Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[ineedsnow]

Just now, WeatherWilly said:

I don't think the Euro is going to blow it like the Bruins

might be the biggest run of the night looks great so far

[ice1972]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Starting to climb the ladder…

Oh mama

[dryslot]

It looks a tic or so east to me.

[wxeyeNH]

Just woke up. Took a quick look at the gfs. East. Didn't look at anything else.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dryslot said:

It looks a tic or so east to me.

Must be the PV

[ineedsnow]

Just now, dryslot said:

It looks a tic or so east to me.

looks a little west to me?

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, dryslot said:

It looks a tic or so east to me.

Heights in Quebec did it in for coming west. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Heights lower overhead though negating better stream interaction.

[Thunderblizzard]

Definitely a tick east of 18z.

[wxsniss]

Thankfully got rid of that dual low nonsense it had earlier

[ineedsnow]

went back a little east at 57

[40/70 Benchmark]

Wonder if that confluence pressing down may enhance that death band on the NW edge....with a huge gradient between haves and have nots.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

It’s a tick east of cmc and weaker than it too at 72hr.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s a tick east of cmc and weaker than it too at 72hr.

NBD....goal posts should be EURO to UK.

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Heights in Quebec did it in for coming west. 

It still ends up a good run as it got captured and tugged back some into the eastern GOM

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Sema crushed obviously.

[40/70 Benchmark]

QPF cut back significantly for me, but increased a bit over se MA.

I think that would place one hell of a deform band over me

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, dryslot said:

It still ends up a great run as it got captured and tugged back some into the eastern GOM

Yeah nothing wrong with that run overall. It just looked initially like it was gonna come west and then that TPV hit a brick wall or something and we ended up with a small tick east. 
 

Im not so worried about the small euro wobbles as I am relieved that other non-GFS guidance made decisive moves west. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah nothing wrong with that run overall. It just looked initially like it was gonna come west and then that TPV hit a brick wall or something and we ended up with a small tick east. 
 

Im not so worried about the small euro wobbles as I am relieved that other non-GFS guidance made decisive moves west. 

You think that confluence pressing will make for  a huge band with sharp gradient?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah nothing wrong with that run overall. It just looked initially like it was gonna come west and then that TPV hit a brick wall or something and we ended up with a small tick east. 
 

Im not so worried about the small euro wobbles as I am relieved that other non-GFS guidance made decisive moves west. 

Can it lift out any quicker?

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You think that confluence pressing will make for  a huge band with sharp gradient?

Yeah it could. Anything that increases the ML fronto up against arctic air will produce a sharper cutoff. We’ll see if that is real or not though. Some runs are more pronounced than others. 

[MuddyWx]

10:1 and kuchie

[ineedsnow]

going to bed alarm set for 6 to start another day of tracking 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah nothing wrong with that run overall. It just looked initially like it was gonna come west and then that TPV hit a brick wall or something and we ended up with a small tick east. 
 

Im not so worried about the small euro wobbles as I am relieved that other non-GFS guidance made decisive moves west. 

Yeah, That was minor in the grand scheme of things, What i take is, Other guidance outside of the GFS all moved towards the euro so that is the real positive we may be honing in on narrowing the goalpost now.

[wxsniss]

Yeah I was thinking this was going to be a Cape scraper from early signs

In any case, a solid rejection of the far east GFS, along with the big UK/GGEM jumps

Despite the confluence, Euro takes a more northeasterly track once it's captured... spreads the goods better up ME coast

Good track for a deform band interior eastern MA

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah it could. Anything that increases the ML fronto up against arctic air will produce a sharper cutoff. We’ll see if that is real or not though. Some runs are more pronounced than others. 

That run is a death band from Union, CT to ORH to MBY

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yeah, That was minor in the grand scheme of things, What i take is, Other guidance outside of the GFS all moved towards the euro so that is the real positive we may be honing in on narrowing the goalpost now.

Yea, clown map shaved me from 19" to 13", but that was a better run for me TBH....I'd have over 20" there.

[George001]

euro a bit east but still great, and the other models went way west. Looks like we are narrowing the goalposts and coming close to a consensus. 

[78Blizzard]

Mostly noise on the Euro compared to 12z, at least for eastern areas.

[40/70 Benchmark]

This looks a lot like March 14, 2018....the one that ripped me a new one.