bluewave Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 23 minutes ago, wdrag said: Stratwarm advertised by the EC 10MB weeklies in late February? Seems like it, but counter arguments will be reviewed. Might take longer to dissipate this cooler spell than currently ensembled? Yeah, it was part of the final warming event and record Scandinavian Ridge buckling the flow. The EPS has the record cold potential into early next week with the strong blocking. Weaker blocking and cold during the first week of April. Then a lingering Northeast trough at the end of the run on the 10th. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 HAILING. For the first time in my life I’ve seen hail. It only took a million years. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 8 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: No. NYC had a low of 21. weird, a 5 degree difference between EWR and NYC for the low? I wonder why? Don, did JFK get into the teens? Also how did EWR get 12.8" and NYC only got 9.6"? The other airports were even lower (8")-- and I thought ISP had more snow (more snow further to the east)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 21 minutes ago, Cfa said: HAILING. For the first time in my life I’ve seen hail. It only took a million years. huh it's been sunny here since 9 am not a cloud in the sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Yeah, it was part of the final warming event and record Scandinavian Ridge buckling the flow. The EPS has the record cold potential into early next week with the strong blocking. Weaker blocking and cold during the first week of April. Then a lingering Northeast trough at the end of the run on the 10th. Chris, any prediction on when our last freeze might be for NYC/JFK/EWR? Early April? Any snow chances then too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 3 hours ago, bluewave said: While record warmth has become the norm around here, Monday into Tuesday will be one of those rare chances for record cold. We usually don’t see this type of unmodified Arctic airmass directly from near the North Pole. The 850 mb temperatures will be among the lowest on record since 1979 for this time of year. Colder than April 1982 or April 1995? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 This weather is awful. Give me 90 and humid any day and ill still walk the golf course 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 1 minute ago, nyrangers1022 said: This weather is awful. Give me 90 and humid any day and ill still walk the golf course This is my favorite type of weather. Very fall like 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Pea size hail storm in Vernon. Ground including roads completely whitened. Came in as hail and now ending as rain/graupel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Yep, a number of pea sized hail reports showing up with those cells popping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 12 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This is my favorite type of weather. Very fall like Big snow squall in the Poconos! Sky is pitch black-- my sister is there and telling me all about it! Blinding snow squall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 18 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This is my favorite type of weather. Very fall like Chilly, rainy, raw is not very ideal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Got a random rumble of thunder with this cell passing by here in bed stuy Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: weird, a 5 degree difference between EWR and NYC for the low? I wonder why? Don, did JFK get into the teens? Also how did EWR get 12.8" and NYC only got 9.6"? The other airports were even lower (8")-- and I thought ISP had more snow (more snow further to the east)? ISP had 16”. There was an area of < 10” that included BDR, JFK, LGA, and NYC. I suspect subsidence contributed to those lower amounts, as higher amounts were recorded to the east and west. If there wasn’t such an area of reduced amounts, the argument about measurements might have had greater validity. JFK had a low of 20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 November and March are becoming big hail months for our area with these record lapse rates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: November and March are becoming big hail months for our area with these record lapse rates. Date on the bottom one is from Nov 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 48 degrees in Sloatsburg, heavy rain showers mixed with some hail. Extremely unstable/convective right now, cumulus congestus and towering cumulus all over with breaks of sun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Nice cell over the central Nassau/Suffolk border area. Any reports? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 More thunder with the cell developing to my north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Pea-sized hail with rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
s2sailorlis Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Baby hail. Fairfield, CT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Not quite marble-sized hail and temps dropped from 53° to 41°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Hail here in Port Jefferson LI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Pea sized hail for about 30 seconds and one rumble of thunder. Middle island , ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Ice pellets mixed with the rain in Wading River, 43F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 Absolute miserable day on LI North Shore. Endless rain on north and I can see just 20 miles south ain’t dealing with this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 HRRR has snow showers Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 26, 2022 Share Posted March 26, 2022 3 hours ago, weathermedic said: Date on the bottom one is from Nov 13, 2021 Yeah, that was our last out of season hailstorm like today. So now we have a significant March hailstorm following one in November. Parts of CT had enough hail accumulation to cause spin outs. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 An Arctic air mass is poised to invade the region. The frigid air will begin to move into the region tomorrow. Parts of the area could see some snow showers or even a snow squall that could briefly whiten the ground. Monday and Tuesday will see low temperatures fall well into the 20s in New York City and Philadelphia with teens in some areas outside the cities. The mean last dates for readings below 30° are: New York City: March 22 (1981-10: March 24) Philadelphia: March 22 (1981-10: March 25) Last year, both cities saw the temperature fall into the 20s for their last time on April 2. In past cases where the MJO was in Phase 1 during the March 5-15 period with an amplitude of 1.500 or above on one or more days, as occurred this year, all four cases when the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly was positive were warmer to much warmer than normal. In contrast, all three cases where the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly was negative, as is the case this year, were colder to much colder than normal. Mean Temperature for ENSO Region 3.4 anomalies < 0°C during March 22-31: Boston: 38.7°; Normal: 42.2° New York City: 41.8°; Normal: 46.2° Philadelphia: 42.2°; Normal: 47.3° Actual data coupled with modeling for the rest of March show that all three cities will wind up with a colder than normal March 22-31 period. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.9°C for the week centered around March 16. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.05°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.85°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through March. The SOI was +5.79 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.113 today. On March 24 the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 1.098 (RMM). The March 23-adjusted amplitude was 1.218 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 45.5° (2.7° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 27, 2022 Share Posted March 27, 2022 Monday's cold is ridiculous for this time of year. Barely above freezing with gusty winds under sunny skies too. I'm sure the strong late March sun will help some but it's still going to feel cold. Also wouldn't be surprised to see lows below 20F in many suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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