snowfall. An amazing looking system. It mirrors the RUC now, except its probably too light on QPF. Some areas will get a foot I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Deformation snow band western Carolinas Sunday morning 12Z on the NAM. Every Gulf low that has come off the GA coast usually has this look, and with the 5h cutting off in TEnn this time, who knows how it will look. I'm sure a dry slot will evolve somewhere though. But still a great snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazaroo Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 What about the huge precip minimum showed on the Nam in Central NC, right over me of course. Is this any cause for concern or should I not worry about that on the nam when its basically nowcast time? , Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Deformation snow band western Carolinas Sunday morning 12Z on the NAM. Every Gulf low that has come off the GA coast usually has this look, and with the 5h cutting off in TEnn this time, who knows how it will look. I'm sure a dry slot will evolve somewhere though. But still a great snowstorm. Decent band of snow moving through right now, turning the picnic tables white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Decent band of snow moving through right now, turning the picnic tables white. That is AWESOME!! So happy for you all! Merry Christmas and send some of that good luck the CLT, NC area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 when does gsp update there grid forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RAH Update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buncombe Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 when does gsp update there grid forecast? I expect that all the NWS offices are doing lots of coordination this morning . . . which is why the discussion and updated grids are on the later side. NWS is quoted in the Asheville Citizens Times this morning (available online now) saying that totals will be less than expected, around 1.5 inches in Asheville. They are facing a huge change in the forecast so this isn't a fun time. Second time this December they've been quoted in the citizens times and then having to do an about face by the time the paper's arrived. First general snow here, the paper landed on the driveway saying all rain - and the driveway was covered with 3 inches of snow. Feel for them as the models have been all over the place. The last storm, only the GFS - and Robert aka Foothills! - got it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 when does gsp update there grid forecast? They are doing it right now... latest discussion doesn't contain a near term discussion, because GSP is issuing Winter Storm Warnings across the board, except for the far southern SC counties. GSP AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 They are doing it right now... latest discussion doesn't contain a near term discussion, because GSP is issuing Winter Storm Warnings across the board, except for the far southern SC counties. yeah saw that amazing turn of events in the last 24 hrs. this could be quite a storm for the foothills it looks like! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Guys, if anyone is still awake. Brand new to this site, I follow the weather closely but much of this talk about the various models and such is like a foreign language to me. It seems most TV stations around here are hesitant to give any real projections. What do you guys think, after looking at the recent models would be projected for Central North Carolina(Henderson, right along HWY 1)? I keep reading the latest models are shifting the Low west toward the coast, so I guess thats a good thing. They're hesitant for very good reason, but by tomorrow AM they should up their totals and have a good grasp of things. This is what the National Weather Service in Raleigh just released: POTENTIAL FOR BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW TO SET-UP OVER THE SOME PART OF CENTRAL NC ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 1. WHERE THIS AXIS SETS UP WILL DEFINE REGION WHERE LOCALLY EXCESSIVE SNOW AMOUNTS(IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES) MAY OCCUR. THIS PROBABILITY SEEMS HIGHEST ALONG AND EAST OF I-95 AT THIS TIME. USED H P C LIQUID EQUIVALENT AMOUNTS AND A SNOW RATIO OF 12:1 TO ACHIEVE SNOW AMOUNTS LATER TONIGHT WITH A RATIO OF 10:1 IN THE SE PRIOR TO MIDNIGHT.Here are some call maps from some of the users on the forum (some of which are meteorologists) 3-5" http://www.sandhills...om/nc-call6.jpg 5-10" http://i53.tinypic.com/fw283a.png 7-10" http://i.imgur.com/8ujV4.jpg 8-12" http://i.imgur.com/j0vOe.jpg 6-10" or 8-16" http://bit.ly/fvLgTA That should answer your question. It looks to be a significant snow event. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bta0812 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Thanks Jon, very helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 KCHS to release winter storm watches across the area DORCHESTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. GEORGE...SUMMERVILLE 332 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... .TODAY...PARTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...RAIN. A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHS AROUND 40. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH POSSIBLE. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RAH issues WINTER STORM WARNING.... http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ041&warncounty=NCC183&firewxzone=NCZ041&local_place1=3+Miles+N+Raleigh+NC&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning Edit: sorry, don't know why it's all bunched together....oh well, bed time for me! PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH- EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG... NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD... WILSON...SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO... ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 358 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS AFFECTED: THE EASTERN PIEDMONT...INCLUDING THE TRIANGLE REGION...THE SANDHILLS AND THE COASTAL PLAIN OF NORTH CAROLINA. * PRECIPITATION TYPES: THE PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO BEGIN AS A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH MAINLY RAIN SOUTHEAST OF WILSON...SMITHFIELD AND FAYETTEVILLE. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO ALL SNOW FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE EVENING WITH ALL SNOW FALLING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATION: BETWEEN 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE BY MIDNIGHT MONDAY. ACCUMULATIONS WILL TEND TO BE ON THE LOWER END OF THIS RANGE IN THE TRIANGLE REGION AND THE SANDHILLS WITH ACCUMULATION TOTALS ON THE HIGHER END OF THE RANGE IN THE COASTAL PLAIN. ISOLATED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 95. * TIMING: THE PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO BEGIN AS A LIGHT MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OR JUST RAIN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO ALL SNOW DURING THE EVENING. THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH A SURGE OF MORE SIGNIFICANT AND HEAVIER SNOW SPREADING NORTH ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * IMPACTS: SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE AREA. ROADS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SNOW COVERED WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY. THE MOST DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED NEAR AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 95 DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 40S THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN FALL WITH THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION BUT REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH SUNSET. TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL TO NEAR FREEZING BY EARLY EVENING IN THE TRIANGLE AND THE NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN WITH TEMPERATURES APPROACHING FREEZING LATE THIS EVENING IN THE SANDHILLS AND THE SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL EVENTUALLY FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO GET MUCH ABOVE FREEZING. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOWER 20S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DLI4SCwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 KCHS to release winter storm watches across the area DORCHESTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. GEORGE...SUMMERVILLE 332 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... .TODAY...PARTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...RAIN. A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHS AROUND 40. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH POSSIBLE. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. I hope you get dumped on Storm! You deserve it man. Would be great to have another Feb.12th event again or better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Very typical for Peachtree not to isssue any WWA or WSW until after the snow has started like they did in last year's Feb 12th storm. They don't give people time to prepare at all. No one on my facebook is aware this storm is coming and only after I announced it on my status, did people become such aware there's a possibility for a decent event in Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DLI4SCwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 CAE has finally come on board..... [/url] AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 417 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 .SYNOPSIS... -- Changed Discussion --LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON THEN DEEPEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.-- End Changed Discussion -- && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... -- Changed Discussion --MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AHEAD OF APPROACHING STRONG SHORT WAVE ALONG THE GULF COAST. STRONG SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE ON WATER VAPOR IMAGES MOVING EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST STATES WILL TRIGGER WEAK SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS MORNING. WARM ADVECTION WILL BE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH 50 IN THE CAE AREA ESPECIALLY WITH MOISTURE ADVECTION NOT DEVELOPING UNTIL LATE TODAY. LIGHT RAIN WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY. THEREFORE...CUT POPS BACK SLIGHTLY FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST AND RAISED TEMPS SLIGHTLY.-- End Changed Discussion -- && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion --THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM APPEARS TO BE INCREASING. AS SHORT WAVE ALONG THE GULF COAST MOVES EAST THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...TRIGGERING LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF...NORTHERN STREAM UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS DIVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGIONS TOWARD THE CAROLINAS. IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE PHASING OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAMS WILL OCCUR OVER THE CAROLINAS WITH THE RESULT BEING A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE OOZ MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT NOW ON THIS SCENARIO. ALTHOUGH THE SURFACE STORM TRACK ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA IS NOT THE CLIMATOLOGICAL FAVORED TRACK...THE STORM IS FORECAST TO BE STRONGER AND NOW CLOSER TO THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST RESULTING IN STRONGER COLD ADVECTION/WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION INTO CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA. THE 850MB TROUGH IS ALSO NORTH OF THE FAVORED TRACK BUT TEMPERATURES IN THE TROUGH ARE QUITE COLD...-2C TO -6C WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IN THE TROUGH TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. STRONG SYNOPTIC LIFT IS ALSO EXPECTED AS UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE REGION ESPECIALLY THE PEE DEE AND NORTHEAST MIDLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW DEEP MOISTURE/LIFT INTO THE SNOW GROWTH REGION...EARLY TONIGHT ALONG WITH A SHALLOW SURFACE WARM LAYER. DIABATIC AND EVAPORATIONAL COOLING THIS EVENING WILL RESULT IN A CHANGE OVER FROM RAIN TO SNOW ACROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST WITH ALSO MAINLY ALL SNOW BY SUNDAY MORNING. WITH SOIL TEMPERATURES WARM AND MOS INDICATING TEMPERATURES MAY STAY ABOVE FREEZING IN MANY AREAS...THIS SHOULD DECREASE ACCUMULATIONS AT LEAST EARLY IN THE EVENT. BASED ON BUFKIT USED SNOW- RATIOS AROUND 10:1...ALTHOUGH RATIOS MAY BE HIGHER. SNOW TOTALS IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE SEEMS APPROPRIATE...WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE PEE DEE WHERE STRONGER LIFT IS EXPECTED EARLY SUNDAY. WITH THE ARRAY OF FORECAST TECHNIQUES NOW POINTING TO THE STRONG POSSIBILITY OF MEASURE ABLE SNOW ACROSS THE CWA...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH AND EAST...WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE AREA...SINCE CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOW STORM TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.-- End Changed Discussion -- && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 GSP going with 4-6" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Forget what I said. Peachtree has came out with their WWA for the Atlanta area. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 438 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR NORTH GEORGIA UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY... .THE COMBINATION OF TWO WEATHER FEATURES WILL SUPPLY AMPLE MOISTURE AND COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE STATE TODAY AND TONIGHT... PRODUCING SNOW AND RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. GAZ025-027-031>039-041>055-057-251745- /O.EXB.KFFC.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-101226T1800Z/ JACKSON-MADISON-PAULDING-COBB-NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE- OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON- DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD- COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...LAWRENCEVILLE... ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...DECATUR... CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY 438 AM EST SAT DEC 25 2010 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NORTH GEORGIA... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS EXTENDED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FURTHER SOUTHWARD...WHICH NOW INCLUDES METRO ATLANTA AND THE ATHENS AREA. THE ADVISORY IS NOW ALONG AND NORTH OF A NEWNAN TO MADISON TO WASHINGTON LINE... DUE TO THE THREAT OF LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AND ICY ROAD CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. THE ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. TWO WEATHER FEATURES WILL USHER ABUNDANT MOISTURE INTO THE STATE ON TODAY...AND WITH CHILLY TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA THIS MORNING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS SNOW THIS MORNING... THEN A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW THROUGH THE DAY...AND ALL SNOW AGAIN IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS WARP AROUND MOISTURE SPREADS IN FROM THE EAST. THE GREATER SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A ROME TO GAINESVILLE LINE WHERE 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLY FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA. FOR METRO ATLANTA AND ATHENS...AND THEIR SURROUNDING AREAS... SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY... THEN POSSIBLY 1 TO 2 INCHES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. REMEMBER...ICY ROADS WILL ALSO BE A THREAT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOW TO WARM ABOVE FREEZING SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. From the Peachtree NWS. Source Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 3z SREF has most of NC under 1" qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keithinala Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 GFS shows around 4 inches in north Alabama, more in some places. They need a WWW out here already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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